Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

[Shags101]

Let’s just assume the actual recognition by Israel of somaliland is to set up a naval and commando presence well let’s just assume this being set up will be noticed rapidly and if so if they haven’t done it already I’m thinking Houthi short range fateh style missiles and cruise missiles will find these to be easier targets to hit than a target a thousand miles away…..I’m guessing they got offered 5 million dollars in aid(bribes)

Houthis say IDF presence in Somaliland would be ‘military target’

* * *

www.timesofisrael.com

Also is it me or the shahab boys(which I honestly loathe) will actually go and do something about this a few hundred idf soldiers in their midst im assuming they will let that be passed up or Israeli diplomatic(Mossad) missions

 

[ToddE]

Let’s just assume the actual recognition by Israel of somaliland is to set up a naval and commando presence well let’s just assume this being set up will be noticed rapidly and if so if they haven’t done it already I’m thinking Houthi short range fateh style missiles and cruise missiles will find these to be easier targets to hit than a target a thousand miles away…..I’m guessing they got offered 5 million dollars in aid(bribes)

Houthis say IDF presence in Somaliland would be ‘military target’

* * *

www.timesofisrael.com

Also is it me or the shahab boys(which I honestly loathe) will actually go and do something about this a few hundred idf soldiers in their midst im assuming they will let that be passed up or Israeli diplomatic(Mossad) missions

UAE is facilitating Israel. As stupid as it may sound, KSA and Turkey both will seek Iranian favor in theaters in Syria, Sudan, Libya, Yemen.

For those who do not know, KSA purchased drones (Mohajer-6 UCAV) and other weapons from Iran to supply to Sudan. Long shot but I feel KSA will again seek Iranian help through houthis to deal with UAE in Yemen as well.

 

[Immortals]

yes, Israel is being too greedy and arrogant. they had a former Salafist on his knees to make peace with them, ready to give up Golan Heights and everything, but that wasn't enough for them, they wanted more

What’s even more suprising is that Israel was ready to give Golan Heights back to Assad as part of a non-aggression pact, if he denounced Iran and de-linked from Axis of Resistance. John Kerry had dinner with Assad and his wife. Well known picture that circulated from that night.

But Assad bet on Iran and the AoR….the wrong horse. After that refusal, the West went after the AoR, one by one. First Assad with the 2010 uprising.

I’m sure Assad regrets that decision now that he sees all the Arab countries signed on to Abraham Accords and Turkey having economic relations with Israel.

 

[Shags101]

UAE is facilitating Israel. As stupid as it may sound, KSA and Turkey both will seek Iranian favor in theaters in Syria, Sudan, Libya, Yemen.

For those who do not know, KSA purchased drones (Mohajer-6 UCAV) and other weapons from Iran to supply to Sudan. Long shot but I feel KSA will again seek Iranian help through houthis to deal with UAE in Yemen as well.

Don’t know if that’s true if Saudis bought the drones from Iran to give to Sudan I don’t recall seeing any reports regarding that but I prefer Houthis concentrate on Israel if they do plan on stationing troops there let the other factions fight amongst themselves

 

[chinasun]

Iran says it is in full-scale war with US, Israel and Europe



The Iranian president’s policy of seeking peace through compromise has hit a dead end.

 

[FUB]

Iran says it is in full-scale war with US, Israel and Europe



The Iranian president’s policy of seeking peace through compromise has hit a dead end.

He is 100% spot on .
A very informative video from Col. Douglas Macgregor .

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[Khansaheeb]

Iran is at war with US/Israel , lol it took them 20 years to realise this.

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[kastor ville]

Iran is at war with US/Israel , lol it took them 20 years to realise this.

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This is true

 

[Kyussis]

You make great points. Iran turned out to be a paper tiger (minus the 12 day imposed war on it). Failures after failures. I was one of those who was yelling to strike the enemy's capital after the Damascus Embassy attack that took out bunch of IRGC Officers in early 2024. Iran was ill-prepared, or was out-prepared. Keeping Hezbollah on a leash ensure its destruction. It's in no condition to wage anything lest it sees its areas civilians mostly get massacred like the Palestinians. The sensitive thing to was get on the ground full stream October 8th and take the war into the enemy territory. Sitting back and letting it take out each combatant one by one was foolish. I hope the Mod here doesn't ban me for the things I'm saying.

Turkey is exponentially more powerful than Iran and its militias. Best thing now is to shore up the home-front and get rid of the fifth columnists. Take a seat, you gave it your all - much blood and currency. The Turks can't get isolated like the Iranians for many historical reasons. The conflict will be Turkey and Israel in Syria.

The Turks are very well prepared, with full support of Pakistan (something that Iran severely lacked - regional backer).

Might even be in Iran's best interests to shore up its relations with the Sunni world and let things fall where they may. Just my own opinion.

You must be joking if you think that Turkey will ever lay a finger on their Zionist masters.

 

[Kyussis]

IMO Irán performed really well in some areas. The most basic and obvious was its own survival. Regime survived and most of the network continues (missile factories and SAM sites have been rebuild if not reinforced).

But unfortunately you´re right. Bad mistakes inside (spy network nearly decapitated high command leadership) and outside (fall of Syria) changes the equation completely.

Again the most obvious (and I agree with Mr Emirzad) it is the lack of a modern and credible Air Force. SAM sites can be easily jammed and even can be sabotaged. So there is mandatory an additional layer of defense. IRIAF and all Islamic Republic needs desperately a long range fighter.

And here enters Hizbollah. Being isolated by Israel in the south and rounded in the north by a hostile Regime (Al Jolani) can Hizbollah survive?. Probably they can. But if they can the cost it is so high (Lebanese people will suffer) and the resources needed are so high (it is not the same restocking their weaponry now than two years ago) that really it is not worth.

This money is needed for rebuilding the air force. And it is needed to duplicate the ballistic missile network and modernize the stockpiles.

Ironically the Turkish presence in Syria can act as an additional layer of defense for rebuilding the IRIAF and reinforce the SAM systems (it takes years to train S400 or HQ9B battalions).

It is obvious Netanyahu will never allow Turkey to deploy in Tiyas high end fighters like F16/EF2000 or even F35 or hypothetical KAANs.

Tayfun missiles, long range SAMs and other key assets would close the Syrian airspace to Israel. At cost "0" to Irán.

Even if I don´t like Al Jolani, last week two israeli soldiers were killed in a skirmish near Damascus. And it is just starting.

Those Israelis were not killed by the Syrian Army. They were killed by armed civilians. No Sunni power will ever lift a finger against their Zionist masters!

 

[Persian Gulf]

Those Israelis were not killed by the Syrian Army. They were killed by armed civilians. No Sunni power will ever lift a finger against their Zionist masters!

well Hamas and PIJ are Sunni are they not ? and most of the Sunni Arabs went to full scale war with Israel repeatedly from 1948-1973. they just lost the wars very badly and basically conceded defeat and decided 'if you can't beat them, join them'.

 

[Kyussis]

well Hamas and PIJ are Sunni are they not ? and most of the Sunni Arabs went to full scale war with Israel repeatedly from 1948-1973. they just lost the wars very badly and basically conceded defeat and decided 'if you can't beat them, join them'.

Hamas and PIJ are under direct Israeli occupation. The October war was 50 years ago. There is no "joining them" when the Greater Israel Project means that they themselves will be the new Palestinians.

 

[ToddE]

Don’t know if that’s true if Saudis bought the drones from Iran to give to Sudan I don’t recall seeing any reports regarding that but I prefer Houthis concentrate on Israel if they do plan on stationing troops there let the other factions fight amongst themselves

was reported by dissident journalists accounts in west, I will try to find the link but it kinda makes sense as well considering rather larger order of Mohajer-6 and Ababil-4 were delivered directly to Khartoum from Iran. SAF has no money except for whatever KSA supplies them with so how were Iranian companies paid ?

https://www.bbc.com/afrique/articles/cd11gp4yn02o.amp

I have a feeling Iran will make a huge come back in these theaters because Mullahs are masters of interventions in middle eastern countries. Look at Iraqi elections recently. It would have been a blessing for Iranian nation if Iran would have stayed away from external BS and looks inward but sooner or later I am seeing Iran again in all those areas Soleimani won for Khamenei.

 

[ToddE]

Happened to read this jumping into this. Maybe you don't know that the (Soviet) Russians also conquered and occupied a large swathe of Eastern Europe and also banned Christian churches. BTW, the Central Asian Muslim nations are better off because of the Soviets introducing 'education' to them--something the PDPA party of Afghanistan also wanted and tried in the 70s albeit with a little too much zeal and stupidity and failed, but that's for another thread.

Russians hate Islam and muslims in general. Let alone Russians, walk through general Slavics sometime and see how they treat you regardless of how liberal or westernized you are.

Also Russia has a centuries old history of fighting wars against Ottomans and Iranian empires. I am not blaming them, they are what they are. Russian problem with eastern EU is political, their problem with muslims is racial and social, its pretty much like how US may have fought wars against other white countries for political reasons but its different to how they see their own colored minorities as inferior or less reliable.

As to the 'concentration camps' of the Uighurs in China: I have looked at the images and videos of China's Xingjian region: At worst, they still look better than many regions of the world. Maybe they are China's version of Stalin's de-indoctrinations. Only if there could be an Stalin for Afghanistan right now!

You have a twisted view of the world. So its OK to keep your own population in concentration camps ? Russia and China both are as anti muslim as West is.

 

[ToddE]

Why is this even up for debate? Its all theatrics and Turkey being cocky. Turkey wouldn’t put all its power to topple Assad and destroy the Hezbollah corridor only to replace the government with zio loving ISIS. Not to mention the direct arms and oil shipments from Turkey to Israel which members here seem to conveniently ignore for obvious reasons.

Its the result of perception+narrative politics of Turkish government. They are a severe ethnonationalist society so they keep on making TV series, movies and launch them in Middle eastern countries to create a superior image of themselves. Result, people got brainwashed to the point that you tell them Turkey's half GDP is pure western+Jew debt or its just allowed a harmless conventional military and the answer you get is "Turkey is Bigus Dickus". Ayatollahs do similar trick to create support outside borders but their tool is stupid most Islamism that nobody buys anymore.