Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

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Iran’s love for restraint has cost it dearly since the Syrian war.

In 2015, an Israeli air strike in Syria near the Golan killed a Iranian General in charge of Syrian operations and the son of one of the original founders of Hezbollah and their most brilliant operative.

What Nasrallah do in response? A token attack on some border patrol unit.

What did Iran do in response? Nothing just empty threats about time and place.

That in my opinion was the single most tragic mistake that Iran and Hezbollah committed and it foreshadowed the great demise of the Axis of Resistance in the years to come.

After Israel realized it could kill high level Iranian and Hezbollah operatives and pay no meaningful price, it kicked off a decade of Israeli assassinations on Iranian and HZ forces in Syria and Lebanon, ultimately culminating in the Solemani assassination in 2020.

When faced with the loss of their strongest general and the glue and mastermind of the axis of resistance network, what did Iran do? Did it declare war and say enough is enough and that it must respond dimly? No just more strategic patience, Restraint and failure to uphold deterrence.

This feebleness by Iran and Hezbollah also know was as the Khamenai and Nasrallah doctrine, ultimately lead to the deaths of both of these leaders and large number officials from IRGC and HZ.

And yet it appears Iran is once again exercising restraint against the U.S. with hopes that “this time will be different”.

History says otherwise.

2008 was the year that Iran should have at least tried to show the world what its capable of. Thats when Iran held the cards.

In 2008, oil movement through the Strait of Hormuz accounted for 40 percent of all global seaborne-traded oil. [1]
When evaluated against total worldwide oil movement (including land-based pipelines and overland transit), the flows through the strait represented approximately 17 percent of all oil traded globally. [1]

2008 Transit Context
    • Daily Flow Volume: An average of roughly 16 to 17 million barrels per day of crude oil and refined petroleum products transited the chokepoint during the year.
    • Global Demand Shift: This period marked a historic peak for energy markets, with oil prices climbing to a record high of nearly $150 per barrel in mid-2008 before collapsing later that year due to the global financial crisis. [1, 2]
If you would like, I can provide a breakdown of the specific Gulf countries that contributed to this volume or compare these figures to current maritime transit levels.
 
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Can they even reach Europe? Doubtful, unless they mean carrying out attacks from human attackers in Europe

Regardless though, the last thing Iran wants is for Europe to enter into the war with the US
 
Can they even reach Europe? Doubtful, unless they mean carrying out attacks from human attackers in Europe

Regardless though, the last thing Iran wants is for Europe to enter into the war with the US
Maybe they mean Ukraine for bombing that Iranian ship or something. No idea if they can actually do anything.
 
Can they even reach Europe? Doubtful, unless they mean carrying out attacks from human attackers in Europe

Regardless though, the last thing Iran wants is for Europe to enter into the war with the US

A little bugger shahed can reach over 3000 kms easily…..
I think if shahed XL launches from north west Iran they can reach main capitals of europe
 
The CNN authors last name is “Goldman”. You can chunk that analysis straight into the trash. More Zionist propaganda that everything is going fine.

Reality is on a good day 5-7MBPD are missing on a bad day 10MBPD+…pre war traffic was 20MBPD

Is oil getting thru? Absolutely, I am the one pointing that out for weeks. But the shortfall is still noticeable. The dark transits have merely bought the US time.

How much time? Now that is what’s actually up for debate
Remember the associated costs of this oil.
Insurances and air and naval cover of USAF and US Navy respectively.
These costs are unsustainable.
 
A little bugger shahed can reach over 3000 kms easily…..
I think if shahed XL launches from north west Iran they can reach main capitals of europe
If it was that easy, Iranian shaheds would have shut down the suez canal. A lot more disruptive than even Hormuz
 
Israeli intelligince spokesman threats Turkey.

"After Iran is finished, Turkey will be our number one enemy".

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They really want Armageddon.
 
Those are ancient aircraft from half a century ago. I have read that most modern American planes need daily codes from the manufacturer to start but I don't know if that's true.

That is only the F-35 that needs that(for now), due to the way its "logistics" support system has been designed.
 
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A little bugger shahed can reach over 3000 kms easily…..
I think if shahed XL launches from north west Iran they can reach main capitals of europe

And the BMs can reach upto 2500KM
 
Can they even reach Europe? Doubtful, unless they mean carrying out attacks from human attackers in Europe

Regardless though, the last thing Iran wants is for Europe to enter into the war with the US

Technically, Crete and Cyprus are in range for Iran and are very significant logistical bases and intelligence bases for the USA right now but I think it would be crazy for Iran to go after either at all. Iran needs fewer enemies right now, not more.

Jordan, however is a very significant US military base that Iran really needs to remove from the chessboard first before anything else.
 
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