Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

[Hypersonic]

Khamenei and current IRGC leadership are to be blame for this. They’re acting more against the interest of Iran than for it. It’s genuinely shocking how incompetent they are. If Iran loses Hezbollah then it’s only choice is to go nuclear, something it should have done years ago already.

If you start a fight against powers such as USA, Israel and their allies then you best have the mean to properly defend your interest otherwise you’re suicidal to start in the first place.

The proxy strategy only worked for as long as Israel was deterred by these proxy groups, now that they have called Iran bluff, I don’t see Israel stopping unless Hezbollah is serious about going all out with their offence. Anything short of that will achieve nothing.

 

[Persian Gulf]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1839766034795970971

health workers did not even finish searching the rubble of the last 10 buildings turned to rubble and now Israel is about to raze large areas of south Beirut to rubble too

 

[Mr Iran Eye]

Mehr News Agency quoting security sources:

The commander of the Qods Force of the Revolutionary Guards, Brigadier General Esmail_Qaani, is safe and sound.

 

[lightning f57]

Khamenei and current IRGC leadership are to be blame for this. They’re acting more against the interest of Iran than for it. It’s genuinely shocking how incompetent they are. If Iran loses Hezbollah then it’s only choice is to go nuclear, something it should have done years ago already.

If you start a fight against powers such as USA, Israel and their allies then you best have the mean to properly defend your interest otherwise you’re suicidal to start in the first place.

The proxy strategy only worked for as long as Israel was deterred by these proxy groups, now that they have called Iran bluff, I don’t see Israel stopping unless Hezbollah is serious about going all out with their offence. Anything short of that will achieve nothing.

Some good points. Either the Iranian/Hezbollah leadership has a grand plan up their sleeves or they were bluffing to the extent they would go. Its looking like they were fine with a limited conflict but not intensive as the carpet bombing of Lebanon. Not having adequate air cover is a massive handicap.

Israels policy is always to respond with massive force no matter the damage they take, thats them establishing their red line. Hezbollah and Iranian leaders failed with this miserably. Infact this tactic could weaken Irans own detterence posture in the long term which someone like Trump would be willing to push.

 

[Nuffle]

Khamenei and current IRGC leadership are to be blame for this. They’re acting more against the interest of Iran than for it. It’s genuinely shocking how incompetent they are. If Iran loses Hezbollah then it’s only choice is to go nuclear, something it should have done years ago already.

If you start a fight against powers such as USA, Israel and their allies then you best have the mean to properly defend your interest otherwise you’re suicidal to start in the first place.

The proxy strategy only worked for as long as Israel was deterred by these proxy groups, now that they have called Iran bluff, I don’t see Israel stopping unless Hezbollah is serious about going all out with their offence. Anything short of that will achieve nothing.

In reality, there was mutual deterrence. Israel wanted to deter Hezbollah for as long as possible. Furthermore, Israeli intelligence officials also argued that Nasrallah might be reluctant to compromise his position as the strongest political actor in Lebanon by engaging in full-scale military hostilities against Israel.

Now, Israel has changed its stance and is adopting the latest strategic approach. If Hezbollah had planned for Israel to hold back or stay in Gaza forever, it appears that those plans have not worked out, and they now find themselves in a quandary.

 

[CrniLabud]

Khamenei is a target too, the lack of response emboldened isreal and I am sure as the “red lines” are crossed they become meaningless and anyone could be a target.

 

[925boy]

I don't believe Raisi died in an accident.

Well- show us the evidence or you keep quiet or get confirmed as a conspiracy theorist. Your choice.

 

[925boy]

There have been hypotheses that he was killed with a pager as well.

but if the Lebanon pager incident never happened would those conspiracy theorists have said Raisi was also killed by a rigged pager? Probably not.

 

[925boy]

Khamenei is a target too, the lack of response emboldened isreal and I am sure as the “red lines” are crossed they become meaningless and anyone could be a target.

Targeting Iran's SL is Casus belli which will automatically commit Iran to a war against the country that kills the SL.

 

[925boy]

The irony was all the statements about Israel living in perpetual fear of Axis of Resistance revenge strike: meanwhile they moved on to planning to decapitate HZ.

I get your point generally and its reasonable one, but lets clear something up- what is Israel's assassination of Hezbollah leaders actually doing to Hezbollah on the battlefield?

if Israel's successful assassination campaign against Hezbollah was worth anything, why did US start asking for a "ceasefire" in its war against Lebanon?

THIS MATH ISN"T MATHING!!

Do you know how many Taliban leaders US and NATO killed and the Taliban still bounced back and defeated NATO?

in a weird way, assassinations is a bit like "artificial selection"- the more leaders you assassinate, the more likely the replacement leader will be harder to find and kill- new leaders are products of previous leadership mistakes, so they must adapt (evade assassination attempts).

 

[Dariush-e Bozorg]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1839717219082670091

 

[925boy]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1839717219082670091

Can you define what "Iran backing its proxy" means in practical terms?

All i will say is that Iran is the one that knows what "backing its proxy means" in relation to Hezbollah. Iran knows Hezbollah's "health o'meter" status at all times- the worst part is the people who spew these lies like Iran isnt defending its proxies have the worst understanding of Iran's ideology and relationship with its proxies/allies militias etc.

 

[925boy]

Khamenei and current IRGC leadership are to be blame for this.

In your opinion, but ok.

They’re acting more against the interest of Iran than for it.

what are the acts or lack of acts that are i"n the interests" of Iran?

It’s genuinely shocking how incompetent they are.

How are they incompetent when they are on the winning side and the majority of the world's (and their country Lebanon's) opinion is on their side?

If Iran loses Hezbollah then it’s only choice is to go nuclear, something it should have done years ago already.

Relax, Iran has its IRGC and army and military resources to prop up Hezbollah- why you so quick to mention "nukes" that are not required to solve the issue of reviving Hezbollah if Israel damages it mortally as an org (which it won't Yemen and Iraqi resistance have 200k ground soldiers ready to cross into Syria and Lebanon to fight Israel). Its a different war this time, and you do not have better information or knowledge than the decision makes in Iran, please understand that.

If you start a fight against powers such as USA, Israel and their allies then you best have the mean to properly defend your interest otherwise you’re suicidal to start in the first place.

Which Iranian axis member isnt able to defend themselves? As a matter of fact Israel is the one thats unable to "defend itself" against some of them, like the Houthis and Iraqi resistance forces-they've successfully fired so many sexy kinetic birds at Israel, it made it obvious that Israel hasn't damaged them at all really (despite all the tough talk from Israel and PDF).

The proxy strategy only worked for as long as Israel was deterred by these proxy groups,

If Israel still isn't deterred by Iran's proxy groups (which are doing at least a good job at hitting Israel while maintaining their overall capabilities and preparations for future battles/wars, armed conflicts etc.), then why is it mentioning ceasefires? To restock Iron domes and produce and receive more ammunition before the next round of intense fighting? If Israel needs a ceasefire, more like a breathalyzer, in its war against Hezbollah only after 1 month, what military strength do you see in this country and weakness do you see in Iran's allies? you think some intense aerial bombardments determines who wins a war? are you that green??

now that they have called Iran bluff,

What Iranian bluff was called? They got desperate at all the threats and damage Israel is taking from Iran's allies, they decided to try a risky short term intense-conflict battleplan against Hezbollah, but it didnt work, Hezbollah keeps firing Fadi 1,2,3s. Israel can only kill, it can't win, lemme screenshot some of this so there's no taking it back later.

I don’t see Israel stopping unless Hezbollah is serious about going all out with their offence. Anything short of that will achieve nothing.

Hezbollah will also never stop as long as Israel keeps bombing Gaza, so lets keep watching this space.

 

[Liquidator]

Right


Off now

If I don't see extradonary scenes in tel aviv by the morning the you can safely assume the battle is lost (note battle not war).

Goodbye

 

[wudangmaster]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1839717219082670091

Baba why are you following that jabroni piece of garbage? That lowlife is wahhabi/salafi feces.