With all due respect, many people are far too optimistic about the situation. This war will not end now; a temporary ceasefire cannot halt the underlying dynamics. The war is bound to resume:
1. Iran’s control of the Strait of Hormuz is something the United States cannot accept; accepting it would signify the complete collapse of U.S. hegemony in the Middle East.
2. No matter how reluctant Trump may be, Israel cannot agree to a ceasefire; ammunition reserves are not an insurmountable problem.
3. Iran is embroiled in fierce internal political struggles; the Revolutionary Guards hold real power, while the influence of the clerical establishment has weakened. The Iranian government will inevitably become increasingly radical.
4. Iran’s attitude toward its neighbors is deteriorating; even when an Arab delegation offered condolences to Khamenei, Iran did not alter its diplomatic stance. The ambitions of the Persian Empire are resurging. The United States may regain the support of Arab nations.