Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

I have two questions.

May I ask which Iranian politician currently has the ability to persuade all Iranian armed groups to cease fire?

What kind of guarantee does Iran need to obtain in order to believe that it is a permanent ceasefire?
The US should shut down all its bases in the GCC states and does not have stationed military forces in a 2,000 km radius of Iran. Any violation of this should be legally seen as a preparation for war and guarantees Iran the right to a pre-emptive strike.

That's the only guarantee, other than going nuclear, that can ensure the war will not be resumed later.
 
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There is no way china would act as any form of guarantor.

Pakistan is just a facilitator, nothing more than that

Almost certain the criminal entities will replenish and resume

If iran can hold out only they know, and if they can for a prolonged period their hand will be further strengthened.

Ceasefire only serves the israelis and yanks

Its a ploy and a trap, if iran falls for this goody goody guy it will be annihilated. Criminals will lock and load their stocks quicker than iran can make more missiles
 
From Iran's point of view, a ceasefire means NOTHING. Does ANYONE honestly believe that the americans and israelis will honour the ceasefire conditions? They will NEVER honour it and NO-ONE in the world can make them honour it either. The ONLY sensible outcome left is for Iran to comprehensively defeat america and israel so they can never attack them again and then for Iran to become a nuclear weapons state. There are NO OTHER options left for Iran.

Iran has the upper hand now so they should continue fighting the americans and israelis until they are comprehensively defeated.
 
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US Central Command has released footage of the downing of an Iranian Mohajer-6 reconnaissance and attack UAV. The location of the footage was not disclosed. The Mohajer-6 was presumably shot down by US aircraft. The Mohajer-6 UAV has been produced in Iran since 2017 and is designed for reconnaissance, surveillance, and fire support. The Mohajer-6 has been used in combat in Iraq, Syria, and Ethiopia, where it has proven itself.

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A common sense.

Oil only has monopolistic commercial value when its price is below $80.

The coal refining technology is already very mature, and coal is not a scarce resource. When the oil price exceeds $80, coal refining will begin to enter the market, and when the oil price exceeds $100, coal refining technology will begin to take over the main energy market.
no, just no.
 
Good points but remember Sino-Russo gain from continuation war can turn soon into security challenges if IRI falls.

Russia would not want Shah back in Tehran running Project Dark gene 2.0 where USSR had to allocate billions of USD in 1970s to tackle threat in south, the same threat they had fought 13 wars in 300 years.

Chinese would not want a HUGE problem in OBOR and also the fact that 17-20% of their oil would then have to be purchased against paper currency USD which they will have to buy from CBA in Washington against actual resources.

Elongated war where dauntles IRI keeps on giving burns to west favors Russia and China like you are saying (happening right now) but IRI's defeat will mean defeat of Russia and China in ME/CA. West is moralless and vicious and you are untested against them.
Yes.

The biggest danger to China from this war comes from the danger of the Iranian government being overthrown, as well as the disruption of China's B&R strategy.

There is actually another danger that all Iranians overlook. Isn't Iran worried about the UAE and Oman building canals?
 
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Brzezinski once listed China, Russia, and Iran as the Big Triangle countries that could threaten US hegemony. Why can Iran be on par with China and Russia? Of course, it's because of the strait.

Now is the opportunity for Iran to use the strait to make the world aware of its importance, and all accusations and insults will be borne by Trump and Israel.

That's a pretty weak Big Triangle to lean on if pipelines were simply built to bypass the strait. It's not like they don't have the money to do it. It's just that they didn't invest heavily in it (yes they have the single Red Sea pipe).
 
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