There is absolutely no reason for the state of Pakistan to stir things up on its eastern border when things are already rough on the western border and western bordering regions inside Pakistan. And contrary to what Indian analysts are paddling and some PDF members that Pakistan needed a 'distraction', the actual reality is Pakistan's domestic political environment is calmer than ever before since early 2022, Pakistan's economy is better than it was in 2023 and stabilizing, even improving, Pakistan's foreign engagements have been increasing. The military-political class in Pakistan have a consensus that come what way, Pakistan needs stability and growth for the next several years. So the last thing Pakistan wanted was to stir things up with India.
However, on the contrary, it suits India well to strike when they perceive Pakistan to be weaker in economy. But this won't end well for anyone. In fact, I dare say, India will suffer more than Pakistan in case of a war. Pakistanis are going to fight till the end because they know what IWT means for Pakistan.
And lets also consider the China factor: If you saw Praven Swahimi video yesterday, he said China 'guarantees Pakistan's sovereignty and that's a big thing'. After all the blood shed between India and China, Indians would be naive to think China won't help Pakistan significantly: It would serve China's own interests a lot.
Think of it as a whodunnit. Motives, suspects, timing...
I would put Pak fauj an lumber1 on that list.
Protest fatigue set in to the pro IK movement (basically an anti fauj movement), your fauj already took care of some of the major troublemakers.
Just because you don't have thousands rallying against the fauj doesn't mean the awam loves them.
That was up until now, the Indians are screaming and shouting, frothing at the mouth for a war... which they do after every jihadist attack.. as a result of which there are some ugly incidents involving people being mean to their fellow Indian but muslim brethren.
buss.. aur kuch nahi chahiye, Pak fauj projects itself as the bulwark, your knights in shining armor, there to protect you from the rabid fascists running India.
and all is forgiven, IK goes further down everyone's priority list.
Fauj fir se ek baar full popular, their handpicked man for a public face, chhotay mian. Awam busy hating on India.
Ek aur Bahria town banao, call it Pehalgam heights.. well to do UAE, UK and US waaley will invest again.
^ not entirely outside the realm of possibility, is it ? ..
you say