China preparing for 'protracted' war, says think tank

[Hamartia Antidote]

As long as Taiwan is still Republic of China, it's safe. there's no reason for China to attack.

The Chinese Government is going to have a massive PR issue home and abroad if it casually goes and starts killing Taiwanese for no immediate valid reason/need.

 

[Hendarto]

Like I said earlier, they can take 100+.

And you guys aren't the best at quality either. For every 100 missiles you launch I expect anywhere from 1 to 10% failure rate.

And you'll get bombed in return too. Your economy will tank and most of your industrial base will be destroyed also.

Get bombed? wishful thinking See the Ukrainian conflict prove so-called air superiority is a myth Both air forces cannot achieve air superiority because of the effectiveness of integrated air defense. So-called magic weapons like Scalp, himar are fooled by Electronic warfare systems So the Air Force is mainly used as a standoff platform. Ukraine war proved once and for all that IAD proved to be effective. And China has the most densest IAD in the world. US airforce is now changing its strategy because of it and they are not sure id they can have air superiority

 

[Beijingwalker]

The Chinese Government is going to have a massive PR issue home and abroad if it casually goes and starts killing Taiwanese for no immediate valid reason/need.

The Chinese government is not stupid, uncertaintities of wars will always put any governments at a risk, there's no reason for the Chinese government to take this risk.

 

[Hamartia Antidote]

The Chinese government is not stupid, uncertaintities of wars will always put any governments at a risk, there's no reason for the Chinese government to take this risk.

That's why this thread is mostly bluster by silly Chinese armchair generals.

 

[nahtanbob]

ROC used to have the whole of China, but still got defeated by PRC.

that was in 1949

 

[Beijingwalker]

That's why this thread is mostly bluster by silly Chinese armchair generals.

People can still discuss about hypothetical outcome even we know it won't happen in real life.

 

[Beijingwalker]

that was in 1949

PRC is stronger in 1949 or in 2024?

 

[nahtanbob]

China has already had the world biggest navy and seized over half of world shipbuilding capacity.

The bottom of Pacific Ocean is large enough to accommodate all of your ships

 

[Beijingwalker]

The bottom of Pacific Ocean is large enough to accommodate all of your ships

And yours , of course, it's very big.

 

[925boy]

That is what Putin said…

can u please show me where he said this? or where the Russian military "thought it would take a few days to take Ukriane"? seriously- i find it hard to believe Russian govt thought or assumed rolling over Ukraine would be that easy.

 

[War Lord]

You've done nothing, that's why you have nothing else to say.

I don't need to prove anything to a troll poster like you who keeps spamming the forum with threads 24/7.

I have already said a lot on the topic but you clearly can't read.

 

[War Lord]

Your "research" tells you that China won't attack Taiwan from "Kashgar"? lol, what a nice "research".

I never said they won't, you said that. Back track much?

I said it would be unwise if they do so.

 

[Beijingwalker]

I don't need to prove anything to a troll poster like you who keeps spamming the forum with threads 24/7.

Because a troll like you can prove nothing, you can go to fight for Taiwan and see if it works.

 

[War Lord]

I m not overestimating or underestimating anyone.
Neither China is Russia nor Taiwan is Ukraine.

Let's go with the simplest way,
China goes with the Scorched Earth policy. We are seeing this in Gaza.
At its closets, the distance between China and Taiwan is around 250 Km, WS 2 has a range of 350 KM according to some sources. Now normally it won't be just ballistic missiles. it will be massive swarms with hi-low weapons.
even with ballistic missiles, the time is minutes not hours. even with all systems fully ready to intercept, it will not be able to hit everything even 10 to 20 % of ballistic missiles hit its target what do you think will happen I'm giving an 80 / 90 % success rate to all Taiwanese systems combined working perfectly.
Taiwan is not a large Country even with saturated systems, no one can give a 100% success rate.
China can set a no-go area close to Taiwan 100 - 200 KM away , and blockade at a relatively safe distance.
The biggest advantage and its weakness is its location. it's an island nation that can be blocked. Very limited in its space, in large countries if you have a large enemy pushing. you can retreat and re-group and attack again. but in the case of Taiwan where you retreat.
Check the average age for Taiwan. it's not young people. War is not just about shooting missiles. With the destruction of the Taiwanese system, China can just literally sit back and hold its troops back and lower its losses. Both can fight with AD systems and can hold off large military pushes but Taiwan can't survive for long when it has no supply routes open.
How will they provide to the people? How you will provide for the military.Even if Taiwan controls around 150 KM of its zone. China can just out reach Taiwan.

It's all nice and Good but in the modern world, no one wants its people to die for some other country.

Like I said earlier, Taiwan will not sit back and take the punches. It'll hit back.

China is bigger which means not everything will be covered by AA/SAM's. Taiwan can/will inflict more damage to China than China will ever to Taiwan.

Taiwan already has a plan to takeout the Chinese Three Gorges Dam in case of a Chinese invasion. That'll flood many cities and kill millions. Not to mention how it'll destroy tens, if not hundreds, of thousands of arable land, among other things.

And that's just 1 target that I mentioned.

Being small isn't a disadvantage, that just means every inch of Taiwan is covered twice or thrice under AA/SAM cover. Same can't be said about China.

 

[War Lord]

Because a troll like you can prove nothing, you can go to fight for Taiwan and see if it works.

Prove how I'm a troll. I have proven you to be a spammer, anyone can check your post history and see how you spam threads on PDF lol