Ali_Baba
VIP Member
There is no chance Iran will do an all out attack on US forces. That will only invite a harsher counter response at time when the regime is in survival mode. You punch America in the mouth, they aren’t going to run away. Not anymore. The time for deterrence was 2020 when they killed Solemani.
What they are likely to do is another symbolic attack and hope Trump moves on to negotiations afterward. Why else would they reach out? The leadership is desperate at this point.
Like the Qajar dynasty they will have to negotiate away the nuclear enrichment program and any long range missiles. If they continue to drag their feet then more protests will show up a year or two from now. Or worse the U.S. establishes a no fly zone over Iran like they did on Iraq in the 90’s and “mows the lawn on Iran” periodically to keep it weak.
Irans response cannot be another symbolic response. It needs to forcefully pull at Trumps Achilles heel. This will kick off a round of tit-for-tat, but only then will Trump get the message that this will cost him and that will deter him. Trump is a street wise thug, and Iran's needs to understand that so that they can engage him at the right level.
Iran is in the position that it is in, precisely because of its symbolic responses which are interpreted as weakness.
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