mangekyo
Trusted Member
The US covers any damage the Israeli economy suffers. It has the money to do so and can secure additional funding from PG Arab states if needed. Iran does not have this support. Its economy is already crippled. This means Iran cannot afford escalation in the same way Israel can.Of course. If Israel does, Irán would destroy the gas infraestructure in front of Gaza.
Haifa refinery was destroyed. The port was severely damaged and Eilat port is literally bankrupt.
That shows that Irán can cripple at least the basic infraestructure of the country in few days.
Even with small volleys missiles were arriving and hitting targets.
With new launchers, decoys and repaired tunnels in missile cities (the entrances is being hardened) It is clear that next rounds will be higher in numbers and frequencies.
If Israel and US destroys the Iranian refineries, all Middle East US bases will be destroyed. And this time using cruise missile and thousands of drones. All them targetteable... Using fighters, so the less damage to be done by US and israelí Air force.
Israel can also take greater risks because it knows that if the situation worsens, the US would be forced to bail them out by getting directly involved. Iran does not have this assurance and therefore must show restraint.
This risk of direct US involvement is what IRI fears most. As a result, anything short of a fullscale US invasion is highly unlikely to lead IRI to destroy American bases. IRIs policy is to de escalate. Destroying an American base is the exact opposite of de escalation




