the war is coming the question is whether Hezbollah realises it before or after Israeli troops enter Lebanon and decimate south Beirut*
* I meant south Beirut, they already decimated south Lebanon...
I'm sure they have plans for this, but I don't think Israel will invade.
If they wanted, I doubt there would be a better time than two days ago, unless they somehow have an even bigger ace up their sleeve.
I think Hezbollah's endgame is to drag Israel into a ground invasion, but also make it seem like it was inevitable, and be portrayed as the heroes in the story.
Hezbollah don't want to be seen as the people who forced Israel to invade, but solely as the people who defended against the Israeli invasion, but Israel might not give them that benefit.
A ground invasion, even if successful, will be costly for Israel. But on the other hand almost a year has passed and their military casualty rate is not even half of their casualty rates in previous wars like the October war with Egypt and Syria. And their population was much lower, so I think they can sustain a lot more casualties if decided, but do they have the will?
I think Israel will want to keep things at the current pace, a pace which they control, this pace allows them to have minimal casualties and inflict a lot of damage on Hezbollah, (albeit they can't prevent the launch of rockets or return their population to their north)
Israel might try to go beyond defeating it militarily, it tries to kill it ideologically, and to delegitimize their existence among the Lebanese (or at least the Christian/Sunni ones), and maybe even start a civil war.
