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Yep, the only difference is scale I mentioned . Ww1 reached attrition stalemate because both sides had no means to remove the siege munitions at the rear. Artillery had the ability to hit targets at a range that infantry couldn't touch. This led to the stalemate. Losing thousands of units per day until stalemate. Here is the same way. Both sides don't want to lose expensive infantry. People are not cheap anymore. The Russians want to limit their own casualties to an absolute minimum which is why you don't see 5k strong forces pushing towards small towns the size of a street block. They also chose to limit civilian collateral as well which is why they didn't try levelling huge chunks of Ukraine the way the us did Iraq and Afghanistan. The Ukrainians on the other hand have a vastly smaller manpower pool to create the pushes they need to and Logistics. I live in the UK and am constantly comparing how the military movements would correlate with the area I live in. It would be very similar (the fighting style) just massively more challenging due to scale. Too many buildings, large towns, close together, and plenty of partisan interventions by the general civilian population. Anyway, it's going to continue to be a frontline crawl until Ukraines military completely collapses. I know if NATO became truly involved and brought militaries in to fight things would be far more "energetic" until nato military supplies stall. The only way I see Ukraine to "win" is with a nato blitzkrieg type intervention but even with that the outcome isn't guaranteed considering the limitations of nato and the US currently.
If they can’t breakthrough this year, they won’t later.
Russia destroys every frontline town/city. Not sure what war you’ve been watching.
What I’m surprised about is how Russia has been unable to achieve a strategic or operational breakthrough in the last 6 months with an advantage in manpower and fires and lack of US aid. That’s a huge failure from Russia. Russias attrition rate WILL catch up with them. If they can’t breakthrough this year, they won’t later.
In other words, Russia got Eastern Ukraine took what it wanted and ukraine won’t get it back. Was that not their primary objective in this war?
Russias primary objective was to overthrow the Ukrainian government, install a puppet regime, and completely subjugate Ukraine to its will. They’ve failed completely and almost all of their strategic goals have been defeated.In other words, Russia got Eastern Ukraine took what it wanted and ukraine won’t get it back. Was that not their primary objective in this war?
Russias primary objective was to overthrow the Ukrainian government, install a puppet regime, and completely subjugate Ukraine to its will. They’ve failed completely and almost all of their strategic goals have been defeated.
Russia still aren’t close to taking Donetsk Oblast and that will require multiple large cities to occupy.
The Russian Army are literally getting attrited to death. Some OSINT accounts have done some great analysis of late on Russian storage and refurbishment bases. Long story short, the Russians will be in serious trouble in 18-24 months if current loss rates persist.
Based off Oryx count, they’ve already lost:
558 tanks
1,225 IFVs
this year alone.
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