So technically the only way this scenario works out is if the reformists and IRGC reach some form of deal that is also acceptable to the US. Do you think there is sentiment inside IRGC to do this and could that be why it was so easy for Israel to purge the IRGC chain of command?
I don't know. All I know is that Raeesi's death and the events after that have been too crazy to be deemed normal.
I also agree that Raeesi’s death and the events that followed, especially giving up AOR and the sudden purge of IRGC leadership are not normal.
I think part of the regime change plan that Israel admitted to be pursuing during the 12-day battle was to replace the hardline core of the regime with more West-appeasing reformists. Everybody thought that Reza Pahlavi was the one they wanted, but I believe they wanted people like Zarif to take over after their "regime change". Maybe Israel wanted Reza Pahlavi, but I think the US has always been more practical and interested in people with actual power in the current system.
Yes this is part of what I mean by society being backwards. Everyone takes the path of least resistance, waiting for someone else to do the work.
No unfortunately.
No nuclear energy is what we need to survive the coming decades of climate change. When the world moves on to fusion, we'll be stuck burning fossil fuels.
The idea that without IR Iran is naturally going to turn its corrupt and nepotistic society into a G8 country is foolish. Without IR will partybazi, bribery, and corruption go away?
That's irrelevant to what I said.
Iran was the world's 11th or 12th largest economy in 1980 (different sources use slightly different numbers) which very quickly recovered from the economic impacts of the revolution. It's a fact that can be verified independently. Nepotism, corruption or anything else did not prevent Iran from achieving that place. This is not something theoretical, this is a statistical fact.
Iran is the exact opposite of a right-wing society. Sure, in small cities, they might be more right-leaning, but Iran as a whole has always been left leaning. The fact that the 1979 revolution made a global issue like Palestine (not an internal one), one of its key points is the undeniable proof of that. Only the lefties do that sort of thing. You can see this sort of nonsense in today's USA as well. You see how the American lefties are anti-establishment and pro-Palestine? Same phenomenon.
Qajar Iran was not a beacon of enlightenment and social liberalization during Pahlavi era did not extend much beyond the city.
Being against genocide is a pro-human position. It's also in your interest not the let the jews drag the world back into the dark ages. The same quadcopters shooting and dropping grenades on Palestinian children might do it to you in the coming years if palantir's AI decides your social credit score is too low.
Marxism is not "thing I don't like," Iran is not a socialist or communist country. There is no point debating this.
This is not an opinion, this is a fact. Everything east and north of the Zagros and Alborz is as good as gone, it will be clear in the coming years.
It wasn't a dark age either. Culturally, the Qajars did a lot for the Iranian culture. The Qajars had a poor record of winning wars, but culturally they were not behind the Ottomans (if not ahead) and they did promote Iranian cultural elements. They rewrote our music theory, had a keen interest in poetry, had so many enlightened people that promoted democracy and modern values like women's rights, etc. The Persian 1905 revolution was possibly one of the most modern cultural/political movements in the entire history of the region.
China has a social credit system as well, does it bother me? Not really.
There is absolutely zero doubt that Marxism and leftist ideologies were a core part of the 1979 revolution. Most of the revolutionaries that started arm resistance against the Shah were Marxists and Leninists.
The constitutional revolution was against the Qajars. The backwardness of the Qajars and their continual defeats and concessions to Europe spurred the need for such an opposition. Tangentially, we should be seeing the same today as the IR has put is in the same situation yet there is no organized domestic opposition to IR.
When the US says it's told Palantir to make an AI database of every american, if you think that will be used benevolently, that's on you. The jews openly brag about using Palestine as a testing ground for weapons, modern US policing techniques were developed in the West Bank and brought back to the US. AI targeting and drone assassinations will be used against americans soon enough. You are at higher risk for victimization due to the racial and religious hatred of the whites. Talk of denaturalizing citizens starts as talk and then becomes action and the talk is already happening. The groundwork is already being set to talk away any rights you may think you have.
The jews are positioning themselves to be regional hegemon without any US help. They want to be surrounded by small, fractured, failed states/anarchy. That includes Iran. When they openly say causing high civilian casualties was a goal in the 12 day way, what do you think that means regarding how they view Iranians? Do you think they will change that view if IR disappears?
Who cares what happens to whites.
They were purged after the revolution and now 46 years have passed since then. Iran is in no way socialist or communist.
It was the progress made in the late decades of the Qajars that made the constitutional revolution possible. All of the main figures of the constitutional revolution lived during the Qajar era. The Qajars sent Iranians abroad to European countries where modern elements were imported to Iran. The idea of constitutional monarchy and modern journalism were purely imports of Iranian students in Europe that had been sent there by the Qajars. The Qajars also imported a lot of new technologies from Europe.
Do you think Israel is the only one doing that?
What do you mean without any US help?
Billions of people do apparently.
They were purged through mass killings. That doesn't change the fact that the lefties were the core of the 1979 revolution, which was our main discussion.
Zero chance of this happening.....a civil war will happen first, which is what the enemy wants. Nope!
