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If Iran kept fighting for 30-60 days, the U.S. would have given Iran the strait. Yes Iran would have lost probably some bridges and some oil installations and refineries, but so would have the entire Arab world. Thus further exacerbating the oil issue instead of 13MBPD, imagine 20M, then imagine 30M.
Iran must have nukes, no question on that. These new strikes could be US frustration at stalled peace talks, I doubt it will yield any different long term result.I'm sure Iran will react. What do you think is the best for Iran to do now, at the moment (except building nukes, almost all of us agree)?
In the real world, attacks on a Saudi and Qatari oil tankers has lead to 80 US airstrikes on Iran on day one. Hundreds of not thousands of jobs probably lost for years to come... No need to do anything.......just keep it closed tight and let the GCC starve to death.
NATO is a defensive group. Article 5 was invoked only once and NATO's history.
United States invoked article 5 after 9/11
1. It hasn't happened yet.
2. You can cheer that, but know that if it ever happens, it will be the end of existence for countries like Bahrain and Kuwait + cities like Dubai and Doha.
Iranians would survive that. Persian Gulf statelets would be depopulated by a reciprocal Iranian response.
I don't agree.Looking at how many times Iran has been targeted over the last several years-you know, Suleimani, the attacks on nuclear plants, assassinations of scientists--it doesn't appear like Iran has the capability to face a Superpower. Iran has not even been able to do the required deterrent damage to Israel. The recent ceasefire was maybe a dire requirement/necessity for Iran itself to replenish. And the hostilities going on are happening too soon for the attacking forces to be replenished like before the Feb. 28th attack started. And the global oil reserves can't be sufficiently replenished in such a short period of ceasefire and so the Trumpian 'Herbert Hoover' threat probably still remains.
As long as both Trump and Netanyahu remain in their respective offices, we should expect at least low level conflict against Iran to continue. Remove one of them from the equation, I see a quick draw down.
Not to mention it's nuclear deterrent. That 'tiny little Israel: could make most of the Middle East uninhabitable if a Samson option event occurred.
Some here might not want to hear it but you laid it out exactly with all the technological stuff going on there. It's the 21st century
In the real world, attacks on a Saudi and Qatari oil tankers has lead to 80 US airstrikes on Iran on day one. Hundreds of not thousands of jobs probably lost for years to come
Maybe you should get yourself a one way ticket to motherland Iran and feel the brunt of those 80 airstrikes like the Iranian people are doing instead of yapping safely from far away US colony of Japan.
Guys please, let's not resort to personal attacks. Please. Allow each other to air opinions without slinging mud, it spoils the mood and derails this thread.No you go sign up for the IDF right now and go fight for Shetanyahu in Sawdi Judea, since you live in the US colony of UK.
I don't agree.
Right now Israel is outside of the tit for tat retaliatory strikes. And that is IMO for two reasons,
One It is because Irán did much more damage than recognized by Israel (you have a hint in Haifa port, where damage was more extense and even some warships were hit).
And second Netanyahu have always highlighted that they are out of any agreement.
So if he doesn't attack It is because some deterrence has been reach by Irán.
And finally, don't forget that Irán still have the nuclear key at their hands. So if there is a low intensity strikes for years, Islamic Republic will finally pull out from the NPT and develop nuclear weapons.
But that is just my oppinion.
The reality is unquestionable, this situation is unsustainable. Let's see how evolve.
If you think Iran was going to get billions of dollars unsanctioned, I have a bridge to sell you.Magi was cursing reformists. I reminded him it was reformists who were able to save millions of Iranians and billions of dollar of Infra from USA/Israel when they negotiated for a ceasefire. Your military wasn't capable enough to save critical Infra. There was no conventional victory. A stalemate achieved which trump was gonna break with the attacks on Iranian infrastructure and with Kurds invading Irani border areas from Iraq.
Reformists were gonna get billions of dollar unsanctioned and were actively working for the sanctions to be removed so Iran can start exporting oil to whole world and be prosper once again. Reformists were able to reign in Israel in Lebanon too to some extent. America and Iran were not reneging on their promises and MoU were almost being upheld.
And then Iran let all of it go by attacking ships transiting through Oman by extremist elements in Iran who can't see reformists win? When Iran Attacked the ships in Omani waters, what deal Americans were breaking that Iran had to punish them? It was not written in MoU that Iran can control Omani waters.
Is it worth letting go billions of sanctioned iranian money, getting off the sanctions hook finally and make Iran great again with Oil and gas and rebuilding Iran.
Is it worth it now that extremists has finally won by attacking civilian ships and had sidelined Ghalibaf and Agarchi and President?
I reckon Israel is more likely to assassinate Trump to implicate Iran for this to get USA reprisal attacks on Iran, as that serves its interests, than Iran will who lack the capability to do so.
It may well all depend on when the direct control and usefulness of Trump runs out?
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