Indos
INT'L MOD
- Thread starter
- #196
IMF: Indonesia Remains One of Asia's Leading Growth Engines
Elvan Widyatama, CNBC Indonesia
09 July 2026 18:40

JAKARTA — The International Monetary Fund has released the July 2026 World Economic Outlook (WEO) Update, projecting global economic growth of 3.0% in 2026, down from the 3.5% average recorded during 2024–2025.
According to the IMF, the global slowdown reflects continued geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, elevated energy prices, persistent inflationary pressures, and tight global financial conditions.
Despite the weaker global outlook, several Asian economies are expected to continue outperforming the global average. The five fastest-growing Asian economies in the IMF's latest forecast are:
- Vietnam – 7.5%
- India – 6.4%
- Indonesia – 5.0%
- Malaysia – 4.7%
- China – 4.6%
India is projected to expand by 6.4%, driven primarily by robust private consumption and continued strength in the services sector.
Indonesia ranks third with projected economic growth of 5.0% in 2026, unchanged from the IMF's April 2026 forecast and only slightly below the country's 5.1% growth recorded in 2025. The IMF's projection also places Indonesia well above the ASEAN-5 average forecast of 4.1% for 2026.
Malaysia is expected to grow by 4.7%, supported by continued investment in data centers and the global technology cycle.
China rounds out the top five with projected growth of 4.6%. Although this is higher than the IMF's April forecast of 4.4%, it remains below the country's estimated 5.0% growth in 2025 due to higher energy prices, persistent uncertainty, and ongoing structural economic challenges.
The IMF also noted that countries integrated into global technology value chains—including semiconductor manufacturing, electronics exports, artificial intelligence infrastructure, data centers, and other high-technology industries—are better positioned to sustain stronger economic growth despite heightened global uncertainty.
Ini 5 Macan Asia Versi Terbaru dari IMF, Indonesia Nomor Berapa?
Dana Moneter Internasional (IMF) kembali merilis pembaruan proyeksi ekonomi dunia dalam World Economic Outlook (WEO) Update edisi Juli 2026.
---------------
ADB’s Indonesia Growth Forecast Stays 5.2%, Beats Some ASEAN Nations
Jayanty Nada Shofa
July 9, 2026 | 9:42 am
Jakarta. The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has kept its economic growth forecast unchanged for Indonesia, predicting a 5.2% expansion in 2026 and 2027.
Inflation is expected to hit 3.0% this year, compared with ADB’s 2.5% forecast in April. It should drop to 2.5% next year. At home, Bank Indonesia wants to keep inflation between 1.5 and 3.5%. Indonesia aims to grow by at least 5.4% this year.
The July edition of ADB’s flagship report shows that Indonesia is outpacing some ASEAN economies.
Malaysia is projected to expand by 4.6% in 2026 and slow to 4.5% the following year. ADB trimmed its 2026 growth estimate for the Philippines by 0.6 percentage points from its April projections to 3.8%. Its forecast for 2027 also goes down from 5.5% to 5.3%. Thailand’s is the slowest in ASEAN, reaching 1.8% (2026) and 2.0% (2027). But they all do not come close to Vietnam’s 7% range in both years.
Outlook for the developing Southeast Asia category goes down by 0.1 percentage point to 4.6% in 2026. The 2027 projections for the group stays the same at 4.8%.
For developing Asia and the Pacific, ADB issued a 4.9% estimate, below the 5.1% in its April report.
The Manila-based lender wrote that the energy shocks from the Middle East conflict “have weighed more heavily on the region’s prospects than anticipated”. According to ADB, a “durable implementation” of the framework pact between the warring US-Iran unveiled in June could help normalize the world’s energy markets.
“But the pace of adjustment is highly uncertain with significant downside risks,” ADB chief economist Albert Park said
ADB calls on the region to respond to the persistent headwinds by drawing a careful policy balance between supporting growth and containing inflation.









