US Political News and Trump’s China visit

[FuturePAF]

Curtis Sliwa said it:

This is about viewer turnout, especially how Galvanized Muslim (and South Asian voters of other faiths) voters are to come out.

For Muslim and South Asian voters, this is about belonging and respect like any other community. We live by the social contract and so should the rest of society.

Curtis is a real one. I listened to him for years on the radio growing up. Ironically, not as mayor but as the republican flag bearer, he is the best push back against Trump, such as a Trump’s threat to send the national guard to NYC.

I do agree with Curtis that we need more cops. Listen to this video and you will get a real lay of the land. It doesn’t mean that Zohran is wrong. But it means NYC has many problems that need addressing. Cuomo for those that try to get anything done in New York, know Cuomo slows down projects getting done. The demand for change is too strong and why Cuomo is not picking up enough support.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/25/nyregion/mamdani-south-asian-voters.html

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[AZ_HighCountry]

It will be interesting to know how many actually attended. Some of the "crowd" photos have already been debunked. In the case of Boston, the photo floating around social media was from 6 years ago. Go figure, right?

One thing for certain: unlike the Summer of 2020, this may have been the first liberal protest that did not result in burning, looting, or murdering.

 

[AZ_HighCountry]

Curtis Sliwa said it:

This is about viewer turnout, especially how Galvanized Muslim (and South Asian voters of other faiths) voters are to come out.

For Muslim and South Asian voters, this is about belonging and respect like any other community. We live by the social contract and so should the rest of society.

Curtis is a real one. I listened to him for years on the radio growing up. Ironically, not as mayor but as the republican flag bearer, he is the best push back against Trump, such as a Trump’s threat to send the national guard to NYC.

I do agree with Curtis that we need more cops. Listen to this video and you will get a real lay of the land. It doesn’t mean that Zohran is wrong. But it means NYC has many problems that need addressing. Cuomo for those that try to get anything done in New York, know Cuomo slows down projects getting done. The demand for change is too strong and why Cuomo is not picking up enough support.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/25/nyregion/mamdani-south-asian-voters.html

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If anyone knows the streets of NYC, it's Sliwa.

 

[FuturePAF]

It will be interesting to know how many actually attended. Some of the "crowd" photos have already been debunked. In the case of Boston, the photo floating around social media was from 6 years ago. Go figure, right?

One thing for certain: unlike the Summer of 2020, this may have been the first liberal protest that did not result in burning, looting, or murdering.

It will be interesting to see the demographic breakdown of this protest. A more middle class fall march for a couple hours.

 

[FuturePAF]

If anyone knows the streets of NYC, it's Sliwa.

He knows the city, but the city’s demographics have shifted, racially and economically, such that he doesn’t have the chance that Giuliani did in the 90s.

But much respect for Sliwa for standing by his principles and standing up to Trump, Sliwa is thinking for the long term of the city, and I have to give him respect for that.

 

[j_hungary]

That is an interesting point, even by not attending but by noticing the sizable absence of your neighbors lets you know that enough don’t like what’s happening. It might not sway you or the Mrs. But it might be enough to sway people sitting on the fence in the middle, as @j_hungary points out is all you need to shift elections.

According to peaceful protest revolution experts, you need to cross 3.5% of the population out on the streets to create an irreversible momentum for social change. Which would be around 10-12 million in the US. Perhaps we might see it by next summer depending on how things go under DJT leadership. Ultimately, thankfully we have the ballot box to let our voices be heard and acted upon.

We are now in late October (Oct 19/20), even if all the deals were done now, Christmas/Thanksgiving is still going to be hit with empty shelves and high prices because even if importers are importing now, they're not going to be able to able to make it by Thanksgiving, this is going to affect how people think about Trump's economic policy.

Which means next year is going to be a bloodbath, economically wise, because we usually count on late yearly pick-up and an increase in cash flow to the business (That's what Black Friday and Boxing Day sales were for). You can't sell anything if there is nothing on the shelves, which means business is going to feel the pressure, which means either one of the two things will happen. Either retail is going to need to borrow money to survive, or operate on lower cash flow than it used to.

Another issue is that next year, when Powell is out of the contract by April 2026 as Fed Chair, Trump is going to install a yes man in his place. I don't see how this is going to go down the drain if this is the case, mid-2026 will be hindered by low interest rates (which is what Trump always wanted), low employment, and at the same time, retail won't have enough stock to sustain their operation in the half year 2026, which mean we are going to be hit with an inflation (not enough supply), which when you combine everything, that mean we are heading into Stagflation even if the tariff was resolved by then.

The issue, however, is that Trump is currently focusing on the wrong issue; he is focusing on illegal migrants, which has done nothing for the economy. All he is doing is to drag this on, and getting further and further away from the issue, and when it hits him in the face, by then, there is pretty much nothing he or anyone can do.

The warning sign is already here, look at this poll number from CNBC (which is Trump-friendly outlet)

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Especially on this one

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75% of people surveyed said prices are rising (compared to 2024), and with that 50% of them said it's faster than usual, which means if you think 2024 was bad, 75% of people think this year is worse, and that's the reason why Harris loses in 2024 because they (Harris and her team) were disconnected with the people and they campaign on a different issue, when people say things are bad, you should listen. And I don't know, unless Trump had some special trick planned. And he can turn it around just in time for 2026 mid-term, I don't see how the GOP can keep the House and Senate unless he goes full dictator mode and abolishes elections. Because 75% of people said they are feeling the pinch, that's not a party issue; that's bi-partisan.

 

[FuturePAF]

We are now in late October (Oct 19/20), even if all the deals were done now, Christmas/Thanksgiving is still going to be hit with empty shelves and high prices because even if importers are importing now, they're not going to be able to able to make it by Thanksgiving, this is going to affect how people think about Trump's economic policy.

Which means next year is going to be a bloodbath, economically wise, because we usually count on late yearly pick-up and an increase in cash flow to the business (That's what Black Friday and Boxing Day sales were for). You can't sell anything if there is nothing on the shelves, which means business is going to feel the pressure, which means either one of the two things will happen. Either retail is going to need to borrow money to survive, or operate on lower cash flow than it used to.

Another issue is that next year, when Powell is out of the contract by April 2026 as Fed Chair, Trump is going to install a yes man in his place. I don't see how this is going to go down the drain if this is the case, mid-2026 will be hindered by low interest rates (which is what Trump always wanted), low employment, and at the same time, retail won't have enough stock to sustain their operation in the half year 2026, which mean we are going to be hit with an inflation (not enough supply), which when you combine everything, that mean we are heading into Stagflation even if the tariff was resolved by then.

The issue, however, is that Trump is currently focusing on the wrong issue; he is focusing on illegal migrants, which has done nothing for the economy. All he is doing is to drag this on, and getting further and further away from the issue, and when it hits him in the face, by then, there is pretty much nothing he or anyone can do.

The warning sign is already here, look at this poll number from CNBC (which is Trump-friendly outlet)

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View attachment 154954

View attachment 154955

Especially on this one

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View attachment 154957
75% of people surveyed said prices are rising (compared to 2024), and with that 50% of them said it's faster than usual, which means if you think 2024 was bad, 75% of people think this year is worse, and that's the reason why Harris loses in 2024 because they (Harris and her team) were disconnected with the people and they campaign on a different issue, when people say things are bad, you should listen. And I don't know, unless Trump had some special trick planned. And he can turn it around just in time for 2026 mid-term, I don't see how the GOP can keep the House and Senate unless he goes full dictator mode and abolishes elections. Because 75% of people said they are feeling the pinch, that's not a party issue; that's bi-partisan.

Do you think a massive subsidized building spree for housing could save Trump and the republicans for the midterms? Or are they counting on redistributing to minimize their losses?

We also need free job training programs to fill vacancies to make the economy pick up as well as give tax breaks to companies to pay more for trade jobs so that money circulates better in the middle class.

 

[The SC]

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[SolarWarden]

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oops!

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[The SC]

oops!

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https://x.com/i/status/1979621778621182301

 

[j_hungary]

Do you think a massive subsidized building spree for housing could save Trump and the republicans for the midterms? Or are they counting on redistributing to minimize their losses?

We also need free job training programs to fill vacancies to make the economy pick up as well as give tax breaks to companies to pay more for trade jobs so that money circulates better in the middle class.

You can build as many houses as you can, unless he is giving it out for free, or else who will have money to buy them?

You need job training and re-training to fill a vacancy; you can not just put a bunch of untrained people in their jobs. He can start a vacancy program, but the result, even if successful, is not going to be immediate.

The problem is not that people don't have a way to spend money; the problem is that everything is so expensive and nobody can afford anything. That put stress on people, and again, 75% of people said prices are rising; that's a lot, and you can't win an election when this number of people are telling you that you are doing it wrong. He needs to lower the price now, not next year, and I can't see how he can do it.

 

[FuturePAF]

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7 million out of 342 million; over 2%. Getting close to the 3.5% of an irreversible movement. Hopefully it will cross the 12 million (3.5%) mark by next summer, ahead of the midterms.

This past weekend was 2 million more than participated in June. For comparison, it’s estimated 15-26 million took part in the BLM protests; 4.5-7.8% of the population, md we saw how that swayed the electorate.

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[j_hungary]

7 million out of 342 million; over 2%. Getting close to the 3.5% of an irreversible movement. Hopefully it will cross the 12 million (3.5%) mark by next summer, ahead of the midterms.

This past weekend was 2 million more than participated in June. For comparison, it’s estimated 15-26 million took part in the BLM protests; 4.5-7.8% of the population, md we saw how that swayed the electorate.

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lol, here is a good one for you

Back in April this happened

Australian beef singled out as Donald Trump outlines latest tariffs

Australia will be subject to a 10 per cent reciprocal tariff and while Donald Trump is signalling big impacts on Australian beef, he is yet to detail just how large the tariff will be.

www.abc.net.au

And today

MSN

Buying Australian beef, get 10% Tariff

Buying Argentinian beef, bring down price for American consumer.

If only he can instantly made out the connection between the 2.........

LOL.

 

[SolarWarden]

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[AZ_HighCountry]

lol, here is a good one for you

Back in April this happened

Australian beef singled out as Donald Trump outlines latest tariffs

Australia will be subject to a 10 per cent reciprocal tariff and while Donald Trump is signalling big impacts on Australian beef, he is yet to detail just how large the tariff will be.

www.abc.net.au

View attachment 155072

And today

MSN

View attachment 155074

Buying Australian beef, get 10% Tariff

Buying Argentinian beef, bring down price for American consumer.

If only he can instantly made out the connection between the 2.........

LOL.

Mrs. AZ spent 28 years in the cattle industry. I am considering having her read and respond to you. You might learn something.