Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[RescueRanger]

Israel begins to ground and divert flights due to expected missile strikes from Iran:

 

[RescueRanger]

Explosions rock Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Zarqa, Jordan

 

[Professor Jiang]

Hoping to see Iran drop several hundred laundry fires over the next 24 hours.

 

[Hassan Al-Somal]

 

[ShapurII]

"That's not unprecedented. Obama sent an airplane full of cash in pallets. It can be done in 72 hours."

And Iran was delisted from FATF black-list in 2016. The same year Obama send pallets of Cash. I guess you forgot to mention this point. We can go in circles arguing about this but neither of us are experts. The Iranian experts who were in Doha knows more than you and me and they never raised doubts on the process and I'll remain stick to this.

Rest of your posts are your personal opinions and we'd go off-topic very quickly if I reply to each point. I can argue why the need of funeral processions if "Iran is in hot war phase" and we'd go back and forth. Let's agree to disagree

I didn't mention it because it wasn't relevant to the point that it was indeed possible to transfer money to Iran on short notice. The money was transferred to Iran in cash before the delisting of Iran, but I agree. Let's agree to disagree.

 

[lightning f57]

Something is at play and I think the US is trying to improve its negotiating position so it can pressure Iran on tolls, nuclear enrichment then eventually drones and missiles. The main priority for trump is to stabilise oil markets and if he has a plan to attack Iran on a large scale again then oil/weapons inventories need to be replenished and that means lots of traffic through SOH.

This low intensity conflict is not good for Iran, its probably worse than a full on war as it grinds Iran down. So then Iran is not left with many options but to counter the US over the SOH.

The GCC countries obviously dont want Iran to control the SOH and so they continue to allow the US to use their territory to attack Iran. Iranians dying regularly now and their government has not found a way to stop it.

If im Iran, there are two hard choices. Accept a settlement with trump where he will likely want big concessions and could go back on any agreement like he normally does over next few years - so get congress to ratify and make it binding.

Or second choice is war and force a strategic deterrence by heavily damaging GCC countries Infrastructure.

The US is very sensitive to economic fall out especially through its allies Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, SA and UAE. Damaging them economically will hurt the US as well, the petro dollar is still a thing.

Both options come with huge risk for Iran, I still think trump wants regime change but he realises his options are limited right now. Iran needs to take the least worst option which can preserve its sovereignty and help kick start its economy.

 

[Meengla]

This war will likely go on in some capacity. I don't see Iranian nation is going to fold; they seem extremely resilient. And they will continue to hold the Strait under their threat, and thus potentially causing huge damage to the global economy, to which even America won't be immune from.
What I find encouraging though are the very anti Israel statements made by Trump and Vance lately. As far as I remember, no previous POTUS or VPOTUS had insulted Israel as a nation like that. They didn't have to make those statements to sign onto the MOU. So maybe real geopolitics is finally sinking in. Israel retains some utility for America in the region but that doesn't translate into an expansionist Israel at the expense of America's own regional and global interests. I remain hopeful for considerable change in American policy on Israel and for a less hostile Middle East, if not before the next POTUS takes over then after that.

 

[Ravenman]

Donald Trump was in Ankara, Turkiye explaining to world leaders how he had ordered military strikes on Iran yesterday and his plans for more airstrikes today.

I don't know if people know this but Ankara is only less than 1,000 km away from the Iranian border.

Killing a US President in a NATO-country, at a NATO-summit, activating Article 2 and Article 5, dragging whole NATO into war.

Yeah brilliant idea. Glad you are not the head of the IRGC.

 

[Hassan Al-Somal]

 

[RocketLaw]

 

[RocketLaw]

26 minutes ago



49 minutes ago

 

[Hassan Al-Somal]

 

[RescueRanger]

26 minutes ago



49 minutes ago

Most of Balad and Victoria were vacated a long time ago.

 

[Hassan Al-Somal]

 

[RescueRanger]

@AZ_HighCountry