Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

Untrue. Nobody said such things. People nag that Pakistán is just protecting GCC while they're using their territory to attack Iranian soil. But we know all that Pakistán is not involved in any attack to Irán. Just that.
I wasn't talking about the official stance but rather an opinion often found among Iranians.
 
It is evident that the United States' ammunition reserves are gradually depleting, and Iran should seize the opportunity to continue clearing out U.S. military bases, paving the way for other forces. A path that unites them in resistance. The Middle East is in a state of turmoil, and all countries in the region are watching; they need a window to break free from manipulation.
 
In a high-intensity war involving NATO allies like England, Australia, and the EU, Iran's missile arsenal could deplete in months rather than years. Furthermore, U.S. strikes on Iran's power grids and plants would cause long-term setbacks, significantly hindering its ability to manufacture drones and missiles. So even Iran will have to re-adjust it's belligerence.
The EU and Australia together can't even bomb Libya (they ran out of everything in a few days). They're not hetero and irrelevant. So it's only the US. And also, the EU is occupied by Ukraine a bit right now.
 
I dont want to believe weatern media pr9paganda when they say Iranian missile capabilities have been destroyed. But when I see that Iran has not been able to fire more than 10 missiles in a single day for last 2-3 months. It seems there is some truth to it and iran somehow lost the ability to fire 15+ missiles each day.

Now, some may argue that iran is playing the long term game. Okay. I hear you. But if 4 months into a war, and you are still being attacked from a neighbouring country which is not even 18000 sq.km total land area.... then maybe you lost.

Firing 4-5 missiles towards Jordan, which we know are going to be intercepted by US, Israel and Nato assets... is worthless.

Even after 4 months of war. UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan, Israel, USA... none of this country lost its ability to attack iran. All of them are capable even today and still do attack iran. If iran was successful enough in making atleast 2 of them harmless and arm-less, I would be saying Iran actually achieved something here.


Iran can either wait 2-3 more months to being attacked atleast 5000 times more. Or it can just throw some 500 missiles towards these countries and completely deplete their SAMs and then bargain from a position of strength
 
I dont want to believe weatern media pr9paganda when they say Iranian missile capabilities have been destroyed. But when I see that Iran has not been able to fire more than 10 missiles in a single day for last 2-3 months. It seems there is some truth to it and iran somehow lost the ability to fire 40-50 missiles each day.

Now, some may argue that iran is playing the long term game. Okay. I hear you. But if 4 months into a war, and you are still being attacked from a neighbouring country which is not even 18000 sq.km total land area.... then maybe you lost.

Firing 4-5 missiles towards Jordan, which we know are going to be intercepted by US, Israel and Nato assets... is worthless.

Even after 4 months of war. UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan, Israel, USA... none of this country lost its ability to attack iran. All of them are capable even today and still do attack iran. If iran was successful enough in making atleast 2 of them harmless and arm-less, I would be saying Iran actually achieved something here.
Himars are mobile systems. I don't think the fact that there is still Himars firing, means that Iran has too few missiles. These things are truck-launched. Shoot and scoot. They do that in Ukraine for 4-5 years now against Russia. If Iran has to flatten every single building in every single military base in the PGCC, that would be a huge waste of missiles. And we have to account for response time.
 
Iran's Interior Minister was in Pakistan and met the Pakistan Army Chief. There is a lot of coordination between the two countries. Pakistan has to walk a tightrope to protect its financial interests as well as to ensure Iran doesn't fall and become a staging ground for the India-Israel axis.
And Iranians know all that.

Yes, you´re right. Moreover, I don´t have any proof but I am sure that Pakistan is still struggling to contain the conflict and assessing both parts not to hit sensitive targets.

The bullshit Trump spouts on X doesn't align with the combat missions the Pentagon carries out. So, I suspect someone is trying to turn down the heat. And the only one qualified to do that is Pakistan.🤷‍♂️
 
Himars are mobile systems. I don't think the fact that there is still Himars firing, means that Iran has too few missiles. These things are truck-launched. Shoot and scoot

Shoot and scoot where ? Its an 18000 sq.km country. On iran border. 95% of its landmass is plain desert. If iranian intelligence failed here and cant pinpoint the location for Himars on a small neighbouring country then it failed.

And no... himars beings fired on iran isnt the argument for its presumably lost ability to fire missiles in large numbers. The fact that we haven't seen iran do this even once (not even once did it fire more than 15 missiles in a single day for last 2-3 months)... that's what is giving strength to the claims that iran may have lost its ability to launch meaningful missile attack.
 
It is evident that the United States' ammunition reserves are gradually depleting, and Iran should seize the opportunity to continue clearing out U.S. military bases, paving the way for other forces. A path that unites them in resistance. The Middle East is in a state of turmoil, and all countries in the region are watching; they need a window to break free from manipulation.

Ammunition depletion is only concern as far as Tomahawks & interceptors are concerned.

But they have absolutely no shortage of cheaper ammunition which they widely used in phase-2 of war. Like UCAVs, fighter jets and bombers dropping laser guided bombs. The footages that US centcom shows of hitting targets is always of weapons being dropped by fighter jets or UCAVs. These laser guided bombs are 100s of times cheaper than Iranian ballistic missile.
 
Ammunition depletion is only concern as far as Tomahawks & interceptors are concerned.

But they have absolutely no shortage of cheaper ammunition which they widely used in phase-2 of war. Like UCAVs, fighter jets and bombers dropping laser guided bombs. The footages that US centcom shows of hitting targets is always of weapons being dropped by fighter jets or UCAVs. These laser guided bombs are 100s of times cheaper than Iranian ballistic missile.
How can we know that from footage? That it's JDAMs being used a lot? UCAVs get shot down, that's not relevant. They can only fire Hellfires afaik. This isn't Afghanistan/Pakistan borderland strikes by predators of the early 2000s anymore.
 
Fed holding out seems trump is influencing them to keep interests low but spiraling inflation and then late interest rise adjustments may end up leading to a recession.

Oil prices are now starting to feed into the economy now, and it will cause interest rate adjustments across the world in weeks to come, there is no way around that reality. Trump is hoping they can stay low, until the mid terms are over, could he get away with that, is unknown of course.

The Bank of England will keep rates the same this month, and the next decision point is September, and it is a complicated picture..

 
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Yes, you´re right. Moreover, I don´t have any proof but I am sure that Pakistan is still struggling to contain the conflict and assessing both parts not to hit sensitive targets.
The bullshit Trump spouts on X doesn't align with the combat missions the Pentagon carries out. So, I suspect someone is trying to turn down the heat. And the only one qualified to do that is Pakistan.🤷‍♂️

Dr. Shazia Cheema is a new analyst to me; seen only a few of her videos but reminds me of the great Chas Freeman in connecting the dots. No English captions available so I will try to summarize:
- Pakistan and Pakistanis are solidly behind Iran because Pakistan can't afford an Israel backed regime sitting next to Pakistan.
- Iran needs to talk with its neighbors and come up with a Malacca Strait like solution to collect fees for the Strait of Hormuz passage, which would also be a face saving for Trump
- Zelensky and Netanyahu in Washington are working to convince Trump to go all-in against Russia and Iran
- Zelensky promising Ukraine's formidable drone tech against Iran
- Ultimate aim of the West is China and Iran is 'collateral'
- Iran should talk to its neighbors as they too want the Americans out; bombing randomly there will not be helpful to Iran either
- The Saudi delegation going to the Ayatollah funeral uninvited need not have been subtly lectured by selective verses from Quran

 

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