Covid-19 News and Discussions


COVID hospitalizations hit new low for the year as BCCDC switches to monthly reports​

The exterior of the B.C. Centre for Disease Control office in Vancouver is seen in this photo from the centre's website. (bccdc.ca)
The exterior of the B.C. Centre for Disease Control office in Vancouver is seen in this photo from the centre's website. (bccdc.ca)
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Ian Holliday
CTVNewsVancouver.ca Journalist
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Published April 25, 2024 7:51 p.m. EDT
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The number of people in B.C. hospitals with COVID-19 dropped to a new 2024 low for a second week in a row Thursday, as the B.C. Centre for Disease Control prepares to switch to its summer reporting schedule.
There were 105 test-positive patients in hospitals around the province Thursday, the lowest total the BCCDC has reported so far this year, and a slight decrease from the 112 reported last week.

covid-hospitalizations-b-c--april-25--2024-1-6862524-1714088911355.png
The number of people in hospital with COVID-19 in B.C. in 2024, as reported in public updates from the BCCDC, is shown. (CTV News)
This week's total is the lowest the BCCDC has reported since last August and is less than a third of the hospital population reported in late April last year.

RELATED STORIES​

The BCCDC's April 20, 2023, update showed 316 people in hospital with COVID.
Notably, the number of COVID-positive patients the agency reports in its updates includes both those who have serious cases of the disease requiring hospitalization, and those who are admitted to hospital for other reasons and test positive for COVID incidentally.
CTV News tracks the reported hospital population as a rough proxy for the spread and severity of COVID in the province at a given time, though other data shared by the BCCDC can also help illustrate trends.
On Thursday, the agency reported 252 new infections confirmed through lab-based testing during the most recent epidemiological week, which spanned April 14 to 20.
That total is identical to the one the BCCDC reported for the preceding epidemiological week, but because more tests were conducted during the week ending April 20, the percentage of tests coming back positive declined in the most recent update. Test positivity was 8.8 per cent during the last epidemiological week, down from 9.2 per cent the week before.
Thursday's data represents the penultimate weekly report from the BCCDC before it reduces the frequency of such reports. Next week's update on May 2 will be the last one until the first Thursday of June.
Last year, the agency provided monthly updates on COVID-19 data from May through September, before reverting to biweekly and then weekly reports in the fall.
The BCCDC has not indicated when weekly reporting will resume this year.
While COVID data will be reported monthly starting in May, reports on other respiratory illnesses will cease to be shared until the fall, according to the BCCDC.
Wastewater surveillance data(opens in a new tab) will continue to be updated on a weekly basis, however.
 

COVID-19
Through Respiratory DataMart, SARS-CoV-2 increased to 7.1% compared with 4.6% in the previous week .COVID-19 case rates and positivity in Pillar 1 increased overall, within all age groups, and most regions and ethnic groups in week 17. National influenza and COVID-19 report: week 18 report (up to week 17 2024 data)5 The overall number of reported SARS-CoV-2 confirmed ARI incidents in week 17 increased compared with the previous week. There were 17 SARS-CoV-2 confirmed ARI incidents reported in week 17 in England. Overall, COVID-19 hospitalisations increased to 2.56 per 100,000 compared with 1.97 per100,000 in the previous week. Hospitalisations were highest in the 85 years and over agegroup. COVID-19 ICU admissions remained low and stable at 0.07 per 100,000 in week 17.
 

Janet Hanlin

Admin
· eonpSsordt cc0371P193A03i tM8 09i9g0laf6r71til8t4:19a80fpt4 ·

Weekly Ontario Update for Friday, April 26, 2024:

Public Health Ontario has further reduced the amount of data available to the public. In addition, Health Canada has stopped reporting hospitalization data as some provinces are no longer tracking COVID hospitalizations. Unless indicated otherwise, information in this update includes data from Sunday, April 14 to Saturday, April 20, so data is delayed.
Data relating to deaths is even further delayed as cause of death is taking MONTHS to be determined. So recent deaths are far WORSE that are reported.

  • Recent cases: 647 (- 61 compared to last week)
    Estimates suggest that the actual number of new cases could be more than 10 times higher than what is being reported due to limited eligibility for testing!
  • Weekly positivity rate: 5.6% (- 0.4% since last week)
  • Recent deaths: 12 (3 more than last week)
    - Total deaths are no longer being reported

    Recent deaths are a lagging indicator of the current level of new cases. Deaths are underreported because they are based on date of death and by the time the cause of death is reported, it is no longer considered recent!
  • Average daily hospital bed occupancy: 284* (+ 35 since last week week).
    *Please interpret the COVID-19 hospitalization data with caution as not all centers are reporting.
    .
Full list of those eligible for testing can be found here (updated): https://www.ontario.ca/.../covid-19-testing-and-treatment...
Sources: Total cases, total deaths, testing levels and wastewater levels: https://www.publichealthontario.ca/.../Respiratory-Virus...
Some additional COVID stats and info: https://twitter.com/MoriartyLab
 

Surge in Covid cases prompt fears of a mini-wave​

Proportion of people testing positive for the virus has jumped from 4.6 per cent to 7.1 per cent in the space of a week​

Covid test
Scientists will want to find out what is behind the surge (Photo: Getty)
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By Jane Merrick
Policy Editor
May 2, 2024 6:37 pm(Updated 7:13 pm)

The proportion of people testing positive for Covid has jumped in the space of a week, latest figures have revealed.
Positivity rates from the virus through the UK Health Security Agency’s (UKHSA) surveillance system were 7.1 per cent last week, compared to 4.6 per cent the previous week.
The figures relate to the proportion of people who take a Covid test, not the overall population. Positivity rates were highest in those aged over 65, at 10.4 per cent.


While people testing positive for Covid can be typically at 10 per cent or higher in the winter, the sudden jump from 4.6 per cent to 7.1 per cent in a week, in the middle of spring, is likely to prompt concerns of a mini-wave of the virus.
The UKHSA urged people eligible for a Covid vaccine to have their spring booster.
There were 297 positive samples for Covid out of 4,196 specimens reported by laboratories in the Respiratory DataMart System, which carries out ongoing surveillance for the virus.
Hospitalisations from Covid also increased slightly from 1.97 to 2.56 per 100,000 over the one-week period.



However, this rate is far lower than the peak of the pandemic, when admissions were at more than 30 per 100,000.
People eligible for a spring booster – those aged 75 years and over, care home residents and people who are immunosuppressed – have until 30 June to have the jab.
Dr Mary Ramsay, director of public health programmes at UKHSA, said: “Now is the time to get a Covid-19 spring booster if you’re eligible, as we’re starting to see a rise in Covid-19 cases and hospitalisations after a few weeks of low activity.
”The Covid-19 vaccine offers the best protection for those most at risk as the virus spreads. So, if you are aged 75 and over, a resident in a care home for older adults, or have a weakened immune system, book now. You don’t have to wait for the NHS to get in contact with you.
“If you have symptoms of flu or Covid-19 try to stay at home, as this helps protect others, especially those who are vulnerable. If you do need to go out when you are unwell especially if you attending settings with vulnerable people, consider wearing a mask.”
 

Indonesia replaces imported COVID vaccines with safer domestic ones​

  • May 3, 2024 20:06 GMT+700
Jakarta (ANTARA) -

The Indonesian government has replaced imported COVID-19 vaccines with domestically produced ones that have lower chances of side effects, according to Health Minister Budi Gunadi Sadikin.

"Now, the government is only distributing domestically produced vaccines that are relatively safer," he said at Merdeka Palace, Jakarta, on Friday, in response to reports on the AstraZeneca vaccine causing thrombosis, or blood clots.

Sadikin affirmed that COVID-19 vaccines are still needed in Indonesia, particularly to protect people with comorbidities and those planning to travel overseas.

Even though Indonesia has transitioned from the COVID-19 pandemic to endemic status, he noted that the SARS-CoV-2 virus is still a global health concern.

He said that the government has been advising those scheduled to join the Hajj pilgrimage this year to take another dose of the COVID-19 vaccine.

"We would like to remind prospective Hajj pilgrims of the fact that COVID-19 still exists. However, it is up to them to use the vaccines or not, as we have transitioned from pandemic to endemic," he added.

The minister then appealed to people with comorbidities to protect themselves from the virus by getting another dose of the vaccine.

"You can do vaccination again. Do not forget to use domestic vaccines," he told people with comorbidities.

Earlier, it was reported that the Ministry of Health has been replacing foreign COVID-19 vaccines with national vaccines, including the IndoVac vaccine produced by state-owned Bio Farma in Bandung, since 2022.

Additionally, Indonesia is producing the InaVac vaccine, which is being manufactured by the University of Airlangga and PT BiotisPharmaceutical Indonesia in Bogor district, West Java.

Another national vaccine circulating in Indonesia is AWcorna, which is being produced by PT Etana Biotechnologies Indonesia in collaboration with China's Abogen-Yuxi Walvax in East Jakarta.
 

Indonesia replaces imported COVID vaccines with safer domestic ones​

  • May 3, 2024 20:06 GMT+700
Jakarta (ANTARA) -

The Indonesian government has replaced imported COVID-19 vaccines with domestically produced ones that have lower chances of side effects, according to Health Minister Budi Gunadi Sadikin.

"Now, the government is only distributing domestically produced vaccines that are relatively safer," he said at Merdeka Palace, Jakarta, on Friday, in response to reports on the AstraZeneca vaccine causing thrombosis, or blood clots.

Sadikin affirmed that COVID-19 vaccines are still needed in Indonesia, particularly to protect people with comorbidities and those planning to travel overseas.

Even though Indonesia has transitioned from the COVID-19 pandemic to endemic status, he noted that the SARS-CoV-2 virus is still a global health concern.

He said that the government has been advising those scheduled to join the Hajj pilgrimage this year to take another dose of the COVID-19 vaccine.

"We would like to remind prospective Hajj pilgrims of the fact that COVID-19 still exists. However, it is up to them to use the vaccines or not, as we have transitioned from pandemic to endemic," he added.

The minister then appealed to people with comorbidities to protect themselves from the virus by getting another dose of the vaccine.

"You can do vaccination again. Do not forget to use domestic vaccines," he told people with comorbidities.

Earlier, it was reported that the Ministry of Health has been replacing foreign COVID-19 vaccines with national vaccines, including the IndoVac vaccine produced by state-owned Bio Farma in Bandung, since 2022.

Additionally, Indonesia is producing the InaVac vaccine, which is being manufactured by the University of Airlangga and PT BiotisPharmaceutical Indonesia in Bogor district, West Java.

Another national vaccine circulating in Indonesia is AWcorna, which is being produced by PT Etana Biotechnologies Indonesia in collaboration with China's Abogen-Yuxi Walvax in East Jakarta.
Covid vaccine I think will be given to kids nationwide in Indonesia.
 

2 new COVID variants called 'FLiRT' are spreading in the U.S. What are the symptoms?​

Caroline Kee
Fri, May 3, 2024 at 6:38 PM EDT·9 min read
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2 new COVID variants called 'FLiRT' are spreading in the U.S. What are the symptoms?





Respiratory virus season may be ending in the United States, but a new group of COVID-19 variants are circulating, sparking concerns about a potential summer wave.
The family of variants, nicknamed "FLiRT," after their mutations, include KP.2, which is now the dominant variant in the United States. In recent weeks, KP.2 quickly overtook JN.1, the omicron subvariant that drove a surge in COVID cases this past winter.
Currently, KP.2 accounts for one in four infections nationwide, according to the latest data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

During a two-week period ending April 27, KP.2 made up nearly 25% of cases in the U.S., up from about 10% during the previous two-week period ending on April 13. After KP.2, the next most common variant is JN,1, which accounts for 22% of cases, followed by two JN.1 subvariants, JN.1.7 and JN.1.13.1.
Another FLiRT variant, called KP.1.1, is also circulating in the U.S., but is less widespread than KP.2. It currently accounts for about 7.5% of infections nationwide, per the CDC.
Although cases and hospitalizations are down and the country is in the middle of a COVID-19 lull, the new FLiRT variants are stoking concerns about another wave of infections this summer.
Will there be another COVID-19 surge? What are the symptoms of the FLiRT variants? Are vaccines still effective? We spoke to experts to learn more.

What are the FLIRT variants?

The FLiRT variants — KP.2 and KP.1.1 — are spinoffs of JN.1.11.1, a direct descendant of JN.1, and were initially detected in wastewater samples from across the country.
The new variants have two additional mutations that set them apart from JN.1 and appear to give them an advantage over previous variants, Dr. Albert Ko, infectious disease physician and professor of public health, epidemiology and medicine at Yale School of Public Health, tells TODAY.com.
The nickname 'FLiRT" is based on the technical names for their mutations, according to the Infectious Disease Society of America.
Just like other COVID-19 strains that have gained dominance in the U.S. over the last year — JN.1, HV.1, EG.5 aka Eris, and XBB.1.16 or Arcturus — the FLiRT variants part of the omicron family.
The emergence of KP.2 and other FLiRT variants is the "same old story," Andrew Pekosz, Ph.D., virologist at Johns Hopkins University, tells TODAY.com. The SARS-CoV-2 virus mutates and gives rise to a new, highly contagious variant, which becomes the dominant strain. "The timeline that it happens in, three to six months, is much faster than we see with other viruses like influenza," says Pekosz.

Are the new variants more transmissible?

“It’s still early days, but the initial impression is that this variant (KP.2) is rather transmissible,” Dr. William Schaffner, professor of infectious diseases at Vanderbilt University Medical Center, tells TODAY.com.
The proportion of cases caused by KP.2 is increasing while the proportion caused by other variants is decreasing, which suggests KP.2 has features that give it an advantage, the experts note.
KP.2 looks very similar to its parental strain JN.1, says Pekosz, which is highly contagious. "Except it has these two mutations. ... I think these two mutations together are making KP.2 a better virus in that it maintains its ability to transmit, but also now evades some of the pre-existing immunity in the population,” says Pekosz.
Over 97% of people in the U.S. have natural or vaccine-induced antibodies against the the SARS-CoV-2 virus, per the CDC, but this immune protection fades over time.
Low vaccination rates and waning immunity create a vulnerable population, which may allow the FLiRT variants to take hold. Only time and more data will tell, the experts note.
Laboratory studies suggest that KP.2 is mutated enough such that current vaccines and immunity from prior infection will only provide partial protection, says Schaffner. "We'll have to see how true that is, but it appears, over time to be becoming a more prominent variant," he adds.
“It’s still really early in the emergence of KP.2, but I don’t think we need to sound the alarm bells as of yet,” says Ko.

Will there be a summer surge?

It's too soon to tell whether the FLiRT variants will cause a summer wave or surge, the experts note. However, it is clear that COVID-19 is still circulating and won't be taking any time off.
"We're seeing these infections year-round, at modulating levels. ... We’re probably not at the stage yet where we’ll see COVID go away completely at any time of the year,” says Pekosz.
Test positivity, which is an early indicator of case levels, is at 3% as of April 20, down 0.4% from the previous week and a sharp decline from around 12% in mid-January, per the CDC. (The CDC no longer tracks the total number of cases in the U.S.)
"We're not seeing a lot of hospitalizations, and we're certainly much lower than we were in the winter, so I'd say right now we're at a low point, which is reassuring," says Ko.
Wastewater data published by the CDC show that the viral activity level for COVID-19 is currently “minimal” — it was considered high or very high for most of January and February.
"It seems like transmission is pretty low right now, and that makes sense because usually the big peaks are in the winter, when people are inside and in more contact," says Ko.
COVID-19 has caused summer waves in the past, the experts note, which are often smaller than the winter surges. “I don’t think that we’ll see any kind of massive surge in cases,” says Pekosz.
Speculating based on current COVID-19 trends, Ko says, “KP.2 may cause a small wave, but not necessarily the large peaks that we saw in the winter — again, it is too early to tell.”
The seasonality of COVID-19 is something scientists are still trying to understand. But one thing is obvious: “This virus is now integrating itself into our population and our way of life,” says Schaffner.
There are several reassuring factors, says Ko. First, KP.2 is not a highly divergent variant — in other words, it doesn't have a very large number of new mutations that differentiate it from other strains. Second, many people have immunity from recently being infected with the FLiRT variant predecessor JN.1. Last, during the summertime, people are spending less time indoors, which allows the virus fewer opportunities to spread.
“I’m not expecting a large surge in the summer, but again, we have to be cautious and we have to follow the data,” says Ko. “We always have to be humble because SARS-CoV-2 has taught us a lot of new things.”

What are the symptoms of the newest COVID variants?

It is still too early to tell whether the symptoms of KP.2 and other FLiRT variants are different from previous strains.
“The FLiRT variants are probably not going to create very distinctive symptoms. It looks at the moment to follow the other subvariants,” says Schaffner.
The symptoms of the FLiRT variants are similar to those caused by JN.1, which include:
  • Sore throat
  • Cough
  • Fatigue
  • Congestion
  • Runny nose
  • Headache
  • Muscle aches
  • Fever or chills
  • New loss of sense of taste or smell
  • Shortness of breath or difficulty breathing
  • Nausea or vomiting
  • Diarrhea
According to the CDC, the type and severity of symptoms a person experiences usually depend more on a person’s underlying health and immunity rather than the variant that caused the infection.
Similar to JN.1 and other omicron subvariants, the FLiRT variants seem to be causing milder infections, says Schaffer.
“There’s no evidence now that makes us think KP.2 is more virulent or more able to cause severe disease than the prior variants,” says Ko.

Do vaccines protect against newer variants?

"Early laboratory studies indicate that the vaccines will continue to provide protection against KP.2 — a little less protection, but not zero by any means," says Schaffner.
As the virus mutates, it is becoming progressively different from the omicron strain targeted in the latest updated booster released in the fall of 2023. "We would expect that to happen, and we anticipate the plan is to have an updated vaccine in the fall available to everyone," says Schaffner.
Even if vaccines do not prevent infection, they can still offer some protection by preventing severe disease, hospitalization, and COVID-19 complications, TODAY.com previously reported.
“It’s still clear that the more severe cases that come into the emergency room predominate in people who either are not up to date on their vaccines or haven’t gotten a vaccine in a really long period of time,” says Pekosz.
Vaccination is especially important for the elderly, says Pekosz, which is why the CDC recently recommended adults ages 65 and older get an additional dose of the 2023-2024 updated COVID-19 vaccine.
Unfortunately, vaccination uptake is still poor, the experts note. "The vaccines are still showing signatures of effectiveness, but they're not being utilized anywhere close to the level that they should be," says Pekosz.
All current PCR and at-home tests are recognizing KP.2 and other FLiRT variants, the experts note. (Though if you have symptoms of COVID and test negative, it's a good idea to stay home to avoid potentially exposing other people, TODAY.com previously reported.
If you are using an at-home antigen test, always remember to check the expiration date and whether it’s been extended by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration.
“Antivirals (such as Paxlovid) are also working well. ... There’s not any major signals of antiviral resistance in the population, which is a positive sign,” says Pekosz.

How to protect against new FLiRT variants​

While it's too early to tell how the FLiRT variants will pan out this summer, people can always take steps to protect themselves and others against COVID-19.
The CDC recommends the following prevention strategies:
  • Stay up to date with COVID-19 vaccines.
  • Test for COVID-19 if you have symptoms or an exposure.
  • Stay home when you are sick.
  • Return to normal activities only after you have been fever-free and symptoms have been improving for at least 24 hours.
  • Practice good hand hygiene.
  • Improve ventilation.
  • Wear a mask in crowded, indoor spaces.
  • Practice social distancing.
This article was originally published on TODAY.com
 

Thousands Believe Covid Vaccines Harmed Them. Is Anyone Listening?​

All vaccines have at least occasional side effects. But people who say they were injured by Covid vaccines believe their cases have been ignored.
Shaun Barcavage, 54, a nurse practitioner in New York City, said that ever since his first Covid shot, standing up has sent his heart racing.Credit...Hannah Yoon for The New York Times
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Apoorva Mandavilli
By Apoorva Mandavilli
Apoorva Mandavilli spent more than a year talking to dozens of experts in vaccine science, policymakers and people who said they had experienced serious side effects after receiving a Covid-19 vaccine.
  • May 3, 2024
Within minutes of getting the Johnson & Johnson Covid-19 vaccine, Michelle Zimmerman felt pain racing from her left arm up to her ear and down to her fingertips. Within days, she was unbearably sensitive to light and struggled to remember simple facts.
She was 37, with a Ph.D. in neuroscience, and until then could ride her bicycle 20 miles, teach a dance class and give a lecture on artificial intelligence, all in the same day. Now, more than three years later, she lives with her parents. Eventually diagnosed with brain damage, she cannot work, drive or even stand for long periods of time.
“When I let myself think about the devastation of what this has done to my life, and how much I’ve lost, sometimes it feels even too hard to comprehend,” said Dr. Zimmerman, who believes her injury is due to a contaminated vaccine batch.
The Covid vaccines, a triumph of science and public health, are estimated to have prevented millions of hospitalizations and deaths. Yet even the best vaccines produce rare but serious side effects. And the Covid vaccines have been given to more than 270 million people in the United States, in nearly 677 million doses.
Dr. Zimmerman’s account is among the more harrowing, but thousands of Americans believe they suffered serious side effects following Covid vaccination. As of April, just over 13,000 vaccine-injury compensation claims have been filed with the federal government — but to little avail. Only 19 percent have been reviewed. Only 47 of those were deemed eligible for compensation, and only 12 have been paid out, at an average of about $3,600.
Some scientists fear that patients with real injuries are being denied help and believe that more needs to be done to clarify the possible risks.
“At least long Covid has been somewhat recognized,” said Akiko Iwasaki, an immunologist and vaccine expert at Yale University. But people who say they have post-vaccination injuries are “just completely ignored and dismissed and gaslighted,” she added.
Image
Michelle Zimmerman sits on the floor of a ballroom where she used to dance, with a pair of dancing shoes next to her. She wears a dark skirt and a red velvet shirt.

Once Michelle Zimmerman, who has a Ph.D. in neuroscience, could ride her bicycle 20 miles, teach a dance class and give a lecture on artificial intelligence, all in the same day.Credit...Jovelle Tamayo for The New York Times
In interviews and email exchanges conducted over several months, federal health officials insisted that serious side effects were extremely rare and that their surveillance efforts were more than sufficient to detect patterns of adverse events.
“Hundreds of millions of people in the United States have safely received Covid vaccines under the most intense safety monitoring in U.S. history,” Jeff Nesbit, a spokesman for the Department of Health and Human Services, said in an emailed statement.
But in a recent interview, Dr. Janet Woodcock, a longtime leader of the Food and Drug Administration, who retired in February, said she believed that some recipients had experienced uncommon but “serious” and “life-changing” reactions beyond those described by federal agencies.
“I feel bad for those people,” said Dr. Woodcock, who became the F.D.A.’s acting commissioner in January 2021 as the vaccines were rolling out. “I believe their suffering should be acknowledged, that they have real problems, and they should be taken seriously.”
“I’m disappointed in myself,” she added. “I did a lot of things I feel very good about, but this is one of the few things I feel I just didn’t bring it home.”
Federal officials and independent scientists face a number of challenges in identifying potential vaccine side effects.
The nation’s fragmented health care system complicates detection of very rare side effects, a process that depends on an analysis of huge amounts of data. That’s a difficult task when a patient may be tested for Covid at Walgreens, get vaccinated at CVS, go to a local clinic for minor ailments and seek care at a hospital for serious conditions. Each place may rely on different health record systems.
There is no central repository of vaccine recipients, nor of medical records, and no easy to way to pool these data. Reports to the largest federal database of so-called adverse events can be made by anyone, about anything. It’s not even clear what officials should be looking for.
“I mean, you’re not going to find ‘brain fog’ in the medical record or claims data, and so then you’re not going to find” a signal that it may be linked to vaccination, Dr. Woodcock said. If such a side effect is not acknowledged by federal officials, “it’s because it doesn’t have a good research definition,” she added. “It isn’t, like, malevolence on their part.”

Four Years of Covid​

Card 1 of 6
We asked readers how Covid has changed their attitudes towards life. Here is what they said:
“I'm a much more grateful person. Life is precious, and I see the beauty in all the little miracles that happen all around me. I'm a humbled human being now. I have more empathy and compassion towards everyone.” — Gil Gallegos, 59, Las Vegas, N.M.
“The pandemic has completely changed my approach to educating my child. My spouse and I had never seriously considered homeschooling until March 2020. Now, we wouldn't have it any other way.” — Kim Harper, 47, Clinton, Md.
“I had contamination OCD before the pandemic began. The last four years have been a steady string of my worst fears coming true. I never feel safe anymore. I know very well now that my body can betray me at any time.” — Adelia Brown, 23, Madison, Wis.
“I don’t take for granted the pleasure of being around people. Going to a show, a road trip, a restaurant, people watching at the opera. I love it.” — Philip Gunnels, 66, Sugar Land, Texas
“My remaining years are limited. On the one hand, I feel cheated out of many experiences I was looking forward to; on the other hand, I do not want to live my remaining years with long Covid. It’s hard.” — Sandra Wulach, 77, Edison, N.J.





The government’s understaffed compensation fund has paid so little because it officially recognizes few side effects for Covid vaccines. And vaccine supporters, including federal officials, worry that even a whisper of possible side effects feeds into misinformation spread by a vitriolic anti-vaccine movement.
Image
A close-up view of a bandaged arm after receiving a vaccine.

Credit...Kristian Thacker for The New York Times

‘I’m Not Real’​

Patients who believe they experienced serious side effects say they have received little support or acknowledgment.
Shaun Barcavage, 54, a nurse practitioner in New York City who has worked on clinical trials for H.I.V. and Covid, said that ever since his first Covid shot, merely standing up sent his heart racing — a symptom suggestive of postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome, a neurological disorder that some studies have linked to both Covid and, much less often, vaccination.
He also experienced stinging pain in his eyes, mouth and genitals, which has abated, and tinnitus, which has not.
“I can’t get the government to help me,” Mr. Barcavage said of his fruitless pleas to federal agencies and elected representatives. “I am told I’m not real. I’m told I’m rare. I’m told I’m coincidence.”
Renee France, 49, a physical therapist in Seattle, developed Bell’s palsy — a form of facial paralysis, usually temporary — and a dramatic rash that neatly bisected her face. Bell’s palsy is a known side effect of other vaccines, and it has been linked to Covid vaccination in some studies.
But Ms. France said doctors were dismissive of any connection to the Covid vaccines. The rash, a bout of shingles, debilitated her for three weeks, so Ms. France reported it to federal databases twice.

“I thought for sure someone would reach out, but no one ever did,” she said.
Similar sentiments were echoed in interviews, conducted over more than a year, with 30 people who said they had been harmed by Covid shots. They described a variety of symptoms following vaccination, some neurological, some autoimmune, some cardiovascular.
All said they had been turned away by physicians, told their symptoms were psychosomatic, or labeled anti-vaccine by family and friends — despite the fact that they supported vaccines.
Image
A portrait of Dr. Buddy Creech, who wears brown slacks and a dark blue jacket and light orange tie, and stands in a campus area of Vanderbilt University.

Dr. Buddy Creech, 50, who led several Covid vaccine trials at Vanderbilt University, said his tinnitus and racing heart lasted about a week after each shot.Credit...Eric Ryan Anderson for The New York Times
Image
A portrait of Renee France, who wears a white sweater with black stripes and leans against a picnic-style table in her home.

Renee France, 48, a physical therapist in Seattle, developed Bell’s palsy — a form of facial paralysis, usually temporary — and a dramatic rash.Credit...Jovelle Tamayo for The New York Times
Even leading experts in vaccine science have run up against disbelief and ambivalence.
Dr. Gregory Poland, 68, editor in chief of the journal Vaccine, said that a loud whooshing sound in his ears had accompanied every moment since his first shot, but that his entreaties to colleagues at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to explore the phenomenon, tinnitus, had led nowhere.
He received polite responses to his many emails, but “I just don’t get any sense of movement,” he said.
“If they have done studies, those studies should be published,” Dr. Poland added. In despair that he might “never hear silence again,” he has sought solace in meditation and his religious faith.
Dr. Buddy Creech, 50, who led several Covid vaccine trials at Vanderbilt University, said his tinnitus and racing heart lasted about a week after each shot. “It’s very similar to what I experienced during acute Covid, back in March of 2020,” Dr. Creech said.
Research may ultimately find that most reported side effects are unrelated to the vaccine, he acknowledged. Many can be caused by Covid itself.
“Regardless, when our patients experience a side effect that may or may not be related to the vaccine, we owe it to them to investigate that as completely as we can,” Dr. Creech said.
Federal health officials say they do not believe that the Covid vaccines caused the illnesses described by patients like Mr. Barcavage, Dr. Zimmerman and Ms. France. The vaccines may cause transient reactions, such as swelling, fatigue and fever, according to the C.D.C., but the agency has documented only four serious but rare side effects.
Two are associated with the Johnson & Johnson vaccine, which is no longer available in the United States: Guillain-Barré syndrome, a known side effect of other vaccines, including the flu shot; and a blood-clotting disorder.
The C.D.C. also links mRNA vaccines made by Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna to heart inflammation, or myocarditis, especially in boys and young men. And the agency warns of anaphylaxis, or severe allergic reaction, which can occur after any vaccination.

Listening for Signals​

Agency scientists are monitoring large databases containing medical information on millions of Americans for patterns that might suggest a hitherto unknown side effect of vaccination, said Dr. Demetre Daskalakis, director of the C.D.C.’s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases.
“We toe the line by reporting the signals that we think are real signals and reporting them as soon as we identify them as signals,” he said. The agency’s systems for monitoring vaccine safety are “pretty close” to ideal, he said.
25vaccine-side-effects-zimmerman-quad-01-tqbf-mobileMasterAt3x.jpg

Dr. Zimmerman now lives with her parents, and said she could not work, drive or even stand for long periods of time.
Those national surveillance efforts include the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS). It is the largest database, but also the least reliable: Reports of side effects can be submitted by anyone and are not vetted, so they may be subject to bias or manipulation.
The system contains roughly one million reports regarding Covid vaccination, the vast majority for mild events, according to the C.D.C.
Federal researchers also comb through databases that combine electronic health records and insurance claims on tens of millions of Americans. The scientists monitor the data for 23 conditions that may occur following Covid vaccination. Officials remain alert to others that may pop up, Dr. Daskalakis said.
But there are gaps, some experts noted. The Covid shots administered at mass vaccination sites were not recorded in insurance claims databases, for example, and medical records in the United States are not centralized.
“It’s harder to see signals when you have so many people, and things are happening in different parts of the country, and they’re not all collected in the same system,” said Rebecca Chandler, a vaccine safety expert at the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations.
An expert panel convened by the National Academies concluded in April that for the vast majority of side effects, there was not enough data to accept or reject a link.
Asked at a recent congressional hearing whether the nation’s vaccine-safety surveillance was sufficient, Dr. Peter Marks, director of the F.D.A.’s Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research, said, “I do believe we could do better.”

Image

Mr. Barcavage’s EKG readings on his phone at home. He was among the first to receive the Pfizer vaccine in 2020, and his symptoms included stinging pain in his eyes, mouth and genitals, which has abated, and tinnitus, which has not.Credit...Hannah Yoon for The New York Times
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“I am told I’m not real. I’m told I’m rare. I’m told I’m coincidence,” Mr. Barcavage said.Credit...Hannah Yoon for The New York Times

A Red Flag​

In some countries with centralized health care systems, officials have actively sought out reports of serious side effects of Covid vaccines and reached conclusions that U.S. health authorities have not.

More on Covid-19​

In Hong Kong, the government analyzed centralized medical records of patients after vaccination and paid people to come forward with problems. The strategy identified “a lot of mild cases that other countries would not otherwise pick up,” said Ian Wong, a researcher at the University of Hong Kong who led the nation’s vaccine safety efforts.
That included the finding that in rare instances — about seven per million doses — the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine triggered a bout of shingles serious enough to require hospitalization.
The European Medicines Agency has linked the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines to facial paralysis, tingling sensations and numbness. The E.M.A. also counts tinnitus as a side effect of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine, although the American health agencies do not. There are more than 17,000 reports of tinnitus following Covid vaccination in VAERS.
Are the two linked? It’s not clear. As many as one in four adults has some form of tinnitus. Stress, anxiety, grief and aging can lead to the condition, as can infections like Covid itself and the flu.
There is no test or scan for tinnitus, and scientists cannot easily study it because the inner ear is tiny, delicate and encased in bone, said Dr. Konstantina Stankovic, an otolaryngologist at Stanford University.
Still, an analysis of health records from nearly 2.6 million people in the United States found that about 0.04 percent, or about 1,000, were diagnosed with tinnitus within three weeks of their first mRNA shot. In March, researchers in Australia published a study linking tinnitus and vertigo to the vaccines.
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The F.D.A. is monitoring reports of tinnitus, but “at this time, the available evidence does not suggest a causal association with the Covid-19 vaccines,” the agency said in a statement.
Despite surveillance efforts, U.S. officials were not the first to identify a significant Covid vaccine side effect: myocarditis in young people receiving mRNA vaccines. It was Israeli authorities who first raised the alarm in April 2021. Officials in the United States said at the time that they had not seen a link.
On May 22, 2021, news broke that the C.D.C. was investigating a “relatively few” cases of myocarditis. By June 23, the number of myocarditis reports in VAERS had risen to more than 1,200 — a hint that it is important to tell doctors and patients what to look for.
Later analyses showed that the risk for myocarditis and pericarditis, a related condition, is highest after a second dose of an mRNA Covid vaccine in adolescent males aged 12 to 17 years.
In many people, vaccine-related myocarditis is transient. But some patients continue to experience pain, breathlessness and depression, and some show persistent changes on heart scans. The C.D.C. has said there were no confirmed deaths related to myocarditis, but in fact there have been several accounts of deaths reported post-vaccination.


Credit...Maddie McGarvey for The New York Times
The rise of the anti-vaccine movement has made it difficult for scientists, in and out of government, to candidly address potential side effects, some experts said. Much of the narrative on the purported dangers of Covid vaccines is patently false, or at least exaggerated, cooked up by savvy anti-vaccine campaigns.
Questions about Covid vaccine safety are core to Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s presidential campaign. Citing debunked theories about altered DNA, Florida’s surgeon general has called for a halt to Covid vaccination in the state.
“The sheer nature of misinformation, the scale of misinformation, is staggering, and anything will be twisted to make it seem like it’s not just a devastating side effect but proof of a massive cover-up,” said Dr. Joshua Sharfstein, a vice dean at Johns Hopkins University.
Among the hundreds of millions of Americans who were immunized for Covid, some number would have had heart attacks or strokes anyway. Some women would have miscarried. How to distinguish those caused by the vaccine from those that are coincidences? The only way to resolve the question is intense research.
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But the National Institutes of Health is conducting virtually no studies on Covid vaccine safety, several experts noted. William Murphy, a cancer researcher who worked at the N.I.H. for 12 years, has been prodding federal health officials to initiate these studies since 2021.
The officials each responded with “that very tired mantra: ‘But the virus is worse,’” Dr. Murphy recalled. “Yes, the virus is worse, but that doesn’t obviate doing research to make sure that there may be other options.”
A deeper understanding of possible side effects, and who is at risk for them, could have implications for the design of future vaccines, or may indicate that for some young and healthy people, the benefit of Covid shots may no longer outweigh the risks — as some European countries have determined.
Thorough research might also speed assistance to thousands of Americans who say they were injured.
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Dr. Ilka Warshawsky, a 58-year-old pathologist, lost all hearing in her right ear after a Covid booster shot, and had vertigo and mild tinnitus.Credit...Daniel Lozada for The New York Times
The federal government has long run the National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program, designed to compensate people who suffer injuries after vaccination. Established more than three decades ago, the program sets no limit on the amounts awarded to people found to have been harmed.
But Covid vaccines are not covered by that fund because Congress has not made them subject to the excise tax that pays for it. Some lawmakers have introduced bills to make the change.
Instead, claims regarding Covid vaccines go to the Countermeasures Injury Compensation Program. Intended for public health emergencies, this program has narrow criteria to pay out and sets a limit of $50,000, with stringent standards of proof.
It requires applicants to prove within a year of the injury that it was “the direct result” of getting the Covid vaccine, based on “compelling, reliable, valid, medical, and scientific evidence.”
The program had only four staff members at the beginning of the pandemic, and now has 35 people evaluating claims. Still, it has reviewed only a fraction of the 13,000 claims filed, and has paid out only a dozen.
Dr. Ilka Warshawsky, a 58-year-old pathologist, said she lost all hearing in her right ear after a Covid booster shot. But hearing loss is not a recognized side effect of Covid vaccination.
The compensation program for Covid vaccines sets a high bar for proof, she said, yet offers little information on how to meet it: “These adverse events can be debilitating and life-altering, and so it’s very upsetting that they’re not acknowledged or addressed.”
Dr. Zimmerman, the neuroscientist, submitted her application in October 2021 and provided dozens of supporting medical documents. She received a claim number only in January 2023.
In adjudicating her claim for workers’ compensation, Washington State officials accepted that Covid vaccination caused her injury, but she has yet to get a decision from the federal program.
One of her therapists recently told her she might never be able to live independently again.
“That felt like a devastating blow,” Dr. Zimmerman said. “But I’m trying not to lose hope there will someday be a treatment and a way to cover it.”
 

Here’s what you need to know about getting this fall’s COVID-19 jab​

The National Advisory Committee on Immunization has released its recommendations for this fall, well ahead of a surge in infections predicted for later this year.
Updated 5 hrs ago
May 4, 2024
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Everyone over six months of age can get the most recently updated vaccine this fall when it’s available, says a report from the National Advisory Committee on Vaccination.
Francine Orr TNS


Kevin-Jiang
By Kevin JiangStaff Reporter

This fall’s COVID-19 shot is already being “strongly” recommended to those most at risk from the virus as experts anticipate a surge of infections later this year.
The National Advisory Committee on Immunization (NACI) on Friday released its fall COVID-19 vaccine recommendations, in part to provide provinces and territories enough time to prepare their coming immunization campaigns.
“Vaccination remains one of our most effective tools in protecting ourselves and our communities from COVID-19,” Dr. Theresa Tam, Canada’s chief medical officer of health, said in a summary of the report. “With our experience from previous years, we know there is potential for increased impact of COVID-19 activity during the fall and winter months when other respiratory viruses such as influenza and RSV are circulating.
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“An additional dose using the latest vaccine formulation, layered with personal protective practices, will continue to be important this fall to increase protection especially for those most at risk of COVID-19 infection or severe disease in our communities.”
Those at greater risk of COVID-19 infection or severe outcomes were identified as: People aged 65 or older; residents of congregate living settings including long-term care homes; those with underlying medical conditions that put them at greater risk of infection; pregnant women; members of First Nations, Métis and Inuit communities; members of racialized and other marginalized communities; and essential service providers.
As well, unvaccinated immunocompromised individuals aged five or older should be given at least two and up to three doses of the vaccine, “regardless of vaccine platform,” NACI recommends.
All other vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals over six months of age can get the most recently updated vaccine this fall, the report noted, although “there is not yet sufficient data to determine the best time to start the COVID-19 vaccination program in the fall.”


“An updated vaccine to replace the current XBB.1.5 vaccine may be available starting in the fall of 2024, depending on the epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 and recommendations of international advisory groups expected in mid-spring 2024,” the report added.

For children aged six months to 12 years old, NACI recommends the Moderna Spikevax or PfizerBioNTech Comirnaty mRNA vaccines. People aged 12 and older can get these vaccines as well as the Novavax Nuvaxovid protein subunit vaccine, which operates using a different mechanism.
Vaccinated individuals are recommended to top up their immunity with another dose every six months, with a minimum interval of three months — meaning those who got a jab in spring will be ready for another shot in fall.
According to the latest data from March, while 81.3 per cent of the Canadian population has received at least one dose of the COVID-19 vaccine, only 20.5 per cent are vaccinated in accordance with national recommendations — and just 16.3 per cent have received one shot of the latest XBB.1.5 vaccine.
“The committee emphasizes the benefits of available vaccines for COVID-19 protection, and particularly for those most at risk of severe illness, as we know that protection against severe illness due to COVID-19 can wane over time,” Dr. Robyn Harrison, NACI Chair, said in the report’s summary.

Kevin Jiang

Kevin Jiang is a Toronto-based staff reporter for the Star’s Express Desk. Follow him on X: @crudelykevin.
 

Covid Vaccine Side Effects: 4 Takeaways From Our Investigation​

Thousands of Americans believe they experienced rare but serious side effects. But confirming a link is a difficult task.

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A close-up view of a blue tray of Covid-19 shots and bandages on a blue table.

Credit...Hilary Swift for The New York Times
Apoorva Mandavilli
By Apoorva Mandavilli
Apoorva Mandavilli spent more than a year talking to dozens of experts in vaccine science, policymakers and people who said they had experienced serious side effects after receiving a Covid-19 vaccine.
May 3, 2024
Leer en español
Soon after their arrival in late December 2020, the Covid-19 vaccines turned the pandemic around and opened a path back to normalcy. They prevented about 14.4 million deaths worldwide, according to one estimate.
In a small percentage of people, they also produced side effects.
Over the course of more than a year, The New York Times talked to 30 people who said they had been harmed by Covid vaccines. Their symptoms may turn out to be unrelated to the shots. But they — along with more than a dozen experts — felt federal officials are not doing enough to investigate their complaints.
All vaccines carry some risk of side effects. More than 270 million Americans received about 677 million doses of the Covid vaccines, and even rare side effects — occurring, say, in just 0.001 percent of patients — might mean thousands of recipients were affected.
Indeed, more than 13,000 have submitted claims to a government fund that compensates people for Covid vaccine injuries. So far, however, only a dozen people have been compensated, nearly all of them for a heart problem caused by the vaccines.
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Here are four takeaways from our investigation.
Thousands Believe Covid Vaccines Harmed Them. Is Anyone Listening?
May 3, 2024

For most people, the benefits of Covid vaccines outweigh any risks.​

Even the best vaccines and drugs have some side effects. That does not negate their benefits, nor does it suggest that people should stop taking them.

Four Years of Covid​

Card 1 of 6
We asked readers how Covid has changed their attitudes towards life. Here is what they said:
“I'm a much more grateful person. Life is precious, and I see the beauty in all the little miracles that happen all around me. I'm a humbled human being now. I have more empathy and compassion towards everyone.” — Gil Gallegos, 59, Las Vegas, N.M.
“The pandemic has completely changed my approach to educating my child. My spouse and I had never seriously considered homeschooling until March 2020. Now, we wouldn't have it any other way.” — Kim Harper, 47, Clinton, Md.
“I had contamination OCD before the pandemic began. The last four years have been a steady string of my worst fears coming true. I never feel safe anymore. I know very well now that my body can betray me at any time.” — Adelia Brown, 23, Madison, Wis.
“I don’t take for granted the pleasure of being around people. Going to a show, a road trip, a restaurant, people watching at the opera. I love it.” — Philip Gunnels, 66, Sugar Land, Texas
“My remaining years are limited. On the one hand, I feel cheated out of many experiences I was looking forward to; on the other hand, I do not want to live my remaining years with long Covid. It’s hard.” — Sandra Wulach, 77, Edison, N.J.





The rotavirus vaccine, for example, is an unmitigated success, but it can lead to intussusception — a life-threatening condition in which the intestine folds in on itself — in about 0.02 percent of children who are vaccinated.
Some side effects caused by the Covid vaccines may be equally rare. Researchers in Hong Kong analyzed that country’s health records and found that about seven of every million doses of Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine triggered a bout of shingles serious enough to require hospitalization.
Other side effects are slightly more common. The Covid vaccines may lead to myocarditis, or inflammation of the heart, in one of every 10,000 adolescent males. (Myocarditis is one of the four serious side effects acknowledged by federal health officials.)


Deaths from the vaccines are vanishingly rare, despite claims from some conspiracy theorists that vaccines have led to a spike in mortality rates.

More intensive analysis may indicate that in some groups, like young men, the benefit of Covid shots may no longer outweigh the risks. But for the majority of Americans, the vaccines continue to be far safer than contracting Covid itself.

Federal surveillance has found some side effects but may miss others.​

To detect problems with vaccines, federal agencies rely on multiple databases. The largest, the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System, is useful for generating hypotheses, but contains unverified accounts of harms. Other databases combine electronic health records and insurance claims.
These systems spotted blood-clotting problems associated with the Johnson & Johnson vaccine and a potential risk of stroke after mRNA immunizations, which is still under investigation. But federal researchers trailed Israeli scientists in picking up myocarditis as a problem among young men.
The American health care system is fragmented, with medical records stored by multiple companies that do not collaborate. Electronic health records do not all describe symptoms the same way, making comparisons difficult. Insurance claims databases may have no record of shots administered at mass vaccination sites.
Federal systems may also miss symptoms that defy easy description or diagnosis.


Proving vaccination led to an illness is complicated.​

Among the hundreds of millions of Americans who were immunized against Covid, there were deaths, heart attacks, strokes, miscarriages and autoimmune illnesses. How to distinguish illnesses caused by the vaccine from those that would have happened anyway?

More on Covid-19​

The rarer the condition, the harder it is to answer this question.
Merely judging by the timing — the appearance of a particular problem after vaccination — can be misleading. Most famously, childhood vaccines were mistakenly linked to autism because the first noticeable features often coincided with the immunization schedule.
Serious side effects may first turn up in animal studies of vaccines. But few such studies were possible given the nation’s desperate timeline in 2020. Clinical trials of the vaccines were intended to test their effectiveness, but they were far from big enough to detect side effects that may occur only in a few people per million doses.
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Most independent studies of side effects have not been large enough to detect rare events, nor to exclude their possibility; others have looked only for a preset list of symptoms and might have missed the rare outliers.
An expert panel convened by the National Academies concluded in April that for most side effects, there was not enough data to accept or reject a link to Covid vaccination.

Understanding the full range of side effects may take years.​

Federal health officials acknowledge four major side effects of Covid vaccines — not including the temporary injection site pain, fever and malaise that may accompany the shots.
But in federal databases, thousands of Americans have reported that Covid vaccines caused ringing in the ears, dizziness, brain fog, sharp fluctuations in blood pressure and heart rate, new or relapsed autoimmune conditions, hives, vision problems, kidney disorders, tingling, numbness and a loss of motor skills.
Some studies have examined reports of side effects and largely concluded that there was no link. Closer scrutiny may reveal that many, perhaps most, of the other reported side effects are unrelated to immunization. Most of them are also associated with Covid, and may be the result of undiagnosed infections. But without in-depth studies, it is impossible to be sure, experts said.
Apoorva Mandavilli is a reporter focused on science and global health. She was a part of the team that won the 2021 Pulitzer Prize for Public Service for coverage of the pandemic. More about Apoorva Mandavilli
 

Covid on the rise again as new FLiRT variants become dominant strain​

New subvariants, known individually as KP.2 and KP.3, have seen their share of UK infections double in a fortnight​

BOLOGNA, ITALY - MARCH 01: The preparation of the Novavax vaccine, the first protein-based vaccine against Covid-19 on March 01, 2022 in Bologna, Italy. (Photo by Michele Lapini/Getty Images)
The FLiRT variants involve two key mutations from the JN.1 variant, which mean it can spread more easily (Photo: Michele Lapini/Getty)
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By Tom Bawden
Science & Environment Correspondent
May 3, 2024 2:38 pm(Updated 5:02 pm)

New Covid FLiRT variants spread so quickly that they are probably now the dominant strain of the virus in the UK, new data indicates.
The variants, two key mutations from the JN.1 variant first detected in September, are starting to push up overall Covid cases in the UK, after several months at a three-year low, separate figures suggest.
The main FLiRT variants, known individually as KP.2 and KP.3, saw their combined share of UK Covid cases reach 40 per cent on 22 April, the latest day for which data is available.


That’s more than double the proportion seen a fortnight earlier, as overall UK cases stayed about the same.
And based on their trajectory, scientists expect that the new variants have exceeded the 50 per cent mark in the 11 days since the latest figures.
This would make FLiRT the new dominant variants in the UK, supplanting JN.1 with a majority share of infections.
But their sharp rise is also thought to be pushing up Covid cases in the UK overall, with new figures yesterday revealing that the proportion of people testing positive for the virus had jumped in the space of a week.



Positivity rates from the virus through the UK Health Security Agency’s (UKHSA) surveillance system were 7.1 per cent last week, compared to 4.6 per cent the previous week.

The figures relate to the proportion of people who take a Covid test, not the overall population - but they act as a rough barometer of what is going on more generally.
And while people testing positive for Covid can be typically at 10 per cent or higher in the winter, the sudden jump from 4.6 per cent to 7.1 per cent in a week, in the middle of spring, is adding fuel to concerns revealed in i this week that a new group of variants, known as FLiRT, could push up cases.
Yesterday's data also showed that hospitalisations from Covid increased slightly from 1.97 to 2.56 per 100,000 over the one-week period.
"I think we are the start of a Covid wave driven by the FLiRT variants which are quite likely to be at about 50 per cent of total infections now," Professor Christina Pagel, of University College London, told i.

Read Next​

Surge in Covid cases prompt fears of a mini-wave
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Surge in Covid cases prompt fears of a mini-wave​


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However, any spike in infections is not expected to be anything like as big as seen in the run up to Christmas - when 2.5 million, or 4.6 per cent of the UK population had Covid - because we are heading into the summer.



At the same time, the new subvariants are not as different from their “parents” than some previous subvariants were from theirs, while the two mutations have been around before, earlier in the pandemic, in some previous variants – but not since JN.1 became the dominant variant.
Professor Pagel said: "I’m not sure it will be that big - given that we just had JN.1 and summer is coming. And we definitely won’t see a big hospital wave."
Professor Lawrence Young, a virologist at Warwick University, meanwhile, thinks it "very likely" that FLiRT infections now account for the majority of UK cases.
"Although our monitoring of Covid infections is very patchy, the latest data indicates that infections are on the rise," he said.
"The spread of new virus variants and waning immunity are a concern. We need to keep a close eye on the spread of the new FLiRT variants and may need an updated vaccine later in the year to provide better protection."
The FLiRT variants involve two key mutations from the JN.1 variant, which mean it can spread more easily.
One sees a mutation, known as F, being replaced by another, known as L. The other involves mutation R being supplanted by mutation T – giving the main letters for the term FLiRT.
 
>3-fold resistance to current booster :rolleyes::rolleyes::rolleyes::rolleyes::rolleyes::rolleyes:
 

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