Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[ShapurII]

seems unlikely

council of experts is filled with 90 year old clerics. doubt they have their finger on the pulse on military affairs

I was wrong though. He's a member of the Expediency Discernment Council of the System, whatever that means lol

 

[ShapurII]

conflicting reports on Iran-EU negotiations to extend the snapback deadline

Iranian sources indicate an agreement is close, while Western sources claim the EU is not satisfied with Iran's proposals and unless Iran agrees to reinstate full IAEA access, they will invoke snapback in the coming days.

Today I read that IAEA inspectors are back and will soon visit Bushehr.

If true, the only way for Iran to acquire significant fissile material (Bushehr reactor) will be under IAEA inspection as well.

 

[Persian Gulf]

I was wrong though. He's a member of the Expediency Discernment Council of the System, whatever that means lol

yes, assembly of experts is designed to supervise Khamenei (in theory, not aware of them ever actually doing any supervising)

I don't know much about this discernment council but imagine it is also filled with 60-90 year olds appointed by Khamenei who don't do much

 

[Persian Gulf]

Today I read that IAEA inspectors are back and will soon visit Bushehr.

If true, the only way for Iran to acquire significant fissile material (Bushehr reactor) will be under IAEA inspection as well.

I think IAEA inspectors never stopped visiting Bushehr since it is an active nuclear power plant and the IAEA has to be present when fuel rods are inserted / exchanged

 

[Shafagh]

What prospects are there for pursuing an alternative WMD? Iran certainly has the infrastructure for a different kind of weapon...

 

[ShapurII]

yes, assembly of experts is designed to supervise Khamenei (in theory, not aware of them ever actually doing any supervising)

I don't know much about this discernment council but imagine it is also filled with 60-90 year olds appointed by Khamenei who don't do much

Yes, we have too many useless councils lol They need an excuse to give someone close to them a political position after all.

I think IAEA inspectors never stopped visiting Bushehr since it is an active nuclear power plant and the IAEA has to be present when fuel rods are inserted / exchanged

Apparently they did kick all IAEA inspectors.
Bushehr reactor remains Iran's only remaining chance of acquiring enough fissile material to produce more than 10 nuclear weapons. It produces nearly 200 kg of plutonium per year.

What prospects are there for pursuing an alternative WMD? Iran certainly has the infrastructure for a different kind of weapon...

Nothing really. Nothing that would be able to wipe out a country's infrastructure like nuclear weapons.
We can produce biological or chemical weapons but it would kill humans instead of destroying Israeli critical civilian and military infrastructure. The purpose of a nuclear weapon is mostly to wipe out a large part of the country's vital infrastructure.
We can produce EMP weapons with localized effect, but nothing in the scale of nuclear EMPs.

 

[Persian Gulf]

Apparently they did kick all IAEA inspectors.
Bushehr reactor remains Iran's only remaining chance of acquiring enough fissile material to produce more than 10 nuclear weapons. It produces nearly 200 kg of plutonium per year.

anyway there's no plutonium reprocessing facility

 

[ShapurII]

View attachment 143190

anyway there's no plutonium reprocessing facility

I know about that, but Iran did kick all IAEA inspectors out. But they're returning.

Yeah, but it was our only hope. Our enrichment capability seems to be gone and we have lost our 408 kg of 60% HEU. Even if we get 60% HEU, we won't be able to convert UF6 into uranium metal anymore. We don't seem to have any other option left but to go down the path of plutonium reprocessing, which is also impossible to hide because Iran is full of spies and it requires large facilities with proper handling.

 

[BigMela2onin]

What prospects are there for pursuing an alternative WMD? Iran certainly has the infrastructure for a different kind of weapon...

No alternate wmd is viable or useful.

 

[Persian Gulf]

looks like IR is about to capitulate. and all this just to DELAY E3's ability to invoke snapback. and if Iran doesn't capitulate on enrichment inside Iran with the US by the new deadline then they will invoke snapback anyway.

 

[BigMela2onin]

Nothing really. Nothing that would be able to wipe out a country's infrastructure like nuclear weapons.
We can produce biological or chemical weapons but it would kill humans instead of destroying Israeli critical civilian and military infrastructure. The purpose of a nuclear weapon is mostly to wipe out a large part of the country's vital infrastructure.
We can produce EMP weapons with localized effect, but nothing in the scale of nuclear EMPs

Biological and chemical weapons aren't even good for that really. Too unpredictable and can't really be delivered by missiles.

 

[shapurzolaktaf]

looks like IR is about to capitulate. and all this just to DELAY E3's ability to invoke snapback. and if Iran doesn't capitulate on enrichment inside Iran with the US by the new deadline then they will invoke snapback anyway.

If it's only for DELAY, it means the E3 wants to find out where the 60% is, to destroy the remaining uranium, centrifuges and to trigger the sanctions afterwards. They want transparant espionage, 0% enrichment, and escaping from their obligations (JCPOA) by deceiving, threatening, sanctioning and killing.

Iran should link openness and inspections to the irreversible ending of the snapback mechanism + IAEA statement that Iran was not producing nuclear weapons.

Any party that wants to delay another half year, wants to keep Iran in an uncertain situation and under threat.

 

[KingQamaR]

What prospects are there for pursuing an alternative WMD? Iran certainly has the infrastructure for a different kind of weapon...

Make a Dirty Bomb. Thats why Iran can consider a dirty bomb, because it’s much easer to make than a real nuke( which has its own explosive power).

 

[KingQamaR]

Dirty bomb is easier to hide too.

 

[FUB]

IR. Is jousting for Top position for the most incompetent useless government in the history of Iran.
Contradicting statements coming from within.
Here is the foreign minister saying they have coordinated with Russia and. China to block the snap back sanctions

Iran coordinating with China, Russia to block ‘snapback’ sanctions: Araghchi

TEHRAN – Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi says Tehran is working in close coordination with China and Russia to prevent the reactivation of UN sanctions through the so-called “snapback” mechanism, which European powers have recently threatened to invoke.

www.tehrantimes.com

Then at the same time they’re still negotiating with the US, which clearly humiliated them on the world stage specially Donald Trump calling them stupid for still requiring enrichment. What could you possibly be negotiating exit strategy for your families?

Iran sanctions snapback: European diplomats concerned about Russian nuisance potential, expert says

Iran held talks on Tuesday with European powers, seeking to avert a sanctions snapback which they have threatened to impose under the moribund 2015 nuclear deal. FRANCE 24 speaks to Holly Dagres, Senior…

www.france24.com

Listen to this genius obviously they have not learned a lesson. This fucking government has no control. If the Russians are not an ally as this useless donkey says at least they’re not an enemy. What’s the point of antagonizing a world power?
Maybe someone needs to show him the videos online showing drones and spike ATGM strikes on the AD.