Falcon29
Elite Member
Hamas's mistake in 2023 was assuming Hezbollah and IRGC were prepared to play their role in 2023. For some reason/s they got that impression. Or they didn't but tried to force their allies hands.
Hamas was 100% prepared to play it's role but that required active and escalatory participation of Hezbollah and IRGC. However, Hezbollah and IRGC got a little too familiar with comfort. This is why I was saying Hezbollah should have skirmished with Israel earlier, particularly lower intensity /scale style in 2021. It should have joined the battle of Sayf Al Quds. Iran didn't let them because Iran is relying on information on paper to deter Israel from strikes on Iran. That being Hezbollah reprisal in case of strike on Iran. This was a deadly strategic mistake that Iran is paying to this day.
Hezbollah, had it joined Sayf Al Quds battle in 2021, even if Hamas didn't need it and faired fine, would have gained experience and closed security gaps that were existing that they weren't aware of.
It is all jacked up now because it's going to take a decade for Hezbollah and Hamas to recover and what we could of had pre-2023 never manifested because of strategic patience policies. If Iran and Hezbollah were even slightly aware of a Hamas operational plan to eliminate the IDF southern division, they should have manufactured a skirmish with Israel before that to test their readiness in preparation for such a scenario and 2021 was a perfect opportunity for that.
Hamas was 100% prepared to play it's role but that required active and escalatory participation of Hezbollah and IRGC. However, Hezbollah and IRGC got a little too familiar with comfort. This is why I was saying Hezbollah should have skirmished with Israel earlier, particularly lower intensity /scale style in 2021. It should have joined the battle of Sayf Al Quds. Iran didn't let them because Iran is relying on information on paper to deter Israel from strikes on Iran. That being Hezbollah reprisal in case of strike on Iran. This was a deadly strategic mistake that Iran is paying to this day.
Hezbollah, had it joined Sayf Al Quds battle in 2021, even if Hamas didn't need it and faired fine, would have gained experience and closed security gaps that were existing that they weren't aware of.
It is all jacked up now because it's going to take a decade for Hezbollah and Hamas to recover and what we could of had pre-2023 never manifested because of strategic patience policies. If Iran and Hezbollah were even slightly aware of a Hamas operational plan to eliminate the IDF southern division, they should have manufactured a skirmish with Israel before that to test their readiness in preparation for such a scenario and 2021 was a perfect opportunity for that.
