Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

If I were Trump, I would try my luck with the Qeshm Island.
It's the most strategic one for controlling the Strait of Hormuz. And once it's captured, the other islands will be easier to take.

And it is Iran's biggest island. Good PR move for him. Trump and his MAGA lunatics love things that start with the "biggest".
If they take Qeshm, how does that help them open the Strait of Hormuz? Iran can launch small, cheap drones from central Iran into the Strait of Hormuz endlessly, and small constant drones will likely be sufficient to disrupt shipping, even with military escorts.
 
If they take Qeshm, how does that help them open the Strait of Hormuz? Iran can launch small, cheap drones from central Iran into the Strait of Hormuz endlessly, and small constant drones will likely be sufficient to disrupt shipping, even with military escorts.
Assuming they can hold the island and bring their personnel, CAS and ships there (big assumption), the narrow passage in the Strait of Hormuz which is used by most of these shipping lanes is barely 30km due to the shallow depth of the Persian Gulf.

The US has been practicing to attack Iranian speed boats with helicopters and A-10 for years.

Kharg is of more strategic importance for Iran but it is on the other side of the Persian Gulf and it hardly helps them keep the strait open, which seems to be their main objective here. What other choice would they go for if not Qeshm?
 
If they take Qeshm, how does that help them open the Strait of Hormuz? Iran can launch small, cheap drones from central Iran into the Strait of Hormuz endlessly, and small constant drones will likely be sufficient to disrupt shipping, even with military escorts.

I think the goal is a Hostomel Airport playbook.

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Drop airborne into Qeshm maybe with or without special forces first. And also Kharg. Have them secure the runways on both islands. Land planes and equipment to set up SHORADs.

Have marines dock at Chabhar maybe even with Indian naval escort. Use Chabhar port as a beachhead to begin clearing the coastline and building a buffer zone and work your way up the coast.

I’m not saying it’s a smart idea. I’m not saying it will work. But the Pentagon has plans for every scenario you can think of. While the Generals will say the risks, the president and his band of stooges will dismiss them and think this time is different.
 
Assuming they can hold the island and bring their personnel, CAS and ships there (big assumption), the narrow passage in the Strait of Hormuz which is used by most of these shipping lanes is barely 30km due to the shallow depth of the Persian Gulf.

The US has been practicing to attack Iranian speed boats with helicopters and A-10 for years.

Kharg is of more strategic importance for Iran but it is on the other side of the Persian Gulf and it hardly helps them keep the strait open, which seems to be their main objective here. What other choice would they go for if not Qeshm?
But Iran doesn't use Chabahar or even Qeshm to disrupt shipping. It can do this by firing drones or missiles from anywhere in Iran. Capturing Qeshm exposes US troops to Iranian fire and is a propaganda win, but I don't see how it helps them open the Strait.

The only possible objective I can foresee is that they plan to use the islands as leverage to force Iran to reopen the Strait (i.e., we will return the islands if/when you open the Strait).

I don't think Kharg is a plausible target. It's too small and deep into the Persian Gulf. And IRI would not hesitate to destroy the oil depots there to harm the US troops. IRI is resilient and can survive with lower oil exports for a while. the US has suppressed air defences successfully in south Iran, though, so they could land in Chabahar.

I just don't see how any form of ground invasion goes well for the US. maybe I'm wrong and Trump has a genius master plan that involves a limited ground invasion for a clear objective and with a clean exit plan, but I doubt it.
 


A video to learn the psyche of the enemy ..

Unfortunately, after watching this, turns out israelis are total psychopaths, just based on their basic mentality (we all know they are, but one has to listen to this to understand the real meaning of the term).. This is Ex israeli interim president and he's a total monster of a human in the way he thinks and talks .. just in the first 30 mins, he mentioned things like:
  • We destroy our adversaries and strive to humiliate them as they die
  • We just hunt and kill, we do not think about it
  • We did unimaginable crimes against Palestinians in the last 70 years, they were all unimaginable crimes against humanity, but it does not allow them to fight back
  • We are opportunists, we look at an opportunity and go for it, moral or non-moral does not matter
  • Nethanyahu is brilliant, you meet with him and he will empty your pockets and you will never know it ... and this is why we love him as a leader
... and it just gets worse form there ...

These people are actually bone chillingly psychopaths ... only if Kennedy had been able to stop them from getting nukes, too bad they got to him before that. They will surely do all they can to kill any humanity on Earth.
 
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