PakSword
THINK TANK: CONSULTANT
Iran shouldn't lower the guard at all. Remember they attacked the elementary school during negotiations. These nations (the US and Israel) do not have ethical foundations to begin with.
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Yeah, the internal situation of Iran has definitely improved. So, I'm willing to keep an open mind and see how China will conduct business with Iran post-war.
First and foremost, we need to establish deterrence against future adventurism by the US. If this war leads to a total failure of the US objectives followed by an economic crisis or recession, there's a chance that the Trump administration will be over for good.
They're not, that's why there's no benefit to having a friendly populace.Since when Arab monarchies in the Persian Gulf are a democracy?
So since you brought up the UAE. Majority of UAE are expats, they will leave rather than live in a warzone. Migrant workers will leave of there's no money to be made. These monarchies want to diversify away from petrochemicals, we can remind them we can take that away just as we can take away the oil and gas and we remind foreign investors that there investment can go up in flames if their leaders continue to make bad decisions. I'm not talking about bombing random schools but you can hit a university lab building on a day with no classes. Hitting banks was a good move along the lines of what I'm suggesting.You think killing school children in the Emirates forces the Bin-Zayed family to bow down to public pressure for neutrality? I'm not following your logic at all.
By-passing Hormuz will still be problematic as ultimately everything has to go on ships, and those ships are within range of many weapon systems from Iran or Houthis. Pipelines can also be easily sabotaged, that Saudi East-West above ground pipeline is quite fragile.It's a balancing act. Iran can't make Hormuz alternatives like over-land transport profitable or politically necessary. Hormuz has to maintain its relevance to be used as a pressure point. We've proven we can close it, they will have to account for that in future decision making now.
Israel ke lag gaeyI have a feeling that Trump will unilaterally announce a ceasefire after targeting Iranian power plants.
Israel will then unilaterally get fucked in response.
Yeah, the internal situation of Iran has definitely improved. So, I'm willing to keep an open mind and see how China will conduct business with Iran post-war.
First and foremost, we need to establish deterrence against future adventurism by the US. If this war leads to a total failure of the US objectives followed by an economic crisis or recession, there's a chance that the Trump administration will be over for good.
Stop right there brother. No need to go any further.This Indian news media reported