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Increasingly so this whole situation seems like it will now be the status quo and a Russia-Ukraine like situation. No full scale war but no peace either. Iran can wait this thing out, the GCC and the West cannot...
I hope the Iranians just send out their welcome mat to the Israelis and just bomb the hell out of gurion with repeated waves they’re going to join soon probably next 24 hours or less if these military planes are flying out of Israel than the Iranians have to go all in first before they do it
Actually its equally painful for Iran if not more. If US puts a blockade back then Iran cannot sell the oil. It was selling considerable amounts to China previously.
In GCC, the UAE sold the record oil in last month. Its now completely using alternate route (via pipelines). Its not using SOH at all. KSA also has alternate pipeline route available. Oman is already outside SOH. Yeah you can punish Kuwait, Bahrain, Iraq and Qatar. But US hardly cares about those countries anymore.
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UAE’s Oil Output Hit Record High in June, IEA Says
(Bloomberg) -- The United Arab Emirates boosted crude oil production to an all-time high last month, the most compelling evidence yet of how Abu Dhabi responded more boldly than any of its Persian Gulf neighbors to disruption caused by the Iran war.Most Read from BloombergMicrosoft’s Xbox to...finance.yahoo.com
Given how concentrated the USA presence in Ben Gurion is right now, you have to assume that a coordinated strike should be able to take out a couple of air refuellers, right? Do a mass strike of cluster bomblet based missiles. Large aircraft don't need much to go bye bye.
Not that easy to take out an aircraft carrier assuming you would need dozens of usv to be able to do the job but first you have to reach said target that doesn’t need to be anywhere near the coast if Iran to operate same with missiles you have to be able to overwhelm those defenses and get close enough for multiple missiles to cause severe damage to the deck you don’t need to destroy the carrier you just need tear up the deck so badly that you take it out of commission…..again that’s if Iran can get those missiles within range and enough waves to do it they haven’t so far





I can see Iran wage a land war, into Iraq if the Americans use the Kurds to attempt to invade Iran to liberate Iraq from the USA occupation as the ongoing USA occupation poses a significant threat to Iran.
They may struggle without airpower though.
This is a very large coronet of aircraft:The US are flying in further air refuelers to relive the ones currently in operation: An outbound coronet of x 7 refuelers was delayed due to a technical fault developing on one of the tankers a KC-46A Callsign: Bora 95
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Pictured here in the US on the July 11th:
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The remaining coronet likely departed on time: This coronet is normally supporting F22 fighters moving (East) into CENTCOM AOR from Langley AFB(USA).
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