India Economy Thread


Three reasons why India is overly dependent on China for lithium​

09 June, 2026 03:14 pm IST

If you go by the relentless stream of headline events and claims, India under the Narendra Modi government seems all set to become self-sufficient in lithium-ion batteries, breaking free of China’s shackles and taking its rightful place in the battery-electric-vehicle revolution. But the reality is so underwhelming you’d be justified in reaching for a lithium pill to ward off depression.

The Productivity Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme, aimed at making India Atmanirbhar in advanced battery storage, has achieved less than 3 per cent of its target after five years, according to a study. In part, the gap exists because a chunk of the money was allotted to a gold exporter tainted by an alleged scam, rather than an actual battery maker. There have been zero bidders for the supposedly record-breaking lithium deposit found in Jammu and Kashmir, and no evident benefits from a slew of international agreements signed with fanfare by the Modi government.

The result: India’s lithium-ion battery imports jumped 57 per cent to $4.7 billion in 2025-26, most of it from China. The dependency increased ninefold since 2018, and it is only going to grow.

……
 
There is nothing to wow about. India services boom is about to end. Markets are telling you the future. Now tiny countries like Taiwan, South Korea have higher market cap then India thanks to AI.

Prepare for IMF program in 2030.
I hope you're not being serious
 

Three reasons why India is overly dependent on China for lithium​

09 June, 2026 03:14 pm IST

If you go by the relentless stream of headline events and claims, India under the Narendra Modi government seems all set to become self-sufficient in lithium-ion batteries, breaking free of China’s shackles and taking its rightful place in the battery-electric-vehicle revolution. But the reality is so underwhelming you’d be justified in reaching for a lithium pill to ward off depression.

The Productivity Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme, aimed at making India Atmanirbhar in advanced battery storage, has achieved less than 3 per cent of its target after five years, according to a study. In part, the gap exists because a chunk of the money was allotted to a gold exporter tainted by an alleged scam, rather than an actual battery maker. There have been zero bidders for the supposedly record-breaking lithium deposit found in Jammu and Kashmir, and no evident benefits from a slew of international agreements signed with fanfare by the Modi government.

The result: India’s lithium-ion battery imports jumped 57 per cent to $4.7 billion in 2025-26, most of it from China. The dependency increased ninefold since 2018, and it is only going to grow.

……
An Indian firm is moving into one of the hardest and most important parts of lithium-ion battery manufacturing: cathode active materials.

Indian Company Makes Breakthrough in Advanced LFP Battery Materials
 

Three reasons why India is overly dependent on China for lithium


The whole world is dependent on China on almost every manufactured object. Not sure what the point of the specific article is.

Regards
 
Taiwan and South Korea are benefiting from the AI semiconductor boom. That's true.
But how does that prove India's services exports are ending? India's services exports hit record highs, rising to over $421 billion in FY26. GCCs, software, engineering, finance, consulting and business services continue to grow.

Imagine being Saudi Arabia and thinking they will always sell oil to the world.

Thats what some of you are coping with right now. AI isn't decades away to replace must of IT services, only years.
 
Imagine being Saudi Arabia and thinking they will always sell oil to the world.

Thats what some of you are coping with right now. AI isn't decades away to replace must of IT services, only years.
If you think companies sitting on billions of dollars in free cash flow is going up in smokes because AI is going to code faster, I got a bridge to sell you in Brooklyn.

In reality coding is not where you make money as a company, the faster you can code the more money you make. AI agents just landed them efficiency and speed, do you think Airbus is going to fire Tata Consultancy services because they have a Claude subscription? 😂
 
Bharat Forge should look at areas like InP wafers, specialty gases such as WF₆, SF₆, HBr, NF₃ and neon along with high purity quartz. These could be good opportunities in the semiconductor space.

Bharat Forge enters billion-dollar semiconductor industry, working with 3 of world's top 5 chipmakers: Baba Kalyani
 

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