Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[Immortals]

 

[Immortals]

I don’t think a deal is agreed to till after the World Cup and 4th of July. It is in Iran’s interest to force the U.S. and the West to feel the oil bite and that can only happen with time. The pain won’t begin to be felt till July. Thus favorable terms for Iran will not be reached till then. Thus it makes sense to stall the negotiations for another 4-6 weeks. I could be wrong and a breakthru happens by end of month. But I doubt it.

The one major mistake Iran made during the war was not closing the Bab Al Mandeb. The Houthi’s wasted too much of their capability in 2023/2024 and fighting a war with the U.S. if the Bab Al Mandeb was closed it would be another 5M barrel a day that wouldn’t escape from the Saudi Arabia Red Sea port or be forced to re-route thru the Suez Canal. This would speed up the oil reserve draw and accelerate the timeline for the West to feel economic pain.

 

[hasn2009]

The one major mistake Iran made during the war was not closing the Bab Al Mandeb.

You don't throw all your cards at once, or you will have no more cards to play anymore incase the opponents brings something new.

 

[RescueRanger]

A further 5 aircraft from USAF Air Mobility Command seen as part of coronet East. 3 x C17 Globemaster 2x C5M Super Galaxy.

The C5Ms play a vital role in maintain an air bridge for the resupply of THAAD batteries operated in the Naghev.





The average cost to the US tax payer for operational flights of the C5M is approx 100,000 USD per flight hour, with an estimated flight time of 10+ hours from the East coast to Israel just the flights alone cost approx around 1.1 Million USD alone, this is not taking into account other costs and financial factors for maintaining this air bridge.

 

[RescueRanger]

Iran's air defense is non-existent so joke's on them.

Simply untrue.

 

[AZ_HighCountry]

View attachment 200851
A further 5 aircraft from USAF Air Mobility Command seen as part of coronet East. 3 x C17 Globemaster 2x C5M Super Galaxy.

The C5Ms play a vital role in maintain an air bridge for the resupply of THAAD batteries operated in the Naghev.

View attachment 200850

View attachment 200852

The average cost to the US tax payer for operational flights of the C5M is approx 100,000 USD per flight hour, with an estimated flight time of 10+ hours from the East cost to Israel just the flights alone cost approx around 1.1 Million USD alone, this is not taking into account other costs and financial factors for maintaining this air bridge.

If / when you're bored, look for flight designation CMB. I have the funny feeling they may not be operating under their CMB designations but still ferrying military hardware nonetheless.

 

[RescueRanger]

Following on from yesterday's NOTAM opening tehran FIR of flights originating from Iran or terminating inside Iran, we can see intl. Flights now operating inside Iranian Airspace.


Note: Iranian airspace remains closed to over-flight operations.

This is a largely positive sign.

 

[RescueRanger]

If / when you're bored, look for flight designation CMB. I have the funny feeling they may not be operating under their CMB designations but still ferrying military hardware nonetheless.

Ah yes, good catch.

 

[Mobius]

 

[RescueRanger]

Israel under satanyahu is akin to the person that pours gasoline over his neighbourhood houses and lights the fire, only to yell for the fire brigade and cry victim later.

Shameless cretin.

 

[Aziqbal]

Every time there is escalation American planes and helicopters randomly start crashing

It’s too random if you’re asking me

 

[Arash]

Basically confirmation, Israel is low on munitions required to collapse Iran’s missile tunnels.

Iran really needs to improve its AD even though our performances have been quite decent if we consider the embargo

 

[Persian Gulf]

 

[Persian Gulf]

U.S. Patriot launcher possibly hit in Kuwait

 

[Persian Gulf]

I don’t think a deal is agreed to till after the World Cup and 4th of July. It is in Iran’s interest to force the U.S. and the West to feel the oil bite and that can only happen with time. The pain won’t begin to be felt till July. Thus favorable terms for Iran will not be reached till then. Thus it makes sense to stall the negotiations for another 4-6 weeks. I could be wrong and a breakthru happens by end of month. But I doubt it.

The one major mistake Iran made during the war was not closing the Bab Al Mandeb. The Houthi’s wasted too much of their capability in 2023/2024 and fighting a war with the U.S. if the Bab Al Mandeb was closed it would be another 5M barrel a day that wouldn’t escape from the Saudi Arabia Red Sea port or be forced to re-route thru the Suez Canal. This would speed up the oil reserve draw and accelerate the timeline for the West to feel economic pain.

The problem is that a lot of oil is now passing the strait