Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

This guy along with Raptor-Bob are quite possibly paid trolls. Both originate from Vietname/Philipines and are most active on threads where NATO/Zion propaganda has to be pushed.

They will repeat unrelated tweets and posts (check their posts from other threads such as Russia/Ukraine) to get an idea. Same BS over and over again.

"I am an ex US Airforce airman" or whatever to boast own credentials. Whereas in reality perhaps washing airplane tyres, who knows.
It's like another guy here who doesn't like me mentioning him, but despite that, I respect him and always read his analyses even though I don't agree because I see minimal propaganda feelings in his statements.

But Baghdad Bob is hilarious. I like him!!!! I always laugh at his statements.
 
-If Fordow isn’t now a hive of activity? It’s done. If the regime isn’t frantically repairing the approach roads? It’s done. If they aren’t pulling all that earth crammed into the tunnel entrances? It’s done.

Mere power interruptions can destroy high-speed centrifuges. They HATE vibration of any kind. (12) 30,000 pound high-order explosive deep penetrators delivered a monumental amount of vibration, let alone explosive effects. My money is on Fordow being rendered useless. Activity- or the lack of it- will be the tell. I doubt the Iranians now have the time or the money to pretend to work on this facility.
Since IR2m no power interruption can destroy our centrifuge
Power interruption only can disturb IR-1 and IR-2
About the tremors hope you are aware that only rotation centrifuge will be damaged by tremors .
Do you believe after the attack on natanz at first day of war the centrifuge in fordo were rotating?
 
I haven't seen that photo, but if you say so, and I trust you on this based on your history of posts, then yes. It is plausible.
However, that could also mean 4 B-2 spirits were used.

My problem with the Trump administration is that nothing they say is reliable. It all just sounds like they're constantly wh0ring for attention. They constantly contradict themselves.

One question is still unanswered. Why is the FEP at Natanz not obliterated yet? The US had the capacity to obliterate it easily, but many reports claim that it hasn't been destroyed. It was totally doable for the US to fully destroy the FEP, if not Fordow.
View attachment 130669

Natanz crater (5m wide)

2x GBU-57
Published by @Persian Gulf
 
From now on, if Khamenei is not a wimp, the Iranian nuclear program must be completely militarized.

I speak as a Brazilian because Brazil gave up the nuclear bomb (in the process of redemocratization) and passed it to civilian control, and our nuclear program was completely destroyed, including the civilian program that is advancing at a snail's pace.

What Iran should do now is that since there was a military attack on its nuclear facilities, the Iranians should completely militarize the nuclear program.
Let's see.

They are already pulling out cooperating with IAEA. The remaining script is yet to be seen.
 
I came to the realization that maybe investing in fighter jets is not the way to go for Iran.

The missile barrages did considerable damage to Israel. Let's say if Iran had a strong air force prior to the surprised attack, from what we now know about the massive infiltration of Mossad in Iran, these planes would undoubtedly been targeted just as easily as the AD. If by any chance these planes are able to contribute, how will they fly from Iran across Iraq, Syria, and Jordan to conduct air strikes against Israeli targets? Israel through the US and her Arab allies has access to the air space to reach Iran as shown. Even if the Iranians do get permission, how will you contend with US Air Power that's based across these nations? The ballistic missiles did their jobs and the optic of them coming down fast and hard into Israeli cities were priceless from a PR perspective.

Right now, Iran needs to do the following because there will be another round no doubt:

  1. Search and destroy all infiltrated foreign agents i.e. Indians, Afghans, and Persians working for the enemy
  2. Outside the box thinking and promote younger officers
  3. loosen some of the more stricter Islamic laws and have the whole population buy in to the government. Iranians have unified under the flag and government - IR govt should take advantage of this. This will go a long way to root out the troublemakers as right now they can swim within the large portion of the population and hide well
  4. Maybe they have or don't but need to take advantage of the size of Iran and maybe use Eastern Iran for C2 and other vital weaponry.
  5. Get AWACs to see further out West to detect enemy planes more efficiently.
I understand Iran's predicament and its easier said than done. I think throwing a bone to Pakistan via throwing the Indians would be a start. With Pakistan, you will get China. Make your point to the Chinese and help them understand if Iran were to fall, what the outcome will be for China. The Indians need to go - all of them. I was banned from the Persian mod when I said giving Indians the visa free policy was going to hurt the Iranians, and the Persian banned me. We Pakistanis know the mentality of these gutter minded Hindus and their behavior. They are incorrigible.
Russia is not a all-weather ally. It has literally dithered since the early 2000s in helping Iran. They refused to sell modern AD and took their time in building the nuclear plans.
 
How unstable do you think the ground is in Frodo? Or do you believe that despite all the seismic shock from the MOPs it is fine to re-enter?
If it was zagross mountain in south of Iran I'd have said pretty unstable but it's alborz mountain in north I say I doubt that bombing will affect the mountain itself that much.
 
While I find the article on diluting interesting. It is still a false equivalence and the argument does not hold. While I do not disagree that dilution is much easier, you have to remember as well that that project was spread across continents, involved inter-governmental agreements, IAEA oversight, shipping logistics, and safe handling over time, not urgency. Iran, by contrast, is likely operating in a tightly controlled, centralized, and high priority military-industrial context, potentially with far fewer procedural slowdowns.

Even if your theory holds true, then the only way U.S. intelligence could claim that Iran's nuclear program was set back by just a few months is either because the assessment is entirely fabricated, or because they have yet to uncover other clandestine facilities where enrichment may still be ongoing. The latter seems more aligned with US intelligence assessments based on Iran having the knowledge, expertise and even , infrastructure at black sites locations.
hence I said, it's too many unknown, I am just raising this example to show you it was never plug and play, this have no indication that Iran is going to need 20 years to get the cake back up and running. As I said I don't know.
 
hence I said, it's too many unknown, I am just raising this example to show you it was never plug and play, this have no indication that Iran is going to need 20 years to get the cake back up and running. As I said I don't know.
Nevertheless, we can both agree that only time will tell.

Thank you for the insightful conversation.
 
Let's say if Iran had a strong air force prior to the surprised attack, from what we now know about the massive infiltration of Mossad in Iran, these planes would undoubtedly been targeted just as easily as the AD.
Not really. We have underground air bases. Look up Oghab 44, for example. You can't hide a radar under the ground, but you can keep jet fighters underground.

If by any chance these planes are able to contribute, how will they fly from Iran across Iraq, Syria, and Jordan to conduct air strikes against Israeli targets?
We don't need to fly to Israel. All we needed to do was to intercept Israeli jet fighters over Iraqi air space, preventing them from getting close enough to launch ALBMs/ALCMs deep inside Iranian territory.
 
Excellent Urdu-English mix analysis

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