Yemen Civil War News and Discussion.. an evolving situation

Allegedly, accordingly to the following analyst with 40+ years experience in the region, the Saudi backed Yemeni government troops numbered tens of thousands on paper, but in reality were only 3000. Even then, those forces didn’t really want to fight.

The South Yemenis were well equipped, but poorly trained, motivated, and led.

IMHO, other than a general mobilization by the Saudis of 100,000 Saudi men (from across all of Saudi tribal society) or an equally sized well trained army of foreigners, the only other option for the Saudis will be to rebuild their pipeline, get awacs to fly over their pipeline and bring in a lot of air defenses. (BTW, if the Saudis really did mobilize a 100,000 man army as the analyst in the video suggests, taking the Red Sea coast back and holding the terrain would be most of the objective; surrounding and cutoff the Houthi allied population, but not going into those mountains and being decimated like the Egyptians were decades ago.)

This might be an existential moment for the Saudi economy.

In the meantime, the Houthis will be planning to race to take Aden, while there is confusion. Saudis could rally their Yemeni allies to reinforce and built up the defenses around Aden, to stop the momentum of the Houthi offensive. As for ISR, Saudis could put up enough drones to watch for advancing troops, the real issue is command and control. Who would be leading any defense of Aden?

Frankly, no one is willing to fight for the Saudis under the current arrangements Saudi has for its allies or its own citizens. The blowback from Iran is one reason, but so is the general lack of a political strategy.



P.S. some sources say the Houthis may have up to 300,000 troops. Classic military strategy says an attacker should number 3:1 for a full war. Considering Houthi controlled territory is 85% of the 40 million population of Yemen; 34 million, so with COIN 1:20 ratio, would mean between these two scenarios, a force of 900,000-1,700,000 to have a chance at completely taking out the Houthis.

Instead of Saudi’s NEOM line, the Saudis may need to retake the entire Red Sea coast and build a Ukrainian style “defense line” to hold it. But this would mean a full scale war.

In the mean time, IMHO, there is going to be a major naval and amphibious assault battle in the making. Saudi has a major helicopter lift capability. They could land a lot of troops, but they will face a lot of Houthi anti ship and air defenses, as well as mines.

You can also assume Saudi diplomats are going to reaching out to the Yemenis tribes allied to the Houthis to be peeled away.


Good analysis

It is a failure on part of Saudi leadership. Those allies of theirs in Yemen don't appear well equipped, trained for any scenarios and neither appear motivated.

Believe they will try helping those forces regain control of lost territory and bring back about the status-quo. Anything more than that carries risks.

I am not sure Ansarallah seek to go after Aden. Anyhow, lots of fake news is being posted around the developments so it's difficult to assess what is actually going on.
 
Good analysis

It is a failure on part of Saudi leadership. Those allies of theirs in Yemen don't appear well equipped, trained for any scenarios and neither appear motivated.

Believe they will try helping those forces regain control of lost territory and bring back about the status-quo. Anything more than that carries risks.

I am not sure Ansarallah seek to go after Aden. Anyhow, lots of fake news is being posted around the developments so it's difficult to assess what is actually going on.
Aden is too far and too big a prize. I think Ansar Allah will try to consolidate their gains for now. If they can take the oilfields in Marib that would be a huge bonus.
 
Well they did though..... Much better than the other side!!!!
Converted Indian muzlim musings from him no?

Ask about his grand Paa and turns out hes wuz a Sikh! barely a century ago.

And here Iraandd is shia kaafer majoosi, in bed with AL-Yahuday?

Achha......

Ok bhai.......Dis why I losing interest even commenting here anymore.
 
Looks like it was a nothingburger.
How so? There is a reason i mentioned sat images and not actual images. Havent you watched sat images shared by osints of oil infrastructure and mlitary bases all around the week.
 
Houthis launched DF-15 Chinese Ballistic missile, which is kind of strange , since when Houthis have the DF-15?

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Houthis launched DF-15 Chinese Ballistic missile, which is kind of strange , since when Houthis have the DF-15?

View attachment 215475


There are only a few possibilities here. Either this is originally a Chinese missile supplied to Iran, which Iran normally repaints, renames something like “Zulifiqar” and then presents as indigenous before passing it to the Houthis. Or Iran forgot to repaint this particular shipment before sending it. The third possibility is that the Houthis received the Iranian delivery but forgot to complete the usual paint and rebrand ceremony themselves.

Of course, we will now be told that the Houthis independently developed it inside a Yemeni cave using scrap metal, reverse engineering and the power of resistance.
 
A. Maybe a prank move from the Houthis?:unsure:
B. Very sophisticated AI video
C. Saudi has it.
 
LMFAO!!!!!!
The UAE built 5,000 residential units in the Yemeni city of Al-Makha, complete with infrastructure and superstructure, in addition to commercial centers, hospitals, and schools, to house the mercenaries and their families. And upon completion of the construction of the units and their readiness for handover, Ansar Allah took control of them....
 
Party is over for House of Saud.....

HSGygrYbIAA1Fv7
 
Remember this conflict much predates 2015 when Saudi coalition started their aggression against these poor Yeminis.

It Arab internecine fight with nothing to do with us.
Houthis have been wronged for decades, dare I say centuries.

This is not our fight and we should NEVER enter this lake of fire.


we should.

Houthis acknowledged they will not target USA ships

we get oil shipments from KSA, why should ordinary pak. pay the price, when Houthis themselves are letting USA ship go (who were bombing them not that long ago!)


further, if this crisi continues, Hazfeed Pasha, has told in an interview, prices of petrol will go to PKR 700!

I dont know about you, I cant survive the cost of this much inflation, this is not going to be a one tie rise, it will change the scale of prices in Pak. (it is seismic event for Pak. economy)!

you hope you understand!
 

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