Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[clutch]

 

[ShapurII]

I strongly disagree, the guy needs a heavy dose of laxatives, he is full of sh!t.

Yeah, we need to put him on Bisacodyl during these 5 days and prepare him for a rough colonoscopy without sedation lol

 

[pakistaniandproud]

 

[Immortals]

So much for the energy ceasefire

 

[ShapurII]

So much for the energy ceasefire

Has it been verified? Any such reports on Iranian-affiliated accounts?

 

[Persian Gulf]

If I were Trump, I would try my luck with the Qeshm Island.
It's the most strategic one for controlling the Strait of Hormuz. And once it's captured, the other islands will be easier to take.

And it is Iran's biggest island. Good PR move for him. Trump and his MAGA lunatics love things that start with the "biggest".

If they take Qeshm, how does that help them open the Strait of Hormuz? Iran can launch small, cheap drones from central Iran into the Strait of Hormuz endlessly, and small constant drones will likely be sufficient to disrupt shipping, even with military escorts.

 

[Tamerlane]

 

[HAIDER]

So much for the energy ceasefire

Trump bluff and Zionist do opposite what he say.

 

[Persian Gulf]

Something is coming this weekend

when the markets close, Trump likes to escalate. lines up with the 5 day extension he gave himself.

Iran should not be reactive as usual.

 

[Persian Gulf]

 

[ShapurII]

If they take Qeshm, how does that help them open the Strait of Hormuz? Iran can launch small, cheap drones from central Iran into the Strait of Hormuz endlessly, and small constant drones will likely be sufficient to disrupt shipping, even with military escorts.

Assuming they can hold the island and bring their personnel, CAS and ships there (big assumption), the narrow passage in the Strait of Hormuz which is used by most of these shipping lanes is barely 30km due to the shallow depth of the Persian Gulf.

The US has been practicing to attack Iranian speed boats with helicopters and A-10 for years.

Kharg is of more strategic importance for Iran but it is on the other side of the Persian Gulf and it hardly helps them keep the strait open, which seems to be their main objective here. What other choice would they go for if not Qeshm?

 

[Immortals]

If they take Qeshm, how does that help them open the Strait of Hormuz? Iran can launch small, cheap drones from central Iran into the Strait of Hormuz endlessly, and small constant drones will likely be sufficient to disrupt shipping, even with military escorts.

I think the goal is a Hostomel Airport playbook.



Drop airborne into Qeshm maybe with or without special forces first. And also Kharg. Have them secure the runways on both islands. Land planes and equipment to set up SHORADs.

Have marines dock at Chabhar maybe even with Indian naval escort. Use Chabhar port as a beachhead to begin clearing the coastline and building a buffer zone and work your way up the coast.

I’m not saying it’s a smart idea. I’m not saying it will work. But the Pentagon has plans for every scenario you can think of. While the Generals will say the risks, the president and his band of stooges will dismiss them and think this time is different.

 

[Immortals]

 

[Immortals]

 

[Persian Gulf]

Assuming they can hold the island and bring their personnel, CAS and ships there (big assumption), the narrow passage in the Strait of Hormuz which is used by most of these shipping lanes is barely 30km due to the shallow depth of the Persian Gulf.

The US has been practicing to attack Iranian speed boats with helicopters and A-10 for years.

Kharg is of more strategic importance for Iran but it is on the other side of the Persian Gulf and it hardly helps them keep the strait open, which seems to be their main objective here. What other choice would they go for if not Qeshm?

But Iran doesn't use Chabahar or even Qeshm to disrupt shipping. It can do this by firing drones or missiles from anywhere in Iran. Capturing Qeshm exposes US troops to Iranian fire and is a propaganda win, but I don't see how it helps them open the Strait.

The only possible objective I can foresee is that they plan to use the islands as leverage to force Iran to reopen the Strait (i.e., we will return the islands if/when you open the Strait).

I don't think Kharg is a plausible target. It's too small and deep into the Persian Gulf. And IRI would not hesitate to destroy the oil depots there to harm the US troops. IRI is resilient and can survive with lower oil exports for a while. the US has suppressed air defences successfully in south Iran, though, so they could land in Chabahar.

I just don't see how any form of ground invasion goes well for the US. maybe I'm wrong and Trump has a genius master plan that involves a limited ground invasion for a clear objective and with a clean exit plan, but I doubt it.