ToddE
Trusted Member
Israel is only tolerating Turkish expansionism because they are countering AoR and doing Israel’s dirty work on the ground. Soon all these ISIS groups Turkey have turned its proxies to protect Israel will become a potential headache for Zion. It doesn’t matter that Turkey is in NATO and that Israel can easily control Turkey by manipulating Turkish inflation like they did recently. Israel does not allow any regional competitors. Current Turkish leadership is pro-Israel. But Turkish people are ultra nationalistic, there is no guarantee the future leadership will be pro-israel.
Israel does not have allies if you read their doctrine. They see groups that are useful for them for now. A friend today can become a potential threat in future to them. Its very easy to control Turkey for them considering Turkey is under 550 Billion USD western debt (almost half of total GDP) thanks to Erdogan. Creditors can create inflation in Turkey the size of Tsunami if they want, which happened last time when Lira fell to ground. They dont have any resource to multiply cash on. There is a reason we are not seeing any strategic level deterrence in Turkish doctrine under Erdogan even with Israeli rabid dog like behavior towards Arabs just next door to Turkey. Erdogan's appeasement moves towards Israel will one day haunt Turkish nation who usually are western loving secular ethnonationalists (Like Shahi Iran).
Now is the perfect time for an IRGC Coup. Vast majority of Iranians will support it if Artesh is onboard. There will be no civil war. Best strategy forward is to become secular and end all hostilities with Israel as long as they stay away from Iraq. There is no alternative path forward unless IRI wants to sacrifice Iran for the sake of protecting an ummah that secretly (many even openly) wishes for its death.
@Emirzad what’s your take on this?
Artesh has no real brain of its own anymore. They are controlled through MODAFL by IRGC. Also in coup, the group that has the most influence and cash wins. IRGC currently officially has 30-40% of industrial economy in their hand. If the budget has been increased to Khamenei's order then they may even be having 60-70% of the 30-40 Billion USD. They control 1000+ tanker fleet. Apparently they also siphoned off the 120 Billion USD export revenues. Thy solely fought the war. If coup is necessary, they are well positioned to do so.
Islamic identity needs to be eradicated from Iran at state level atleast IMO because it will keep us tangled in Middle Eastern problems. Safavis were mad that they chose this. Jews can do same in Jordan, Lebanon and Syria what they did in Palestine for all I care. Its an intrasemite problem. We have lost thousand people and 500+ Billion USD on this meanignless fight with Israel and US but I say no more. People forget, Iranian empires during clashes with Russians and Ottomans always had European allies. Iranophilia started in europe because of this.







