Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[Hassan Al-Somal]

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[Persian Gulf]

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[Pakistan Space Agency]

20% of total world crude consumption

But 40% of total world crude oil exports

Crude oil producers countries spend a lot internally.

I see what you mean.

This will only lead to world moving away from the Strait of Hormuz route and adapt alternatives.

09/07/2026: France sees Syria as alternative oil route amid Hormuz tensions, foreign minister says: Anadolu Ajansi

12/06/2026: Libya benefits from rising oil prices, exports 43 million barrels in one month: Libya Update

It's much easier for Western countries (Europe and the Americas) but challenging for Asia.

 

[ShapurII]

Let's look at this war from IRI's perspective to make people understand how badly the Iranian security apparatus failed in this conflict. Take the Kürecik NATO Base in Turkey as an example.

From this radar base, the US is effectively monitoring all of Northwest Iran to this day, where a significant portion of the Iranian population resides.

Don't misunderstand me. No one in Turkey would tolerate any harm to Turkish lives or property caused by Iranians, but in this case the situation is different.

Think about it: Iranians can enter Turkey without a visa. IRGC members visit Van regularly. I have seen them in the city with their families; they usually visit accompained by a few younger men (obviously bodyguards). There is substantial trade, too, with thousands of trucks crossing the Iranian-Turkish border weekly. Villages and orchards are located as close as 500 to 1000 meters from the base installations, yet Iranian intelligence has:

a.) never considered this vulnerable target

b.) failed to develop any contingency plans to neutralize these radar installations

c.) not contemplated smuggling man-portable air-defense systems or small missiles to accurately strike the radar

Strictly from IRI's POV: Why would you be this lethargic?!

Let's be real, the Turkish population could not care less about the destruction of these radars. The missiles fired towards Cyprus and Israel crossing into Turkish airspace were of greater concern for the average Turk than potentially seeing US AN/TPY-2 radars getting destroyed.

Iran's passivity caused more harm than US and Israeli bombs.

Perfectly said, and I'm happy that a Turkish user is saying it. I said the exact same thing in the beginning of the war.

I think the best option to destroy the AN/TPY-2 radar at Kurecik is FPVs fired from inside the Turkish territory or close to the border with plausible deniability. Targeting a US military base in a NATO country is a bold move, but as long as you have plausible deniability and Turkey can look the other way, we should've done it very early in the war.

 

[ShapurII]

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So, the Emirates that absorbed nearly half of our strikes excluding Israel can restore its oil production within 3 months. What does this tell us about the efficacy of our missiles and target selection?

 

[BHAN85]

I see what you mean.

This will only lead to world moving away from the Strait of Hormuz route and adapt alternatives.

09/07/2026: France sees Syria as alternative oil route amid Hormuz tensions, foreign minister says: Anadolu Ajansi

12/06/2026: Libya benefits from rising oil prices, exports 43 million barrels in one month: Libya Update

It's much easier for Western countries (Europe and the Americas) but challenging for Asia.

But gulf oil fields are near to Iran, Iran can always disrupt the production with cheap drones.

Transport method can be changed, but oil fields location can't be changed.

 

[Oldenwisdom...قول بزرگ]

Trump's deliberations as he considers whether to escalate US military action against Iran.

Imagine being the aggressor and calling death of others because "they felt like it"... and then suing sympathy by preempting the motion in front of the world as being a target. When the world's largest ever funeral procession is taking place as a direct consequence of his actions.

I mean, he killed school girls in the onset and still cannot own up to it... killed the family of the leader as an extension, IN HIS HOME!
Where his grand daughter died along with him...
A cold blooded remorseless murderer... who publicly posted about ending the oldest continuous civilization on earth... while having none himself.

I have said it before... they take the good graces of the rest of the world by granted as part of calculated act of aggression... knowing that it wouldn't be reciprocated in kind. Such is the heinous mentality... that the world already knows and expects the worst from US and zion. And they'll in turn up the ante by promoting and parroting new propaganda...

These two made the world a dangerous place by their own actions... and want to press it further... does his base even take him seriously... rally the base? Fanfare? Preparing the grounds for what? People are sick and tired of this narcissist seeking attention... posing himself as messiah... post another AI of resurrection and it will suffice.

Thank you for your attention to this matter.

 

[Persian Gulf]

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[Professor Jiang]

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"I want to believe there's a heaven. But I can't not believe there's a hell".

 

[Pakistan Space Agency]

But gulf oil fields are near to Iran, Iran can always disrupt the production with cheap drones.

Transport method can be changed, but oil fields location can't be changed.

Gulf countries can rebuild them, use alternative routes and eventually even develop powerful anti-drone and anti-missile systems.

On the other hand, Iran's ability to threaten the Gulf countries will be eroded over time if the US does not give Iran any breathing space. That's what it boils down to

Let's look at Iraq as an example after Gulf War 1.

Iraq had set the refineries on fire which took months to extinguish. It had invaded Kuwait and fired missiles on Saudi Arabia. Iraq had caused immense damage to the world economy and the region.

Militarily, Iraq was still considered very powerful. What did the US and the UK do?

They imposed a decade long no-fly zone over Iraq. They took pot shots at Iraq every now and then. Over time these post shots had totally degraded Iraq militarily and economically. It's entire structure had eroded away from the inside. Yet, for a full decade Iraq still looked very strong with a massive military.

Come 2003, Iraq proved to be just a husk militarily.

Date​	No. of Targets​	Source​
26/06/2026​	Not stated​	US CENTCOM​
27/06/2026​	10​	US CENTCOM​
07/07/2026​	80​	US CENTCOM​
08/07/2026​	90​	US CENTCOM​

Everyone keeps saying Iran will be okay if it just absorbs the attacks and holds on long enough. I have my doubts if Iran is unable to prevent even a single US airstrike on its territory.

 

[ShapurII]

Gulf countries can rebuild them, use alternative routes and eventually even develop powerful anti-drone and anti-missile systems.

Persian Gulf Arab states cannot develop a slingshot, let alone an anti-missile system. lol
They can purchase anti-drone and anti-missile systems, but the US has to develop new systems and build more systems for them first.

 

[Pakistan Space Agency]

Persian Gulf Arab states cannot develop a slingshot, let alone an anti-missile system. lol
They can purchase anti-drone and anti-missile systems, but the US has to develop new systems and build more systems for them first.

Build, purchase, whatever. As long as they have enough in stockpiles to outlast Iranian attacks.

 

[ShapurII]

Build, purchase, whatever. As long as they have enough in stockpiles to outlast Iranian attacks.

Yeah, and it seems that they are going to outlast Iranian attacks.

And the IRGC doesn't really look serious about destroying their oil facilities. All we have seen so far, except for the LNG production facility in Qatar, has been minor damage to the energy infrastructure of Arab states. Nothing that cannot be repaired in a few weeks/months.

 

[Master Chief]

So, the Emirates that absorbed nearly half of our strikes excluding Israel can restore its oil production within 3 months. What does this tell us about the efficacy of our missiles and target selection?

The issue is target selection.

Iran has always been trying to avoid excessive conflagration.

With the accuracy demonstrated hitherto, Iran can easily knock out 1 refinery per day if it tries.

I cannot understand why Iran chose not to.

 

[Master Chief]

Gulf countries can rebuild them,

That takes many YEARS.