Rationale
Registered Member
I think most Indian analysts would agree that if Pakistan does come out of the China camp, it is far more likely to lead to a detente between India and China, rather than India and Pakistan.Believe me, I too have worried about Pakistan going so deep into the China camp that Pakistan may not be able to come to some 'just peace' with India in future even if that future is nowhere on the horizon right now.
China has been good for Pakistan and vice versa and may that remain like that. But China is not a true 'neighbor' of Pakistan: A tiny sliver of shared border through a very hostile climate. India shares a long border with Pakistan and a long history as well as considerably many things more than Pak China share. And we should never lose sight of those aspect of the three countries despite all the good and bad we see now.
It is a three body problem where only two can have good relations with each other. In the early years after Independence , the Americans tried to patch things up between India and Pakistan to enlist them both in the alliance against communism and , I suspect, Trump may have something similar in mind, though neither India or Pakistan would be interested in my opinion , India especially so - unless the Pakistani government of the day makes concessions that would be politically suicidal.
Likewise , any improvement in India-China relations will likely come at Pakistan's expense .
I am not making a normative judgement here, just stating facts as they are.



