What if Australia and Indonesia went to war in 1999?

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What if Australia and Indonesia went to war in 1999?



In the late 1990s, a crisis in East Timor pushed Australia and Indonesia to the brink of conflict. But what if diplomacy had failed, and the crisis escalated into open war?

This video explores a full-scale counterfactual: the forces, strategies, and likely outcomes of a 1999 Australia–Indonesia war. Using detailed historical research, realistic Orders of Battle, and wargaming simulations, we reconstruct how such a conflict might have unfolded — from air combat over the Banda Sea to ground battles in the jungles of East Timor.

We’ll also look at the broader consequences: how regional powers might have reacted, and how the Asia-Pacific could have been reshaped by a war that didn’t happen.

Chapters:
00:00:00
Introduction
00:04:53 Historical Background
00:23:38 Political Goals
00:26:10 Force Comparison - Australia
00:49:04 Force Comparison - Indonesia
01:11:13 Terrain Analysis
01:15:47 Operational Planning - Australia
01:20:36 Operational Planning - Indonesia
01:25:06 Simulated Conflict
03:00:50 Debrief
 
Australia was too weak to fight Indonesia in 1999. However if war had happened then under ANZUS treaty Indonesia would have ended up facing America, Britain, Australia and New Zealand together which means total defeat.... who knows after that these 4 countries could have worked on separating Guinea from far east Indonesia....

@Indos
 

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