It was a nice run while it lasted. From 2003-2020 Iran went on an incredible run of accomplishments. Quite unprecedented given it’s starting position.
however, let’s be real it happened in part due to terrible American foreign policy blunders that created a massive power vacuum: removing Saddam Hussein (Iran’s #1 enemy) and Taliban as major threats. Iraq become an Iranian satellite country.
However the tide started to turn with the
Death of Tehrani Moghdamm in 2011 (likely an Israeli assassination at this point). This period marked the routine occurrence of Israeli assassinations till today.
Since the death of Solemani, it’s been Iran completely on the defensive trying to put out fires.
Then Hamas did 10/9 which at this point could have been completely done without Iranian knowledge. If so, it has caused immense damage to the Axis.
Maybe Hamas thought this would start the war they have all been spending 25+ years preparing for and the liberation of Quds, maybe Hezbollah thought once it too joined the war that one day Iran would join as well shortly after.
But appearance wise it looks like Hamas and Hezbollah jumped off the bridge and then Iran decided that it’s too dangerous and went home.
If I’m Iraqi and Syrian resistance groups, I’d be apprehensive about diving head first into this conflict because now they know that there is no back up coming from Iran outside of material and advisor assistance.
The militant groups of the Axis of Resistance is sacrificial lambs at this point to protect Iran.
Solemani would never have allowed that. He created a brotherhood and cohesive entity. Iran today has turned them into mercenary groups or at best foreign legions built to protect the host (Iran)
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