India Economy Thread

[Vikramaditya1]

You will soon get over shock of India still being 6th largest economy at $3.8t in FY2025-26.

India estimated its GDP to be over $4t by end of FY 2025-26 over a year ago but that didn't pan out. Because rebasing reduced GDP in rupees to INR345 lakh crore from estimated INR357 lakh crore and currency tanked vs USD.

Meanwhile you keep talking about growth rates.

Keep coping lol! India is growing at 7.6% by year end it will be $4.1 t.

Show me a single news that says Indian GDP went down to 6th? It'll be a pretty big news don't you think?

Our industrial growth rate is 11% with a consistent high PMI above 50.

 

[RamBharose]

Its not about growth but size of GDP in USD. Otherwise on what basis you people claim taking over Japan GDP? Which didn't happen anyway and India is now back to 6th, behind even UK.

If we are talking about nominal GDP measured in USD, which is the only apples to apples metric, India is projected to become the world's third largest economy within the next three, or in the worst case, four years. However, it is mostly irrelevant peacocking as the metric isn't very meaningful in practical terms. The metrics that are meaningful are the level of per capita GDP in PPP terms, where India is far behind Germany, Japan, UK and France and the growth rate in PPP terms, where India is growing at 7-8% and the other large economies of Europe and Japan are essentially stagnant.

By the way, the Japanese PM Takaichi-san is a big proponent of a weak Yen, so you could easily see the Yen significantly depreciate against the Indian rupee in the coming months and this meaningless ranking could flip quickly again.

 

[hydrabadi_arab]

Keep coping lol! India is growing at 7.6% by year end it will be $4.1 t.

Show me a single news that says Indian GDP went down to 6th? It'll be a pretty big news don't you think?

Our industrial growth rate is 11% with a consistent high PMI above 50.

News? I just post links, check them out.

You are coping after latest rebasing reduced India GDP: You were expecting INR400 lakh crore it ended up INR345 lakh crore for 2025-26. Still below UK GDP in USD.

 

[Vikramaditya1]

News? I just post links, check them out.

You are coping after latest rebasing reduced India GDP: You were expecting INR400 lakh crore it ended up INR345 lakh crore for 2025-26. Still below UK GDP in USD.

Post links on UK becoming 5 th largest and India becoming 6th. It'll be a big news when India loses a ranking. You can cite both Indian and UK sources.

 

[CallSignMaverick]

Massive 1 million square feet PCB (printed circuit board) plant

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[Thinking]

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Lets see how much of this is real.

 

[hydrabadi_arab]

Post links on UK becoming 5 th largest and India becoming 6th. It'll be a big news when India loses a ranking. You can cite both Indian and UK sources.

Go few posts back. UK GDP is >>$4t now. India? $3.8t.

 

[SoulSpokesman]

@hydrabadi_arab

Hydra bro,

You must remain eternally vigilant, else the Hindu will again jump up to #4.

Regards

 

[Vikramaditya1]

Go few posts back. UK GDP is >>$4t now. India? $3.8t.

You're going in circles it's their real GDP, we don't count real GDP because it's affected by currency value. Nominal GDP of UK is still lower than India.

Lastly India will overtake Japan next year at the current growth rate of 7.6%. There is no major doom gloom for you to be celebrating here.

 

[hydrabadi_arab]

You're going in circles it's their real GDP, we don't count real GDP because it's affected by currency value. Nominal GDP of UK is still lower than India.

Lastly India will overtake Japan next year at the current growth rate of 7.6%. There is no major doom gloom for you to be celebrating here.

No shit GDP in USD is affected by currency.

 

[Owaiz]

You're going in circles it's their real GDP, we don't count real GDP because it's affected by currency value. Nominal GDP of UK is still lower than India.

That is just gobbledegook . You cannot compare two financial metrics without converting them into the same currency. The only difference between nominal and real GDP is that the former is adjusted for price inflation and the latter is in constant prices of the base year. So, both are initially calculated in the home currency and both will be affected by the exchange rate if you express them in USD.

 

[CallSignMaverick]

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[harpy1]

Canada's Mark Carney and India PM Narendra Modi announce deals as they reset ties in Delhi

India and Canada aim to conclude a trade deal by the end of the year as their leaders reset strained relations in Delhi.

www.bbc.co.uk

Thank god we are building a powerful trading nation

And not getting Into conflict
Head down folkes let the trouble remain outside of our borders

 

[harpy1]

You will soon get over shock of India still being 6th largest economy at $3.8t in FY2025-26.

India estimated its GDP to be over $4t by end of FY 2025-26 over a year ago but that didn't pan out. Because rebasing reduced GDP in rupees to INR345 lakh crore from estimated INR357 lakh crore and currency tanked vs USD.

Meanwhile you keep talking about growth rates.

Canada's Mark Carney and India PM Narendra Modi announce deals as they reset ties in Delhi

India and Canada aim to conclude a trade deal by the end of the year as their leaders reset strained relations in Delhi.

www.bbc.co.uk

It's closer to 4.5 trillion actually your one year behind

A Visual Breakdown of Global GDP in 2026

Explore the global GDP ranking for 2026 with a visual breakdown of the largest economies, top growth regions, and what it means for investment strategy.

researchfdi.com

 

[hydrabadi_arab]

Canada's Mark Carney and India PM Narendra Modi announce deals as they reset ties in Delhi

India and Canada aim to conclude a trade deal by the end of the year as their leaders reset strained relations in Delhi.

www.bbc.co.uk

It's closer to 4.5 trillion actually your one year behind

A Visual Breakdown of Global GDP in 2026

Explore the global GDP ranking for 2026 with a visual breakdown of the largest economies, top growth regions, and what it means for investment strategy.

researchfdi.com

not this shittu again, BTW Indian newspapers have also started to pick up. They are just couple of days late.

New GDP series makes meeting fiscal targets, $4-trillion economy aim more difficult​

Written by: Siddharth Upasani

5 min readNew Delhi Updated: Mar 2, 2026 02:11 AM IST

A reduction in the nominal GDP under the new series does not help India's quest to become a $4 trillion economy. (Rohit Jain Paras)

$4 trillion economy

While the government’s final objective is for India to be developed by 2047, one milestone on that journey is becoming a $4 trillion economy. A reduction in the nominal GDP under the new series does not help.

Going by Friday’s closing exchange rate of 90.98 per dollar, India’s GDP in 2025-26 stood at $3.8 trillion. Assuming the same exchange rate for 2026-27 and 10% growth in nominal GDP as assumed in the Budget, the economy will comfortably exceed the $4-trillion mark next year – something Nageswaran mentioned on Friday.

Of course, much depends on not just the nominal growth rate but also the rupee’s exchange rate – a weaker rupee makes it more difficult for the GDP to be higher in US dollar terms, just as in the case of Nigeria. And while 2025-26 has seen the Indian currency depreciate rapidly, the next fiscal could perhaps be better should capital inflows continue to improve on the back of trade deals being signed.

New GDP series makes meeting fiscal targets, $4-trillion economy aim more difficult

Meeting the FY27 fiscal deficit target of 4.3% of GDP will now require nominal growth of 13-14% next year – much higher than the Budget assumption of 10%

indianexpress.com

BTW next year $4t isn't guaranteed either if INR goes above 95+ vs USD.