Yemen's Houthis now are playing a huge role... Hezbollah-Israel ceasefire to end soon...
Yes, I guess the IRGC applied its decentralized, mosaic command and control systems in southern Lebanon, which kept Hezbollah fully "ready" and prepared. Israel will lose more soldiers quicker soon, esp. if its forces dont stop strikes in Lebanon and withdraw soldiers in Lebanese territory.
What is the strategic situation for Iran to launch TP3? Even if Trump becomes President, the US military power doesn't suddenly increase overnight, so if TP3 is to be launched, the timing is before Trump's inauguration.
Good points.
A big war will hurt Israel more,
and this maybe what i think Iran is using as leverage in some secret negotiations with US atm- US most likely doesn't want Iran to hit Israel, period, so Iran has some leverage probably in its potential TP3- it has the authority, public support, rationale, etc to mount a TP3- obviously Iran's calculations around timing is a huge part of TP3 discussion and potential occurrence.
as they still haven't fully wiped out Hezbollah and the Houthis and are about to challenge Iran 1vs3.
Yea, its crazy. Gaza is still fighting so brave, OMG- i thought the Taliban were the strongest fighters in the world, i can say its Gaza fighters today, no question in my mind anymore.
Sure, the US will make it 2vs3, but the US can't pour all resources into the Iran war, because they have to keep forces against Russia and China,
True.
so I think Iran can win this war if they are willing to take casualties for it.
Yea, but i sense Iran still prefers not to enter a war with US if it can avoid it- but i agree with you, Iran at this level of military power will eventually wear out US in a war, and kind of win because of outlasting US(due to US withdrawal from the conflict area).
The problem is Gulf countries and Saudi which have substantial air forces and can coordinate with USAF.
If they start "coordinating", Iran will hit all their air bases, so there is the sitting duck theory going on, and also if some of their jets get shot in Iranian airspace, that will demoralize their military and population, which will force the Arab air forces to cease operations. Why no Arab, US or Israeli air force jets haven't entered Iranian airspace? The last Israeli batch of fighters stayed far away, in Iraq, to fire their payload (missiles) at Iran, they never dared to enter Iranian air space- because its vast, so their chances of getting shot out from traveling too far (on their way out of Iran) after bombing/ attacking is higher than we think.
Iran can win easily if it can make Arab Sunnis side with it, but how?
Iran would probably not win easily, but Iran can still do alot of undesireable damage to its enemies. Because of Geography, Iran has an advantage in any war if its fought in its border areas and territory, just like the Houthis do at the moment also.
