Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[RescueRanger]

This is the time to be united against that shifty Israel now.

Well I can't speak for the Turkish people. Their country, their choice.

 

[Michael]

@RescueRanger
Regarding the oil issue, let me provide some additional analysis for your reference.

1. The United States is the world's largest oil producer, and China is the sixth largest. In 2025, their total oil production will be 680 million tons and 216 million tons, respectively. The US production is approximately 3.1 times that of China.

2. Crude oil consumption. In 2025, China's crude oil consumption will be 762 million tons; the US's crude oil consumption will be 990 million tons.

This shows that China needs to import a large amount of crude oil. The US is largely self-sufficient and has a low dependence on imported crude oil.

However, there is another very interesting phenomenon.

Many years ago, China began adjusting its oil strategy, namely reducing refined oil consumption and increasing petrochemical product output. Simply put, the proportion of crude oil converted into refined oil in China is decreasing significantly, while the proportion converted into chemical products is increasing significantly. In 2025, China's refined oil conversion rate will be approximately 55%. This rate is declining at a rate of about 3% per year.

The United States has not released relevant data. Based on various analyses, the US refined oil conversion rate is estimated to be around 80-85%.

So, here's the question:

The proportion of crude oil converted into refined oil or chemical products is related to the quality of the crude oil. Simply put: Light crude oil yields higher returns when converted into refined oil and lower returns when converted into chemical products. It also requires less sophisticated refining technology. Lower investment, lower returns.

Heavy crude oil yields lower returns when converted into refined oil and higher returns when converted into chemical products. It also requires more sophisticated refining technology. Higher investment, higher returns.

If we compare the quality of crude oil from major oil-producing regions worldwide, and combine this with my analysis above, you'll discover many very interesting phenomena.

 

[Mobius]

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[RescueRanger]

@RescueRanger
Regarding the oil issue, let me provide some additional analysis for your reference.

1. The United States is the world's largest oil producer, and China is the sixth largest. In 2025, their total oil production will be 680 million tons and 216 million tons, respectively. The US production is approximately 3.1 times that of China.

2. Crude oil consumption. In 2025, China's crude oil consumption will be 762 million tons; the US's crude oil consumption will be 990 million tons.

This shows that China needs to import a large amount of crude oil. The US is largely self-sufficient and has a low dependence on imported crude oil.

However, there is another very interesting phenomenon.

Many years ago, China began adjusting its oil strategy, namely reducing refined oil consumption and increasing petrochemical product output. Simply put, the proportion of crude oil converted into refined oil in China is decreasing significantly, while the proportion converted into chemical products is increasing significantly. In 2025, China's refined oil conversion rate will be approximately 55%. This rate is declining at a rate of about 3% per year.

The United States has not released relevant data. Based on various analyses, the US refined oil conversion rate is estimated to be around 80-85%.

So, here's the question:

The proportion of crude oil converted into refined oil or chemical products is related to the quality of the crude oil. Simply put: Light crude oil yields higher returns when converted into refined oil and lower returns when converted into chemical products. It also requires less sophisticated refining technology. Lower investment, lower returns.

Heavy crude oil yields lower returns when converted into refined oil and higher returns when converted into chemical products. It also requires more sophisticated refining technology. Higher investment, higher returns.

If we compare the quality of crude oil from major oil-producing regions worldwide, and combine this with my analysis above, you'll discover many very interesting phenomena.

Let me take a moment to digest this detailed post <3

 

[mangekyo]

X is full of south asian accounts pretending to be Iranian officials. They post stuff designed to anger Americans and support the war. I assume the accounts are Indian

 

[maxpane]

This is the time to be united against that shitty Israel now.

Emotions aside. they have to protect their interest

 

[Muji.Iqbal]

Emotions aside. they have to protect their interest

You are right about that. Same goes for the Arab monarchies as well.

 

[Hayabusa]

according to:
View attachment 182288
Based on the latest battlefield briefings from the early hours of March 2, 2026 (approximately one hour after the incident) and the initial statement from the Pentagon, here is the real-time verified information regarding the attack on the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) by four Iranian ballistic missiles:

1. Attack Confirmed: Not a False Alarm
   The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) did launch four Fattah-2 hypersonic ballistic missiles from Kermanshah province. The target was the Lincoln Carrier Strike Group, located near the Gulf of Oman.
   Accompanying Aegis destroyers intercepted two of the missiles. However, due to the extreme maneuverability of the hypersonic missiles in their terminal phase, the remaining two successfully penetrated the missile defense network.
2. Damage Assessment: Not Sunk, but Disabled
   Battle Damage Assessment (BDA) indicates:
   One missile detonated in the sea close to the port side of the carrier. The resulting massive shockwave caused fracturing to the hull below the waterline. Another missile is suspected to have directly hit the aft section of the flight deck.
   The flight deck has suffered severe penetration damage, and the catapult systems are impaired. This means the USS Abraham Lincoln has currently lost the capability to launch or recover F-35C aircraft. The Pentagon reports several dozen sailors were injured; there are no confirmed fatalities at this time.
   The USS Abraham Lincoln has not been sunk (nuclear-powered aircraft carriers are extremely difficult to sink with conventional warheads), but it has been rendered combat ineffective (Mission Inoperable). It is withdrawing to the outer Gulf of Oman, assisted by tugboats and under the cover of destroyers.
3. What This Means for the Global Situation (Early Hours Alert, March 2, 2026)
   A carrier being hit marks the U.S. Navy's greatest maritime humiliation since World War II. This directly signals the entry of the global financial order into wartime contingency measures.

How reliable is this source?

Hitting an aircraft carrier is a huge deal and would not be easy to hide such damages.

 

[RescueRanger]

You are right about that. Same goes for the Arab monarchies as well.

Absolutely - each country will safeguard their own interests.

 

[Takayoshi]

Very much doubt this, he's not even in the country?

 

[Michael]

Let me take a moment to digest this detailed post <3

This is the result of my original Chinese writing translated by translation software, so the wording is not precise enough. You only need to analyze my general points and direction; there's no need to get bogged down in the details of the wording.

 

[j_hungary]

If strait of Hormuz doesnt

View attachment 182282


If the war continues and Strait of Hormuz remain shut then one option might be to embark on a limited ground invasion to occupy Hormozgan and Iranian Baluchistan and install a puppet regime. The worst case scenario for Pakistan!

Land invasion would mean very high casualties, and I doubt you can do it with just occupying Hormozgan and Baluchistan, seeing that what the Iranians can use on a shipping strike, which is extremely mobile, you are going to need an exclusive zone and buffer for early detection. That would mean large casualties, and you can't do it unless both Pakistan and Afghanistan play ball, because Turkey and Iraq are on the other side of Iran, and you can't just use amphibious assault to do that. It has to be a ground op.

Which is why I said a ground invasion is very unlikely.

 

[HAIDER]

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Dude is worse than a gas lighting girlfriend.

He is hiding in Germany according to Western media.

 

[RescueRanger]

@RescueRanger
Regarding the oil issue, let me provide some additional analysis for your reference.

1. The United States is the world's largest oil producer, and China is the sixth largest. In 2025, their total oil production will be 680 million tons and 216 million tons, respectively. The US production is approximately 3.1 times that of China.

2. Crude oil consumption. In 2025, China's crude oil consumption will be 762 million tons; the US's crude oil consumption will be 990 million tons.

This shows that China needs to import a large amount of crude oil. The US is largely self-sufficient and has a low dependence on imported crude oil.

However, there is another very interesting phenomenon.

Many years ago, China began adjusting its oil strategy, namely reducing refined oil consumption and increasing petrochemical product output. Simply put, the proportion of crude oil converted into refined oil in China is decreasing significantly, while the proportion converted into chemical products is increasing significantly. In 2025, China's refined oil conversion rate will be approximately 55%. This rate is declining at a rate of about 3% per year.

The United States has not released relevant data. Based on various analyses, the US refined oil conversion rate is estimated to be around 80-85%.

So, here's the question:

The proportion of crude oil converted into refined oil or chemical products is related to the quality of the crude oil. Simply put: Light crude oil yields higher returns when converted into refined oil and lower returns when converted into chemical products. It also requires less sophisticated refining technology. Lower investment, lower returns.

Heavy crude oil yields lower returns when converted into refined oil and higher returns when converted into chemical products. It also requires more sophisticated refining technology. Higher investment, higher returns.

If we compare the quality of crude oil from major oil-producing regions worldwide, and combine this with my analysis above, you'll discover many very interesting phenomena.

Great post and I agree with you my only concern here will be heavy oil supply lines out of the Persian Gulf to Asia.

 

[Muji.Iqbal]

He is hiding in Germany according to Western media.

Yes this is what I heard too. The satanic Netanyahu has fled to Germany.