Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

[Persian Gulf]

I discussed this. Don’t like it at all. But overall IRI strategy is forging forward.

I’ve likened it to a train raging forward. Lots of attacks on it. But as long as it’s not derailed it’s ok.

if the engines are burning you should act before the train is derailed because once the train is derailed it's not very easy to return it to the tracks

 

[jauk]

let liken it to a train forging forward with lots of electric engine and enemy is blowing those engines one by one.
wonder how long it take for train to stop moving forward.

Hasn’t yet. Note, those engines are being replaced. Nothing indicates that train has slowed down. Holes in a few cars etc etc …but rail and forward momentum is safe.

On a related note, this strategy is quite unlike the Hollywood stuff we’ve been fed all along. It’ll be quite interesting to study it in the future.

 

[jauk]

if the engines are burning you should act before the train is derailed because once the train is derailed it's not very easy to return it to the tracks

Yeah, that’s the rub. Seems the way IRI is behaving they believe the train is currently on track and will continue to be.

This absorption of damage is in the IRI’s DNA. Note when the entire government was killed (Beheshti etc) right after the revolution. There wasn’t even a blink.

 

[tsunset]

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[tsunset]

Multiple independent estimates of 2000+ IDF casualties and 3000+ critically injured (amputated, disabled for life, tetraplegia)

edit corrected the numbers, not 200000 but 2000

 

[jauk]

Multiple independent estimates of 200000+ IDF casualties and 3000+ critically injured (amputated, disabled for life, tetraplegia)

There is no doubt the number of casualties are multiples more.

However, less of the focus. The strategic, infrastructural, economic, psychological and deterrent losses are incalculable. THAT’S the focus and by far more important.

 

[Hack-Hook]

Hasn’t yet. Note, those engines are being replaced. Nothing indicates that train has slowed down. Holes in a few cars etc etc …but rail and forward momentum is safe.

On a related note, this strategy is quite unlike the Hollywood stuff we’ve been fed all along. It’ll be quite interesting to study it in the future.

Didn't it, how many years our missile development fall back
What about our nuclear technology

 

[Hack-Hook]

Yeah, that’s the rub. Seems the way IRI is behaving they believe the train is currently on track and will continue to be.

This absorption of damage is in the IRI’s DNA. Note when the entire government was killed (Beheshti etc) right after the revolution. There wasn’t even a blink.

Did we had someone like beheshti in last 44 years?

 

[Persian Gulf]

Didn't it, how many years our missile development fall back
What about our nuclear technology

missile development is impossible to assess given we don't know if Moghaddam was martyred in an accident or sabotage and many other factors

it is impossible to assess the counterfactual in these scenarios but it's not controversial to say that losing so many leading figures is not exactly going to help

on the other hand, without assassination of Fakhrizadeh would we be enriching to 60% today? maybe, maybe not.

 

[Hack-Hook]

on the other hand, without assassination of Fakhrizadeh would we be enriching to 60% today? maybe, maybe not.

60% never was a technical barrier but a political one.
If it was not for sabotauges and dozen of assassination what we have today we could achieve several year sooner

 

[jauk]

Turkey’s strategic defeat in Syria, spearheaded by Hezbollah.

The losses were so great, it reversed Turkey’s outlook in Syria. The remnants of the defeated forces were only evacuated after intervention by Iran and Russia.

Turkey realized it had zero capacity to mix herself with the war:

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[Persian Gulf]

60% never was a technical barrier but a political one.
If it was not for sabotauges and dozen of assassination what we have today we could achieve several year sooner

but a barrier nonetheless

you cannot say that without assassinations we would be enriching to 60% today. technical capability would be higher, sure, but what we actually do is more important

 

[tsunset]

Operation Marg Bar Sefid Poust

- Taking all documentation showing the behavior of Sefid Poosts in the history
- Draw a conclusion about what should be done in order to not let them do the same to Iranians
- If they force to do compulsive genocides, have a final solution to deal with them

 

[jauk]

Didn't it, how many years our missile development fall back
What about our nuclear technology

Zero years. Everything is ahead by far.

 

[Immortals]

missile development is impossible to assess given we don't know if Moghaddam was martyred in an accident or sabotage and many other factors

30+ other people died that day. Pretty much his entire team.

The Shahrud team took over. But after that they shelved range, Iran spent next decade making their missiles more accurate.

Tehrani’s death set missile program back up to a decade. The exact degree Iran knows.