Afghanistan announces start of $10b TAPI gas pipeline project

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Afghanistan announces start of $10b TAPI gas pipeline project​

Progress on the TAPI pipeline has been repeatedly delayed because of security issues in conflict-ravaged Afghanistan

AFP
September 11, 2024

the pipes are pictured during the inauguration ceremony of the tapi pipeline project in the tagtabazar district of mary province near the zero point between turkmenistan and afghanistan on september 11 photo afp


The pipes are pictured during the inauguration ceremony of the TAPI pipeline project, in the Tagtabazar district of Mary province, near the zero point between Turkmenistan and Afghanistan, on September 11. PHOTO: AFP

Afghanistan said on Wednesday work would begin on a $10 billion gas pipeline traversing South Asia as officials joined dignitaries in neighbouring Turkmenistan to celebrate its completion on that side of the border.

Progress on the TAPI pipeline — running through Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan, and India — has been repeatedly delayed because of security issues in conflict-ravaged Afghanistan.

“From today the operations will start on Afghanistan’s soil,” Taliban government spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid said at the ceremony in comments broadcast by Afghan state television.

At the border ceremony in Islim Cheshma in Turkmenistan, officials on both sides, including Afghan Prime Minister Hassan Akhund, hailed the project.

“This project will benefit not only the economies of the countries participating but also the countries of the whole region,” Turkmen President Serdar Berdimuhamedow said in a video broadcast live at the ceremony.

In the Afghan border province of Herat, a public holiday was declared to mark the occasion, with posters celebrating the project plastered around the capital of the same name.

The pipeline will see around 33 billion cubic metres of natural gas each year extracted from the Galkynysh gas field in southeast Turkmenistan.

It will be pumped through an 1,800-kilometre pipeline traversing Afghanistan, including Herat and Kandahar in the south, before crossing into the Balochistan province in Pakistan and ending in Fazilka in Indian Punjab.

Pakistan and India will each purchase 42 per cent of the gas deliveries, and Afghanistan 16 percent, while Kabul will also benefit from lucrative transit fees of around $500 million per year, according to Afghan media.

Work on the Turkmen side began in 2015 and was initially scheduled to start in Afghanistan in 2018, but has been repeatedly delayed.

India’s commitment to the pipeline has also previously been questioned over its relationship with Pakistan and its already easy access to liquefied natural gas markets.

Jobs and cheap gas

The ceremony was an opportunity to simultaneously launch various bilateral projects, including a fibre-optic line to Herat, an electricity line, and the inauguration of a railway bridge.

In a country plagued by unemployment, TAPI “will provide jobs for 12,000 people in Afghanistan,” the government spokesman Mujahid told AFP.

Neither Afghan nor Turkmen officials have provided details on the financing or the expected date for TAPI to come online.

However, Swapnil Babele, an analyst with the research group Rystad Energy, expects further delays “as a lot of work remains to be done and the question of future financing is unclear”.

“We expect it to be operational only in the next decade,” he told AFP.

For the three recipient countries, the pipeline will have the advantage of “delivering gas cheaper than liquefied natural gas and ensuring consistent supply”.

It is the most significant development project for Taliban authorities since they seized power in 2021, ending their two-decade-long insurgency against the foreign-backed government.

The pipeline gives the government, which is not officially recognised by any nation, a strategic role in regional cooperation between Central Asia and South Asia, which is facing huge energy deficits.

Afghanistan, although still under economic and financial sanctions from the West, is currently trying to relaunch ambitious projects, particularly in energy, mines, and infrastructure.

At the end of July, Afghanistan and China officially relaunched a major copper extraction project in the world’s second-largest known deposit, near Kabul, which had been bogged down since 2008.
 
it is a cool project if it works out
It’s $2 million per km to lay down a 52” pipeline and you need a big mob to come in with the likes of Gazprom or the NIOC or Luke oil or any of the remaining Russian or Iranian oil n gas majors to pull this off.

Iran won’t allow talibunnies to bring in any western majors and neither would Russia, with the threat of starvation dangling no? Iran will starve these afghani to death if they bring in the west again in the region. China wouldn’t touch it with a 10’ pole learning their lessons from CPEC.

I’m happy to entertain any more whims here…..😝
 
It’s $2 million per km to lay down a 52” pipeline and you need a big mob to come in with the likes of Gazprom or the NIOC or Luke oil or any of the remaining Russian or Iranian oil n gas majors to pull this off.

Iran won’t allow talibunnies to bring in any western majors and neither would Russia, with the threat of starvation dangling no? Iran will starve these afghani to death if they bring in the west again in the region. China wouldn’t touch it with a 10’ pole learning their lessons from CPEC.

I’m happy to entertain any more whims here…..😝

Turkmenistan would be glad to sell. Indian would be glad to buy at the right price.
The real issue is how much are Pakistan and Taliban willing to bend backwards. the transit fees will be peanuts.
 
Turkmenistan would be glad to sell. Indian would be glad to buy at the right price.
The real issue is how much are Pakistan and Taliban willing to bend backwards. the transit fees will be peanuts.
If Iran sees any western or western affiliated middle eastern entity stake a claim on its eastern borders, the jahil lower caste talibunny is looking at starvation.

It’s just that simple!

Turkmenistan is dalit, so can’t do anything diddly on their own.

Not so simple the calculus.
 
This pipeline might be a mistake, without alternative pipelines from Iran in place to balance, the entire gas supply of Pakistan will be dependent on Afghanistan, and they can use this axiom of "cutting off gas", to build leverage on Pakistan.

They should still build it, but its important that the planners in Pakistan diversify the risks via other sources of gas, namely Iran.
 
This pipeline might be a mistake, without alternative pipelines from Iran in place to balance, the entire gas supply of Pakistan will be dependent on Afghanistan, and they can use this axiom of "cutting off gas", to build leverage on Pakistan.

They should still build it, but its important that the planners in Pakistan diversify the risks via other sources of gas, namely Iran.
Oh bhai central hatian can’t move an inch without Rhusshian and Irani turani approval no? 😝
 
Since we discovered new Oil and Gas reserve perhaps we don't need that much TAPI gas

Apparently we also have Mountains full of gold from which we have not extracted one ounce yet in 25 years

But we are blessed , or at least some portion of our 5% society
 
it means no entity in central asia will do nothing without Russia/ China/ Iran approval. No project can get a go ahead.

Well this project isn't related to those three, the gas supplied here is Turkmen gas, and its going to Pakistan, the companies working on it are western and turkmen apparently, I think Russia has shown interest as they want to pump their gas to Turkmenistan and have it go to Pakaistan.
 
The gas seems like a good source to have , helps with cooking and specially in Winter , those Rawalpindi nights quite cold
 
Well this project isn't related to those three, the gas supplied here is Turkmen gas, and its going to Pakistan, the companies working on it are western and turkmen apparently, I think Russia has shown interest as they want to pump their gas to Turkmenistan and have it go to Pakaistan.
I haven't seen Russia invest a penny in Afghanistan. And as for China, thus far its only MOU's. The only country actually giving charity to afghani today is Iran.
 
This pipeline might be a mistake, without alternative pipelines from Iran in place to balance, the entire gas supply of Pakistan will be dependent on Afghanistan, and they can use this axiom of "cutting off gas", to build leverage on Pakistan.

They should still build it, but its important that the planners in Pakistan diversify the risks via other sources of gas, namely Iran.
Where do you think gas is coming from now? Those routes will remain open, this would be addition to those we already have
 

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