The Syrian civil war is a whole messy topic.
As far as Turkey, like it or not, they know how to play the geopolitical game. You don’t run your mouth and antagonize your enemies until you are self sufficient. Turkeys weapons industry has grown exponentially over the past 20 years. It is and will be a bigger force to reckon with.
Iran calling U.S. and Israel Satan and making hostile threats only gave it sanctions and hindered the growth of Iran and its capabilities.
You have to play the geopolitical game to get what you want. It’s best to lay low and work on building your country. Play the long game.
How many SLVs has it launched on its own? Any Tristaged-kickoff sat bus deliverer that can actually put meaningful Sats even in LEO ?
Does it have any real Sat-Nav support of its own?
What happens if GPS is jammed by superior enemy?
50% of jet is its engine. The single most critical piece of tech in a combat aviation which is the reasononly few countries (superpowers) have monolpoly over fighter jet market. Where would they get its reliable turbofans from (not talking about aviation expo products, real reliable ones)? Assembling a plane is one thing but having your own tech that cant be sanctioned or used for blackmail matters. Turkey is asking for EF-2000 mind you and was trying to procure F-35, showed some interest in SU-57.
Turkey has few Conventional SRBMs with no separate aerospace command or infrastructure. Do they have them in thousands ? Would these conventional Ballistics work against multilayered ABM? Are there missiles bases that can tackle enemy targetting the TELs in bulk? Where would they hide the missile storage units in case enemy tries to cripple the infrstructure? We have been through these things. We know what happens in actual war against armed to teeth first world enemy supported by superpower.
If recent wars have taught us anything, its that airforces are good for shock n awe campaign for few days but eventually the country with large hypersonic BMs, MaRVs, Supersonic LACMs inventory will have the last laugh because airbases will be taken out or crippled. Attack weaponry has far exceeded ABM/AD. In Recent conflicts, modern airdefences have choked against Khinzal (ALBM), P-800/Oniks/Brahmosc (High superonic CM), Golden Horizon (Separating MaRV Hypersonic ALBM), Fattah-I (Hypersonic MaRV), Kheybar Shikan (Skip-Glide high KE MaRV MRBM). Israeli ABM/AD is layered with worlds best HIMADS/MIDADS and SHORADS. They take Search n track cues from US ground, sea and SAT based passive and active sats that sends real time search and track data to Israelis who just merely have to shoot the projectile without even wasting time on Seraching or Tracking it. You know even with this much support how many Fattah and KS of IRGC they were able to shoot down ? Zero ..despite being fired in numbers. They landed on Bazan oil field, their military tech parks and research institutes, power plants, their hospitals, neighbourhoods without much trouble ... Thats how advanced attack weaponry is becoming compared to AD and ABM, globally. Turkey currently has 5 FABs towards Israel, with primitive AD compared to that of Israel ... so please tell what happens if an enemy launches 700-800 BMs (Quasi, hypersonic ALBMs) at these bases ? Israelis launched hundreds of ALBMs against Iran, what would Turkey do against such attack ? this is what Erdogan has done to Turkey by keeping it a conventionally and mildly armed when it should have moved to strategically armed state. Had it been the other case, west would choke Turkey through inflation because half the GDP is foriegn debt. I am not against Turkey by any means, we share blood and culture but I am stating facts that even a sane Turkish analyst will agree upon.
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