Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

Some things I could say with a high degree of confidence about the upcoming Islamabad negotiations:
1) Trump wanted out of this war and he almost certainly requested via Pakistan to Iran to give him a way out.
2) China prevailed upon Iran to be flexible, perhaps with some Chinese assurances, if not guarantees.
3) Israelis too want out except they want to consolidate their gains in southern Lebanon and that Israelis no longer care about Iran at this point, even if Israelis wanted to 'degrade' Iran some more.
4) Just like in the June 2025 conflict between Israel-America vs Iran, Pakistan's Field Martial Asim Munir is a critical factor in not only in negotiations but also in altering the offensive actions/plans of several countries.
5) I don't think the upcoming talks in Islamabad are going to fail! It is too simplistic to think that the mere 2-weeks allowed during the ceasefire for the talks to progress are enough for the Israelis-Americans to regroup and launch another attack, but in the same way, the Iranians too have the 2-weeks to regroup, enhance the communication channels, remove the moles more, and while continuing to retain the ability to choke the Strait of Hormuz.

In my own summary: Iran is the strategic victor but Lebanon needs to be saved.

Excellent post. I think you hit the nail on the main issue... Most parties want an off-ramp. Pakistan has proven itself to be a balancing force in the region. India needs a bit of introspection to access how their foreign policy of anti-pakistan has failed.
 


The reformist coup of Iran is completed. Mojtaba falls in the same path as his father. And people wonder why most of Lebanon outside of the Shiite populations of South Lebanon have negative views of Iran.

@Persian Gulf
@ShapurII
@Shags101

What will be the reaction of the IRGC? Can they do something?
 
What will be the reaction of the IRGC? Can they do something?



IRGC haven fallen in line. If Solemani was alive, he could have taken over the country as the was the most popular individual across all aspects of Iranian society.

It seems the only IRGC official who knew how to hide was Qaani. He was a target in all the wars and skirmishes and yet never found.
 
Only real danger I see is a F-35 sneaking in and getting off a AMRAAM shot. Hopefully J-10C EW/Chaff can counter.

If it is their F-16s and F-15s, my money is on the J-10C to take them down. Also lets not forget of Israel did try it they would need tankers in the air they would light up on AWACS like a Christmas tree

Pakistan would need AWAC to support the escort.
 
Update: India trying hard to put itself in the middle before coming to Pakistan US vice president will visit Turkey and India foreign minister J.Shankar also will be there even un-invited may be they push US to include themselves in the mediation and sabotage it or at least they wants to steal the show...

We must tell all negotiating parties to make India lay off.
 
Yup, that would be suicidal to send anything we (J10 included) have against their F15/F16s let alone F35s. Like it or not, Israelis are EW wizards.

SPECTRA suite was supposed to be wizardry too, dont underestimate Pakistan, that never turns out well for anyone
 

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