Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[RzA]

Strategic patience here means a lot of suffering for Iranians. If IR fails to act we will have destroyed infrastructure in addition to naval and economic blockade with no end in sight. IR has proven effective at neutralizing riots. So US will not get a color revolution. The reformists thrive in this environment. Meanwhile oil continues to make its way out of the region like water pouring through a sieve.

A big concern I have is with 25 million people in the workforce, by how much are we going to see that number dwindle in the years to come? The blockade will inevitably create shortages and less incentive for employers to pay or hire. What is the unemployment rate going to look like? Down by 5%, 10%, etc etc? And with Trump's recent decree, we're also going to see less foreign buyers of our exports. People keep looking at the oil sector in this war but it's all downstream to other products like rubber and plastics, textiles, pharmaceuticals, fabricated metals, paper, and electrical equipment, etc etc. Then there's the agricultural sector which will be hit just as hard. When inflation is through the roof and the demand isn't there anymore to hire or pay workers adequately, I can see Mossad recruitment at an all time high again and more protests to follow.

 

[BigMela2onin]

A big concern I have is with 25 million people in the workforce, by how much are we going to see that number dwindle in the years to come? The blockade will inevitably create shortages and less incentive for employers to pay or hire. What is the unemployment rate going to look like? Down by 5%, 10%, etc etc? And with Trump's recent decree, we're also going to see less foreign buyers of our exports. People keep looking at the oil sector in this war but it's all downstream to other products like rubber and plastics, textiles, pharmaceuticals, fabricated metals, paper, and electrical equipment, etc etc. Then there's the agricultural sector which will be hit just as hard. When inflation is through the roof and the demand isn't there anymore to hire or pay workers adequately, I can see Mossad recruitment at an all time high again and more protests to follow.

Why do you concern yourself with such things when the government can't be bothered to?

 

[Tumba]

A big concern I have is with 25 million people in the workforce, by how much are we going to see that number dwindle in the years to come? The blockade will inevitably create shortages and less incentive for employers to pay or hire. What is the unemployment rate going to look like? Down by 5%, 10%, etc etc? And with Trump's recent decree, we're also going to see less foreign buyers of our exports. People keep looking at the oil sector in this war but it's all downstream to other products like rubber and plastics, textiles, pharmaceuticals, fabricated metals, paper, and electrical equipment, etc etc. Then there's the agricultural sector which will be hit just as hard. When inflation is through the roof and the demand isn't there anymore to hire or pay workers adequately, I can see Mossad recruitment at an all time high again and more protests to follow.

There is no Iran in IRGC

So whosoever is fighting in Iran using Iranian resources actually is not fighting for Iran

 

[Magi]

A big concern I have is with 25 million people in the workforce, by how much are we going to see that number dwindle in the years to come? The blockade will inevitably create shortages and less incentive for employers to pay or hire. What is the unemployment rate going to look like? Down by 5%, 10%, etc etc? And with Trump's recent decree, we're also going to see less foreign buyers of our exports. People keep looking at the oil sector in this war but it's all downstream to other products like rubber and plastics, textiles, pharmaceuticals, fabricated metals, paper, and electrical equipment, etc etc. Then there's the agricultural sector which will be hit just as hard. When inflation is through the roof and the demand isn't there anymore to hire or pay workers adequately, I can see Mossad recruitment at an all time high again and more protests to follow.

You are exactly right about the downstream knock on effects. This is war in another form. Actual peace and stability would create a huge economic boom and reconstruction. The US will never allow that for as long as they can. The status quo sanctions and blockade combined with destroyed infrastructure and the occasional mowing of the lawn and riots will create economic stagnation and poverty unseen by modern Iranians.

But as bad as the status quo is for Iran, it is still not enough to the US. Iran is the capstone project to 30 years of planning and wars. It can't linger forever. Iranians also have made statements about taking action if the blockade continues. But they do talk a lot and lack credibility. I personally think this is temporary. All or nothing.

 

[Immortals]

 

[Immortals]

 

[Jalz]

This will fail because Iran has its own industry and large technical base. We should also welcome these secondary sanctions because it will force an Sino American confrontation. China wont like its sovereignty being trampled.

 

[Immortals]

This will fail because Iran has its own industry and large technical base.

We should also welcome these secondary sanctions because it will force an Sino American confrontation. China wont like its sovereignty being trampled.

Yeah the same China that cut oil imports by 50% for the first time in 5 years once the war broke out in order to help stabilize oil markets, with full knowledge that it would undermine Iran’s leverage.

I have no idea why there is so much China glazing on this site. Xi is a western appeaser and shuns confrontation. He’s meeting Donald next month.

China doesn’t care if Iran’s population starves to death or if Iran collapses. China will have relations with whoever comes next in Iran. They have far more trade and economic ties with the rich Arab PG countries.

 

[Professor Jiang]

 

[Flotilla]

It is not the same. Syria first fell in a civil war and then bigger actors started to support different factions until finally the central Government collapsed.
Even if any foreign actor can push for a civil war inside Irán, the central power using IRGC would eventually succeed prevailing over the rebelión.
IMO that scenario is not plausible.

 

[Khorasan Black Flags]

Yankee currency will not remain valuable forever

 

[Khorasan Black Flags]

 

[Khorasan Black Flags]

 

[Khorasan Black Flags]

 

[Persian Gulf]

Brent crude rises to $94