China preparing for 'protracted' war, says think tank

[War Lord]

Speed is irrelevant. Taiwan under blockade don't have a lot of AD.

Lmao that "blockade" will sink and sit on the ocean floor.

 

[Yommie]

Why missiles from "Kashgar"? what you have been smoking? Taiwan is just across a narrow strait from Fujian.

Kashgar can hit any place in Taiwan. Taiwan's missiles can't reach Kashgar.

 

[Yommie]

Lmao that "blockade" will sink and sit on the ocean floor.

We shall see.

 

[War Lord]

Why missiles from "Kashgar"? what you have been smoking? Taiwan is just across a narrow strait from Fujian.

Clearly you can't read. Your own buddy suggested that move. Read up.

 

[War Lord]

Kashgar can hit any place in Taiwan. Taiwan's missiles can't reach Kashgar.

And most, if not all, of those missiles will be intercepted.

 

[Beijingwalker]

Clearly you can't read. Your own buddy suggested that move. Read up.

Why I have to follow someone's suggestions? I speak for myself only.

 

[Beijingwalker]

And most, if not all, of those missiles will be intercepted.

Lol, how do you know?

 

[War Lord]

Lol, how do you know?

I have done my research on the topic. More than you and your brethern combined if I may say so.

 

[Beijingwalker]

I have done my research on the topic. More than you and your brethern combined if I may say so.

You've done nothing, that's why you have nothing else to say.

 

[Beijingwalker]

I have done my research on the topic. More than you and your brethern combined if I may say so.

Your "research" tells you that China won't attack Taiwan from "Kashgar"? lol, what a nice "research".

 

[Yommie]

We will come suddenly one day. Without warning. Taiwan's days are numbered.

 

[Beijingwalker]

We will come suddenly one day. Without warning. Taiwan's days are numbered.

China's goal is never only about Taiwan, that can always wait, China wants to change the whole world order.

 

[DarthVader]

You put a lot of faith in the Chinese military, which hasn't fought a major war in over 30 years. It failed to win against Vietnam 30+ years ago or against the US 70+ years ago. Neither has it been able to retake Taiwan for over half a century.

Going back to what you said....it'll be obvious if/when China moves it's missile launchers. Taiwan has a robust defense around the island which can intercept most, if not all, Chinese missiles.

If China sends "hundreds" of missiles then so will Taiwan.

Taiwan has missiles that can reach up to 600 km and is working on missiles that can reach up to 2,000 km practically able to hit anywhere in Eastern China.

Example:

View attachment 19345

It also has the Patriot ABM system, which has destroyed multiple Russian hypersonic cruise missiles so far, as well as home grown ABM systems with a range of 300 km.

They're also building more ABM sites. They also have loitering munitions that have a range of 1,000km and can fly for up to 100 hours, at a speed of 185 km/hr.

I really wouldn't underestimate Taiwan and overestimate China.

China recently said that it doesn't care if it losses 100-600M people in a war with Taiwan. You can clearly see through this "statement" that they expect to lose millions, if not hundreds of millions, of people.

I m not overestimating or underestimating anyone.
Neither China is Russia nor Taiwan is Ukraine.

Let's go with the simplest way,
China goes with the Scorched Earth policy. We are seeing this in Gaza.
At its closets, the distance between China and Taiwan is around 250 Km, WS 2 has a range of 350 KM according to some sources. Now normally it won't be just ballistic missiles. it will be massive swarms with hi-low weapons.
even with ballistic missiles, the time is minutes not hours. even with all systems fully ready to intercept, it will not be able to hit everything even 10 to 20 % of ballistic missiles hit its target what do you think will happen I'm giving an 80 / 90 % success rate to all Taiwanese systems combined working perfectly.
Taiwan is not a large Country even with saturated systems, no one can give a 100% success rate.
China can set a no-go area close to Taiwan 100 - 200 KM away , and blockade at a relatively safe distance.
The biggest advantage and its weakness is its location. it's an island nation that can be blocked. Very limited in its space, in large countries if you have a large enemy pushing. you can retreat and re-group and attack again. but in the case of Taiwan where you retreat.
Check the average age for Taiwan. it's not young people. War is not just about shooting missiles. With the destruction of the Taiwanese system, China can just literally sit back and hold its troops back and lower its losses. Both can fight with AD systems and can hold off large military pushes but Taiwan can't survive for long when it has no supply routes open.
How will they provide to the people? How you will provide for the military.Even if Taiwan controls around 150 KM of its zone. China can just out reach Taiwan.

It's all nice and Good but in the modern world, no one wants its people to die for some other country.

 

[Hamartia Antidote]

With due respect, China will hit with shock and awe.

No, it won't. The biggest shock and awe the Chinese Government is going to cause if it does that is the appalling response of its own people seeing the Taiwanese population (ie fellow Chinese) getting killed again for basically no reason. The CCP will be seen as no better than the Imperial Japanese.

 

[Beijingwalker]

No, it won't. The biggest shock and awe the Chinese Government is going to cause if it does that is the appalling response of its own people seeing the Taiwanese (Chinese) population getting killed for basically no reason. The CCP will be seen as no better than the Imperial Japanese.

As long as Taiwan is still Republic of China, it's safe. there's no reason for China to attack.