Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

https://twitter.com/x/status/1836102843209535986

If they had retaliated in a “big way” a month ago many lives would be spared from pain and suffering from this attack and the attacks preceding this.

Overall, 550+ Commanders, field officers, and soldiers killed since 10/7 and Nasrallah has continued to keep the attacks trained primarily only on the North. Israel is now expanding the rules of engagement beyond tit for tat and expanding the target bank.

HZ (and by extension Iran) needs to respond. Cannot rely on Houthi’s to be the messenger of symbolic messages. Israel doesn’t answer to symbolic messages only force.

Let’s see how this latest escalation plays out.
 
Pager-cyber incident toll:

• 8 Martyrs (incl a young girl)

• 2800 injuries, with 200 in serious condition.

• Hundreds of permanent disabilities & injuries.

(Via Lebanese news & updates)
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Hasbara claims that all the injured and killed are all members of Hezbollah and that the young girl was a terrorist, and claims that it was a gathering of 2800 Hezbollah soldiers (of course, they never target civilians)

Israel is ready to kill millions of civilians at once just for aiming at one person

Hezbollah at this point should have a last resort settler slaughter program to target them in case they start to kill everyone on purpose, the settlers in their globality must be a target as a last resort
 
tsunset said:
Hasbara claims that all the injured and killed are all members of Hezbollah and that the young girl was a terrorist, and claims that it was a gathering of 2800 Hezbollah soldiers (of course, they never target civilians)

Israel is ready to kill millions of civilians at once just for aiming at one person

Hezbollah at this point should have a last resort settler slaughter program to target them in case they start to kill everyone on purpose, the settlers in their globality must be a target as a last resort
Click to expand...

It wasn’t at a gathering. It was a command sent to pagers that were laced with explosive chemical that once activated by that command would cause the explosive + battery to detonate.

Seems like the type of attack EW/ECW you would do in the opening salvo of war to confuse the enemy and cause communication issues, not for a one off embarrassment attack. The issue for Israel is they now used that card.

The issue for Hezbollah and Iran is how once again US/Israel tampered with their communication devices. This also happened in the Hamas leader assassination when his room in Tehran was bugged. This was also claimed by some during the 2020 Solemani assassination that his disposable cell phones (ie Nokias) he likes to use were eventually bugged.

So Hezbollah and Iran have another security problem on their hands when it comes to OpSec.

I assume the pagers were used to send mass communications quickly/efficiently to people in the organization. Only reason it makes sense since it’s 2024 not 1995, pagers are relics.

Remains to be seen between the missile base destruction + pager cyber warfare attack what Israel is planning. Hezbollah has done everything to prevent a full war and the enemy knows that and is pressing all of Nasrallah buttons to see how much pain he will accept. One elaborate Game theory at its core.
 
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Arash said:
Whenever iran buys abroad for its army, police or the state itself, it should check the goods toroughly.
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The tools and knowledge to dismantle such things should be also exported to Hezbollah and Ansarallah with a dedicated team reviewing a % of imported parts
 
that is the most insane thing I have ever seen. that anyone has seen. this attack will go down in history, unfortunately.

reports now say at least 2800 Hezbollah members are injured, only 9 killed so far, but another 200-400 are in critical condition (at risk of death), so that number will likely rise a lot. 500 blind, hundreds more missing limbs. this is one of the most ruthless, barbaric and successful attacks in modern history. simultaneously 2800+ Hezbollah members injured all over Lebanon and Syria. the attack was designed to do damage. the pager would beep so the person who look at it then it would explode. pure savagery.

now Hezbollah needs time to adjust and reset. but if this doesn't lead to hundreds of ballistic missiles aimed at civilian targets in Haifa and Tel Aviv within 72 hours then Nasrallah has basically surrendered. if this isn't a declaration of war then I don't know what is.

the only respites for Hezbollah is that this was a huge ace in Israel's sleeve. once it is used, it cannot be used again. this could have been even worse: e.g., if combined with a simultaneous land invasion.

absolute negligence by Hezbollah especially after Iran intercepted a similar Mossad attempt to sabotage Iranian missiles. imagine if that had succeeded. hundreds if not thousands of Iranian missiles would be in their mountain bases ready for Israel to cause mass destruction whenever they decided.

for Iran, this shows the barbarity and ruthless savagery of Israel. we must be more barbaric. that means nuclear weapons and all kinds of chemical and biological weapons. Khamenei has proven too conservative to lead Iran to nuclear weapons and confrontation with Israel. His successor must be different.

and why did the Iranian ambassador have this pager? thankfully not everybody had this new pager, otherwise all of Hezbollah would have been taken out...

https://twitter.com/x/status/1836140758446784808
 
https://twitter.com/x/status/1836145246230503786

it gets worse. iranian officials lying to us as usual. there is a photo allegedly showing Amani on his way to hospital, he is bleeding badly from his torso and they are covering his eyes

now we need General Salami and Bagheri to tell us about the severe revenge awaiting the criminals (at a time and place of our choosing that may or may not exist)
 
Persian Gulf said:
now Hezbollah needs time to adjust and reset. but if this doesn't lead to hundreds of ballistic missiles aimed at civilian targets in Haifa and Tel Aviv within 72 hours then Nasrallah has basically surrendered. if this isn't a declaration of war then I don't know what is.
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Yeah that’s def not happening. Even a handful BM’s at Tel Aviv would be a huge escalation. Not gonna happen.

Nasrallah/Khamenai are too passive/dovish.

Only Houthi’s seem to have guts and revolutionary zeal that these two former groups now desperately lack.

I warned you guys, I said Nasrallah lack of revenge to the assassination strike would come back to haunt him. Since then you had Hezbollah Missile facility blown up and now the largest scale bomb attack in Lebanese history.

Only a matter of time before the next attack happens in Iran. Israel is not afraid nor deterred.

What is most curious is Hajizadeh has completely disappeared from public eye in last few months. As one of the most influential commanders of Iran’s military force, he has been radio silent. Not typical behavior. I wonder if he has been sidelined as Salami/Bagheri have taken more voice towards leadership.
 
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Persian Gulf said:
https://twitter.com/x/status/1836145246230503786

it gets worse. iranian officials lying to us as usual. there is a photo allegedly showing Amani on his way to hospital, he is bleeding badly from his torso and they are covering his eyes

now we need General Salami and Bagheri to tell us about the severe revenge awaiting the criminals (at a time and place of our choosing that may or may not exist)
Click to expand...

I can tell you if Iran had done such an attack on a US Ambassador or Israeli Ambassador there would be missiles landing on Iranian soil within 24-48 hours.

Diplomats/Embassies have always traditionally been a historical redline for countries dating back centuries maybe even antiquity.
 
Immortals said:
Yeah that’s def not happening. Even a handful BM’s at Tel Aviv would be a huge escalation. Not gonna happen.

Nasrallah/Khamenai are too passive/dovish.
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savagely injuring 3000+ people all across Lebanon like this? that is unprecedented. that's worse than taking out Nasarallah in a single airstrike. so if this doesn't lead to all out war, what exactly is Hezbollah's redline?

Immortals said:
Only Houthi’s seem to have guts and revolutionary zeal that these two former groups now desperately lack.
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indeed, I posted something a while back about how Nasarallah was turning into Khamenei...

Yemenis are too far away and lack the missile inventory and local industry to sustain large attacks against Israel, but these guys are attacking every naval ship they see without caring about the consequences. but they also have less to lose so it makes sense.

Immortals said:
I warned you guys, I said Nasrallah lack of revenge to the assassination strike would come back to haunt him. Since then you had Hezbollah Missile facility blown up and now the largest scale bomb attack in Lebanese history.

Only a matter of time before the next attack happens in Iran. Israel is not afraid nor deterred.

What is most curious is Hajizadeh has completely disappeared from public eye in last few months. As one of the most influential commanders of Iran’s military force, he has been radio silent. Not typical behavior.
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we didn't even respond to Israel killing Haniyeh in Tehran yet and they just savagely blinded our ambassador to Lebanon

in any other country that would be a huge scandal. in iran they lie that he's fine and run away from the battle instead.
 
tsunset said:
The tools and knowledge to dismantle such things should be also exported to Hezbollah and Ansarallah with a dedicated team reviewing a % of imported parts
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Not just a % but a good number of random items from all the batches.
 
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