Pakistanithinktank
Registered Member
I think that India is planning to attack Pakistan for sure. I think that the Taliban agreed with India to make it a 2-front war with a view that the Taliban will be paid handsomely for their services. I do think Pakistan saw this, and has basically decided to take Afghanistan/Taliban off the board by reducing their ability to interfere. The Taliban either agree to Pakistan's terms, or the bombing starts again, but this time with greater intensity and if the Taliban don't agree, damage them to the point where the other groups in Afghanistan can directly challenge them.
India will attack for sure. But now, their plans of a 2 front war are gone. It is a direct face off for when they decide to attack.
To understand the current tensions, it's important to view recent events not as isolated incidents, but as points in a longer term strategy. From one perspective, India's current posture is seen as the culmination of plans set in motion several years ago. This viewpoint also suggests that Delhi has, over the past three years, has increased engagement with groups like the BLA, TTP and the Afghan Taliban to put pressure on Pakistan.
Domestically, the political survival of the BJP is often linked to its performance in key state elections, such as those in Bihar. Some analysts argue that this creates a potential incentive for the government to consider a limited military action against Pakistan for political purposes. This theory appeared to be tested just yesterday, when Indian aircraft approached Pakistani border near Azad Kashmir in a provocation that was ultimately successfully countered.





