Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

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Something is coming this weekend

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Guess it wasn’t JD Vance, will still watch the flight as the route looks like it’s going Islamabad.


Don't mean to burst the bubble... Pakistan is not the reliable mediator here....
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So much for the energy ceasefire

Has it been verified? Any such reports on Iranian-affiliated accounts?
 
If I were Trump, I would try my luck with the Qeshm Island.
It's the most strategic one for controlling the Strait of Hormuz. And once it's captured, the other islands will be easier to take.

And it is Iran's biggest island. Good PR move for him. Trump and his MAGA lunatics love things that start with the "biggest".
If they take Qeshm, how does that help them open the Strait of Hormuz? Iran can launch small, cheap drones from central Iran into the Strait of Hormuz endlessly, and small constant drones will likely be sufficient to disrupt shipping, even with military escorts.
 
Something is coming this weekend

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when the markets close, Trump likes to escalate. lines up with the 5 day extension he gave himself.

Iran should not be reactive as usual.
 
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If they take Qeshm, how does that help them open the Strait of Hormuz? Iran can launch small, cheap drones from central Iran into the Strait of Hormuz endlessly, and small constant drones will likely be sufficient to disrupt shipping, even with military escorts.
Assuming they can hold the island and bring their personnel, CAS and ships there (big assumption), the narrow passage in the Strait of Hormuz which is used by most of these shipping lanes is barely 30km due to the shallow depth of the Persian Gulf.

The US has been practicing to attack Iranian speed boats with helicopters and A-10 for years.

Kharg is of more strategic importance for Iran but it is on the other side of the Persian Gulf and it hardly helps them keep the strait open, which seems to be their main objective here. What other choice would they go for if not Qeshm?
 

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