Hezbollah-Israel Conflict 2024 - Lebanon & Occupied Palestine Territories

It's 100% stupidity. Israel had been saying since October 7th that after they're done with Gaza, they'll turn their guns to Hezbullah.

Hezbullah and especially Iran should have expected this, but instead they expected Israel's known lying allies to keep their word.

Their naivety and stupidity cause this to happen.

The fact that Halezbullah still isn't shooting st the armored formations on the border is evidence that they STILL think Israel is bluffing.

Buffoonery
We even have pro-Israel articles stating that Hezbollah should have acted after October 7:

Failure to Act on October 7​

Nasrallah’s first major error occurred on the war’s first day, October 7, 2023. He failed to order the “Radwan” forces, stationed on the Israeli border, to invade northern Israel and seize the Galilee region. This could have occurred simultaneously with Hamas’s attack on settlements near the Gaza border. These forces had been training for years for such an operation and were combat-ready, but the order never came.

This missed opportunity could have allowed Hizbullah to score a significant victory over Israel. At the time, the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) presence on the Lebanon border was thin, and Hizbullah could have relatively easily occupied parts of the Galilee and captured Israeli settlements and military bases.

Sources suggest that Nasrallah was not informed by Yahya Sinwar of the exact timing of Hamas’s “Al-Aqsa Flood” operation. While he was aware of Hamas’ broader intentions, the lack of precise information left him unprepared.

By the time he recovered from the surprise, the IDF had reinforced its positions on the northern border, and Hizbullah lost the element of surprise.
Furthermore, if they were really interested in actually opening the northern front, the rocket attacks could have been better exploited to overwhelm Iron Dome, because Israel was facing thousands of Hamas rockets in the first days, if Hezbollah had effectively entered, it would have completely overwhelmed Iron Dome, ruling out here the hypothesis of an eventual American intervention, but certainly Israel would have been in its worst position.
 
Local sources in Lebanon are reporting that Israel has launched a heavy artillery barrage against several Hezbollah positions in southern Lebanon. Some report that Israeli armored vehicles and transport vehicles are moving towards the Lebanese border.
 
Exactly. Now we just have to wait and see what will happen with this ground war. In theory, it would be more advantageous for Hezbollah, but I certainly argue that the IDF has certainly assessed what went wrong in 2006 and developed new ways of fighting. Furthermore, the IDF did some simulations a few weeks ago. We'll see.

The Americans are advising the Israelis. They will advice Israel to weaken Hezbollah as much as possible through aerial bombardment. Only after weakening significantly to go in for ground operation. Remember that the Americans did the same in Gaza.
 
If they go in with less troops, they'll be slaughtered like no tomorrow. They won't make this mistake. Either full on invasion, or none.

Going half hearted - is exactly what HB would like. It'll be to their advantage and will be easy pickings!



Let us wait and see but the more armed Zionist troops then the more that HB will be able to slaughter.

At this moment there is no indication that there are more than some low 10s of thousands massing on the Lebanon border.

Hezbollah have the terrain and the weapons to cook thousands of Zionists to death. Hamas unfortunately simply did not have the ATGMs and heavy mortars to get the job done themselves.
 
Naim Qassem speech:

We will not budge an inch from our position in supporting Gaza and Palestine and defending Lebanon and its people.

Our military capabilities are strong and great, and the enemy has not reached them.

All that we went through from pagers, the testimony of leaders, and the testimony of the great leader would have shaken armies, but we continued and we are continuing with the sacrifices.

Israel's dream of destroying missiles has not and will not reach it.

Hezbollah’s deputy leader, sweating, says group ready to face potential IDF ground op

Looking uncomfortable in recorded speech, the first by Hezbollah official since Israel killed Nasrallah, Naim Qassem says new leader to be named soon, fallen commanders replaceable

By Gianluca Pacchiani and Agencies Today, 1:59 pm

Sheikh Naim Qassem, the deputy leader of Hezbollah, gives first speech since the killing of Hassan Nasrallah on September 30, 2024. (X screenshot; used in accordance with clause 27a of the copyright law)
Sheikh Naim Qassem, the deputy leader of Hezbollah, gives first speech since the killing of Hassan Nasrallah on September 30, 2024. (X screenshot; used in accordance with clause 27a of the copyright law)

Hezbollah deputy leader Sheikh Naim Qassem said on Monday that his organization is ready for any potential ground operation by Israeli troops, in the first speech by an official of the terror group since its leader was killed.

Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah was assassinated on Friday by Israel, the climax of a series of airstrikes over the week that eliminated much of the terror group’s command structure.

“We will face any possibility and we are ready if the Israelis decide to enter by land and the resistance forces are ready for a ground engagement,” Qassem said in prerecorded remarks.

According to The Wall Street Journal, Israeli special forces have already launched small raids into Lebanon in recent months, including sending troops into Hezbollah tunnels along the border ahead of a wider offensive.

“Despite the losses of its commanders, the attacks against civilians throughout Lebanon, and great sacrifices, we will not budge from our position,” Qassem said in a speech from an undisclosed location in Beirut. “We will continue to support Gaza and to defend Lebanon.”

Qassem, who appeared to be sweating profusely throughout his speech, asserted that Hezbollah will continue in the footsteps of Nasrallah, who led it since 1992.



Fuad Shukr, Hezbollah’s most senior military commander (left), who was killed in an Israeli strike on Beirut on July 30, 2024, is seen with Hassan Nasrallah (right) in an undated photo. (Hezbollah media office)

He said the terror group is continuing its operations, working according to plans already laid out, and described its attacks on Israel thus far as the “minimum.” He added that while the battle could be long, Hezbollah is confident that Israel will not achieve its aims.

Qassem eulogized Nasrallah for his leadership, and his popularity with the masses, and said that Hezbollah has already proven its determination to continue fighting, by firing rockets on Haifa and on the West Bank settlement of Maale Adumim, an attack that the terror group had previously not claimed and that according to Qassem, sent a million people into bomb shelters.

He also said Hezbollah will elect a new secretary-general as soon as possible, using an internal process, highlighting that for every commander and every official, there are replacements.

Alongside Nasrallah, more than 20 Hezbollah operatives were killed in the massive airstrike in Beirut, the Israel Defense Forces said Sunday, including Ali Karaki, the commander of Hezbollah’s Southern Front, and several of the terror leader’s advisers.

It is expected that Hashem Safieddine, Nasrallah’s cousin and head of Hezbollah’s executive council, will be picked as the new leader.

Since October 8, Hezbollah-led forces have attacked Israeli communities and military posts along the border on a near-daily basis, with the group saying it is doing so to support Gaza during the war there.

Since Israel escalated its airstrikes against Hezbollah on Monday, more than 630 people have been killed in Lebanon, according to the country’s health ministry. Thousands of pagers detonated on their Hezbollah owners last week, putting a reported 1,500 fighters from the terror group out of commission, in an attack blamed on Israel.

Israel has said it targeted homes in which Hezbollah emplaced missiles and rockets, having urged residents to flee. It says that many Hezbollah operatives are among the dead. Numerous senior Hezbollah commanders have been killed, as well as leaders of the group’s elite Radwan Force, which Israel says was planning an invasion of the Galilee.

At least a quarter of those killed have been women and children, according to Lebanese health officials, whose figures do not differentiate between civilians and combatants. Israel has said that many Hezbollah operatives are among the dead.
 
Hezbullah and especially Iran should have expected this, but instead they expected Israel's known lying allies to keep their word.


Iran fundamentally is not ready for total war yet and does not want to take the gamble of an all out war.

As to whether they have influenced HB meekness as some suggest that is debatable.

It is not a case of them being naive but more feeling they could not take on the Zio-US on the battlefield.
 

Hezbollah’s deputy leader, sweating, says group ready to face potential IDF ground op

Looking uncomfortable in recorded speech, the first by Hezbollah official since Israel killed Nasrallah, Naim Qassem says new leader to be named soon, fallen commanders replaceable

By Gianluca Pacchiani and Agencies Today, 1:59 pm

Sheikh Naim Qassem, the deputy leader of Hezbollah, gives first speech since the killing of Hassan Nasrallah on September 30, 2024. (X screenshot; used in accordance with clause 27a of the copyright law)
Sheikh Naim Qassem, the deputy leader of Hezbollah, gives first speech since the killing of Hassan Nasrallah on September 30, 2024. (X screenshot; used in accordance with clause 27a of the copyright law)

Hezbollah deputy leader Sheikh Naim Qassem said on Monday that his organization is ready for any potential ground operation by Israeli troops, in the first speech by an official of the terror group since its leader was killed.

Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah was assassinated on Friday by Israel, the climax of a series of airstrikes over the week that eliminated much of the terror group’s command structure.

“We will face any possibility and we are ready if the Israelis decide to enter by land and the resistance forces are ready for a ground engagement,” Qassem said in prerecorded remarks.

According to The Wall Street Journal, Israeli special forces have already launched small raids into Lebanon in recent months, including sending troops into Hezbollah tunnels along the border ahead of a wider offensive.

“Despite the losses of its commanders, the attacks against civilians throughout Lebanon, and great sacrifices, we will not budge from our position,” Qassem said in a speech from an undisclosed location in Beirut. “We will continue to support Gaza and to defend Lebanon.”

Qassem, who appeared to be sweating profusely throughout his speech, asserted that Hezbollah will continue in the footsteps of Nasrallah, who led it since 1992.



Fuad Shukr, Hezbollah’s most senior military commander (left), who was killed in an Israeli strike on Beirut on July 30, 2024, is seen with Hassan Nasrallah (right) in an undated photo. (Hezbollah media office)

He said the terror group is continuing its operations, working according to plans already laid out, and described its attacks on Israel thus far as the “minimum.” He added that while the battle could be long, Hezbollah is confident that Israel will not achieve its aims.

Qassem eulogized Nasrallah for his leadership, and his popularity with the masses, and said that Hezbollah has already proven its determination to continue fighting, by firing rockets on Haifa and on the West Bank settlement of Maale Adumim, an attack that the terror group had previously not claimed and that according to Qassem, sent a million people into bomb shelters.

He also said Hezbollah will elect a new secretary-general as soon as possible, using an internal process, highlighting that for every commander and every official, there are replacements.

Alongside Nasrallah, more than 20 Hezbollah operatives were killed in the massive airstrike in Beirut, the Israel Defense Forces said Sunday, including Ali Karaki, the commander of Hezbollah’s Southern Front, and several of the terror leader’s advisers.

It is expected that Hashem Safieddine, Nasrallah’s cousin and head of Hezbollah’s executive council, will be picked as the new leader.

Since October 8, Hezbollah-led forces have attacked Israeli communities and military posts along the border on a near-daily basis, with the group saying it is doing so to support Gaza during the war there.

Since Israel escalated its airstrikes against Hezbollah on Monday, more than 630 people have been killed in Lebanon, according to the country’s health ministry. Thousands of pagers detonated on their Hezbollah owners last week, putting a reported 1,500 fighters from the terror group out of commission, in an attack blamed on Israel.

Israel has said it targeted homes in which Hezbollah emplaced missiles and rockets, having urged residents to flee. It says that many Hezbollah operatives are among the dead. Numerous senior Hezbollah commanders have been killed, as well as leaders of the group’s elite Radwan Force, which Israel says was planning an invasion of the Galilee.

At least a quarter of those killed have been women and children, according to Lebanese health officials, whose figures do not differentiate between civilians and combatants. Israel has said that many Hezbollah operatives are among the dead.


Iran is losing grip very fast here. All credibility is on the line. I am afraid the new leader of Iran is the cause. Masoud Pezeshkian is a moderate and that is causing Iran issues. Hezbollah which receives support from Iran is also feeling the heat because of this.
 
BBC - Just reported the Lebanese "Army" have withdrawn from all their positions in South Lebanon.
 
In many areas, Hezbollah has replaced the Lebanese Army in its forward positions – Reuters
The IDF declares Metula, Kfar Gil'adi and Misgav Am a closed military zone
Israeli troops have now taken up their forward positions along the entire Lebanese border – soldiers were seen moving in full gear and night goggles
Israel is preparing for the possible expansion of the war, including 'an exchange of blows' with Iran – Hebrew Media
 
Lebanese National News Agency: Violent artillery shelling on Al-Wazzani

Flares going up now on the border, constant artillery fire, attack helicopters in the air, reports Lebanese army is withdrawing from positions in this area, no word re: UNIFIL peacekeepers if they remain.

Artillery is so constant and loud it is setting off car alarms in the city.

Sources say Israel has placed 5 brigades on the border with Lebanon.

US military bases in the Middle East have been placed on high alert.
 
Wow. Talk about planned withdrawal.

Yep - the Lebanese "Army" has gone home to masturbate to the latest copies of Playboy while Israel will rape, pillage the Lebanese people and destroy lebanon and most likely now will try to occupy South Lebanon.

Go figure - but they really should stop calling themselves the "Lebanese Army" ...
 
BREAKING NEWS: Two violations on the Israel-Lebanon border by IDF forward operators and sappers reported!

The Lebanese Army is fleeing and withdrawing towards the Litani

IDF are firing phosphorus bombs at Kfar Shuba and Khalta in southern Lebanon
 

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