Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

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even some pro-Israel American analysts are stating the obvious: Israel has lost the war @jauk

Yup. Actually Zionia lost this battle in a series of lost battles.The wider war has been lost for quite a while. I measure it by the degree of isolation, literal internal political destruction, surrounded by The Resistance, etc. I can see no way Zionia extricating itself from this deep multifaceted defeat. I also believe the US is drifting away from Zionia. There are far bigger fish to fry.

These pictures of destruction in Gaza are no less than the annihilation of Zionia itself. Within its ‘borders’ or right next to them.
 
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Imagine if it wasn’t a bottle rocket and actual real PGM or HIMARS like weapon, results would have been devastating for IDF.

I mean current Hamas rockets need to land on someone’s forehead to kill them.
 
Yup. Actually Zionia lost this battle in a series of lost battles.The wider war has been lost for quite a while. I measure it by the degree of isolation, literal internal political destruction, surrounded by The Resistance, etc. I can see no way Zionia extricating itself from this deep multifaceted defeat. I also believe the US is drifting away from Zionia. There are far bigger fish to fry.

These pictures of destruction in Gaza are no less than the annihilation of Zionia itself. Within its ‘borders’ or right next to them.

It was quite easy for them to extend this war.

At first when they invaded, They should have taken 100K soldiers and Cleared the North. Moved south slowly. 25% of soldiers would stay back and do mop up operations, house to house, sewer by sewer looking for Hamas. All civilians would have to leave the area.

Then once sufficiently cleared, the North would be declared a “humanitarian zone” and UN MP/peacekeepers would be brought in to patrol the zone and establish security. Aid would be brought into the north zone. Then move everyone in Gaza to the North, anyone who decided to stay outside of the humanitarian zone was doing so at their own risk and their safety couldn’t be guaranteed.

See, now you basically cut off the insurgency in the North, if Hamas blended into the zone and shot or fired rockets out of a Humanitarian zone it would look very bad from a PR standpoint and clearly violate rules of war. UN MPs would also then be forced to engage and Hamas would likely not want to clear UN peacekeepers.

With 1-2M Palestinians in the zone, civilian casualties could have been reduced by up to a factor of 10. This would have given Israel plenty of leash to conduct the war for much longer and kept their image favorable.

Luckily for the Arabs, Bibi is a moron who only knows the bull in China shop approach to warfare.
 
Looks like Battle will start soon

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3 IDF terrorists confirmed liquidated by Hamas rockets, 11 more wounded (3 in "serious condition")

Zionists media announced the liquidation of 3 terrorists following a strike by Hamas on their position in Karam Abu Salem outside of Gaza.

Staff Sgt. Ruben Marc Mordechai Assouline, 19 of the Givati Brigade's Shaked Battalion, from Ra'anana.

Staff Sgt. Ido Testa, 19, of the Givati Brigade's Shaked Battalion, from Jerusalem.

Staff Sgt. Tal Shavit, 21, of the Nahal Brigade's 931st Battalion, from Kfar Giladi.

Another 11 soldiers were wounded in the rocket attack, including two soldiers of the 931st Battalion and a soldier of the Shaked Battalion who are listed in serious condition.

---

kinda funny they have 19 year old staff sergeants
4th IDF terrorist confirmed liquidated by Hamas rockets in yesterday's strike, 10 more wounded (several with serious injuries)

The IDF announces the death of a fourth Zionist terrorist killed in the Hamas-claimed rocket attack against a staging ground near Kerem Shalom in southern Israel yesterday.

He is named as Sgt. Michael Ruzal, 18, of the Nahal Brigade's 931st Battalion, from Rishon Lezion.

Last night, the IDF announced the deaths of three terrorist soldiers in the attack on the Gaza border. Another 10 soldiers were wounded, including three in serious condition.

Hamas launched at least 10 short-range rockets in the attack.
 
Hezbollah UAV kills 3 IDF terrorists on northern border, including senior IDF officer [DETAILS SUBJECT TO ZIONIST MILITARY CENSOR]
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So far IDF only confirmed that a UAV with explosives targeted IDF terrorists but they did not reveal their casualties yet (military censor).
 
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40 tube rocket launcher (looks like Iranian Arash / grad rockets with 20-40km range)

Resistance sources claim less than half of the rockets were intercepted by Iron Dome. It is very interesting that Israel has stopped publishing Iron Dome interception rates. I remember in every previous war they would constantly publish incredible interception rates.

Israel likely has 300-400 Tamir interceptors deployed at the north at any one time (5 batteries). I used to think Hezbollah would need to fire 200+ rockets simultaneously to deplete the interceptors but now it seems even smaller launches of 20-60 rockets are having acceptable success rates (at least in the most northern settlements) - Israel's ability to intercept rockets/drones in the north has been significantly and noticeably degraded. 800+ ATGMs and 3000+ rockets fired by Hezbollah so far. Systematic destruction of Israeli surveillance bases/assets across the border and wide scale damage across Zionist settlements near the Lebanese border (60,000+ settlers have fled their homes in the north already).

On the other hand, Israel claims to have killed half of Hezbollah's commanders in south Lebanon. Hezbollah refuted this and said it is much less than half and those martyred have been quickly replaced.

Larger launches will be needed for better defended areas such as Naharriya, Akka and Haifa but Hezbollah also has 72 tube launcher vehicles.

As some resistance sources claimed before this conflict, the Iron Dome is irrelevant in a conflict with Hezbollah. The real question is precision guided missiles because even with a 20-60% success rate of Grad rockets, they are still unguided and need some luck to do damage.
 
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40 tube rocket launcher (looks like Iranian Arash / grad rockets with 20-40km range)

Resistance sources claim less than half of the rockets were intercepted by Iron Dome. It is very interesting that Israel has stopped publishing Iron Dome interception rates. I remember in every previous war they would constantly publish incredible interception rates.

Israel likely has 300-400 Tamir interceptors deployed at the north at any one time (5 batteries). I used to think Hezbollah would need to fire 200+ rockets simultaneously to deplete the interceptors but now it seems even smaller launches of 20-60 rockets are having acceptable success rates (at least in the most northern settlements) - Israel's ability to intercept rockets/drones in the north has been significantly and noticeably degraded. 800+ ATGMs and 3000+ rockets fired by Hezbollah so far. Systematic destruction of Israeli surveillance bases/assets across the border and wide scale damage across Zionist settlements near the Lebanese border (60,000+ settlers have fled their homes in the north already).

On the other hand, Israel claims to have killed half of Hezbollah's commanders in south Lebanon. Hezbollah refuted this and said it is much less than half and those martyred have been quickly replaced.

Larger launches will be needed for better defended areas such as Naharriya, Akka and Haifa but Hezbollah also has 72 tube launcher vehicles.

As some resistance sources claimed before this conflict, the Iron Dome is irrelevant in a conflict with Hezbollah. The real question is precision guided missiles because even with a 20-60% success rate of Grad rockets, they are still unguided and need some luck to do damage.

Frankly, the more they intercept the better. They will eventually deplete.
 
Frankly, the more they intercept the better. They will eventually deplete.

That is the reason they are not intercepting in the north. They are depleted and don’t want to replenish the north since the border regions are largely evacuated.

Save the interceptors for further away still populated areas or large cities.
 
Frankly, the more they intercept the better. They will eventually deplete.
iron dome is a bit different to ABM interceptors given Tamir interceptors are much cheaper and much of the $16B US aid will go towards replenishing those stockpiles
 
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That is the reason they are not intercepting in the north. They are depleted and don’t want to replenish the north since the border regions are largely evacuated.

Save the interceptors for further away still populated areas or large cities.

iron dome is a bit different to ABM interceptors given Tamir interceptors are much cheaper and much of the $16B US aid will go towards replenishing those stockpiles
To be clear, the reason for depletion being important is less about funding and much more so about production.

As for the border towns being evacuated, chalk one more big victory for Hezbollah and The Resistance.
 
iron dome is a bit different to ABM interceptors given Tamir interceptors are much cheaper and much of the $16B US aid will go towards replenishing those stockpiles

$100-150K per interceptor. 2 fired at each target.

The rockets are probably <$5K. Just standard artillery rockets aka Katushyas

Economics aren’t that great especially compared to a future solution like lasers
 
$100-150K per interceptor. 2 fired at each target.

The rockets are probably <$5K. Just standard artillery rockets aka Katushyas

Economics aren’t that great especially compared to a future solution like lasers
I think cost of Tamir is a bit lower but lets assume $200k vs $5k (40:1)

$16B to Israel from US = $400m for Hamas. who is giving Hamas $400m?
 

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