Persian Gulf
INT'L MOD
Persia was a multi-ethnic empire and Iranians remain patriotic. These separatist groups are significant but not critical. MEK and PJAK are much weaker than they used to be. Losing 5 border officers in Balochistan every few weeks is a tragedy but not a sign that Jundollah are about to conquer the province.Iran has been shrinking slowly for centuries. It's better to get used to the idea that it will be further reduced to ethnic Persian areas only so it's not as much of a shock. There is no serious opposition to IR and they are not interested in saving the country. It will be Yugoslavia 2.0.
But, revolutions are unpredictable and all our enemies will exploit any chaos to weaken us forever. In any event, I don't think IRI is on the brink just yet. the IRI is totally guided by its survival and this is probably even more true now than before the war.



