Hassan Al-Somal
Elite Member
Then why are you negotiating with Iran to open it?
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I don’t think it’s going to be a 30 to 20 missiles salute this time they the Israelis to understand the equation has changed the Iranians will sign the agreement but it might take an extra few days
This stand off between Iran and Israel will NOT END BY HALF MEASURES.
Now Iran may well choose to buy time, which nobody would criticise them for, but that will come at a cost - the cost may well be Hezbollah and arguably, the whole of Lebanon. This is a difficult choice to have to make.
I think what the post is actually say Bibi hopes Iran responds to have the agreement to collapse
What do you want ? A resumption of this pointless war ? The only remaining issue left is the severely bruised Israeli / American egos and their attempt to have the final word and blow.View attachment 201702
Watch them shoot 7 missiles and call it a day
very good strategy.The agreement does not have to collapse. Iran can formally say, in light of ceasefire violations, the signing will be delayed for 2 weeks etc. Then Iran can decide if they want to militarily retaliate or not. Make this compliance issue Trumps problem as well, not just Iran's alone.
What do you want ? A resumption of this pointless war ? The only remaining issues left is the severely bruised Israeli / American egos and their attempt to have the final word and blow.
I agree, Israel will not withdraw without concessions from Hezbollah. But this is not realistic at this point. A full ceasefire on the current lines of control is a superior position than the ceasefire Hezbollah had to accept in 2024, where Hezbollah was in disarray and Israel had free reign to bomb Lebanon and kill 400 Hezbollah members without a response.This statement doesn't demand "Israeli" withdrawal from South Lebanon. And based on the "Israeli" and Lebanese govts' agreement - brokered by the US, this occupation of South Lebanon can only end when Hezbollah is disarmed.
Hezbollah, as a resistance group, doesn't want to accept this framework. They are, therefore, continuing the military pressure and keep hitting the Zionist occupying forces. "Israelis" on their part are now regarding every attack on their forces in South Lebanon as an attack on Northern "Israel". So they keep attacking Dahieh in order to derail the ceasefire and legitimize the occupation of South Lebanon.
At the end, it all depends on how far Iran is willing to push to ensure "Israel" withdrawal from South Lebanon.
A good suggestion. In fact, Iran should play the same game Trump and Israel are playing.The agreement does not have to collapse. Iran can formally say, in light of ceasefire violations, the signing will be delayed for 2 weeks etc. Then Iran can decide if they want to militarily retaliate or not. Make this compliance issue Trumps problem as well, not just Iran's alone.
It won’t be two weeks unless the Israelis decide to prolong this I honestly believe tonight we are going to see one of the largest missile attacks since tp3 at least a hundred in several waves but if the Israelis decide to go back and forth might take a week or longer to sign those agreementsThe agreement does not have to collapse. Iran can formally say, in light of ceasefire violations, the signing will be delayed for 2 weeks etc. Then Iran can decide if they want to militarily retaliate or not. Make this compliance issue Trumps problem as well, not just Iran's alone.
A good suggestion. In fact, Iran should play the same game Trump and Israel are playing.
It is not without evidence that plenty of commentators have suggested that Tel Aviv is not actually interested in peace (though i do firmly believe that Trump wants out of this mess). So, if Iran can survive economically, we may be seeing the commencement of a mixed cold/periodically kinetic war that could last many years.