Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

Iran supports Armenia. Doesn't it?
Iran saved Azerbaijan from Armenia by sending IRGC to fight for Azerbaijan in the early 1990s only to be backstabbed by them. Even in the recent war, Iran stated that Azerbaijan was reclaiming its own territory from Armenia.
 
I agree R2D2. It is unrealistic but if Turkey, Syrians and iranians work together, Israel would be wiped out from the earth's surface. But I know It is wild.
Too bad Turkey and Syria are working hand in glove with the Israelis!
 
Iran has relations with Armenia who are Christians.
And yet they aren't bootlicking zionists that spits and desecrate Christians at a daily basis on the internet

Shiite Azerbaijan is more sold out than Christian Armenia

As i said Arab and some "Muslim" leaders such as Aliyev are willing to shoot themselves in the head for the sake of Israel and Jews
 
And yet they aren't bootlicking zionists that spits and desecrate Christians at a daily basis on the internet

Shiite Azerbaijan is more sold out than Christian Armenia

As i said Arab and some "Muslim" leaders such as Aliyev areThere willing to shoot themselves in the head for the sake of Israel and Jews
There are strange bedfellows in politics.
 
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Iran supports Armenia. Doesn't it?
Iranian relations with Armenia are not a new invention, but one of the oldest historically rooted ones, for different iterations of the Persian Empire as well as actual circumstances, Armenia has been a key for preserving balance in the Caucasian region...Iranian national interest is to ensure a control over eventual uncontrollable rise of Turkish pan-turcism in their preferred way, which is something that Iran is definitely not going to prefer...for internal stability in the first place...

Iran should insist on preserving international borders, which means preserving the Armenian state, and probably dividing itself from the Russian role in Yerevan...

Actual Armenian leadership is unwise in their hopes that maybe France will be a decisive factor there, Sci-fi stuff... but leadership is temporal, national doctrine is not...
 
Just had to post this, sorry

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Yemen in 2025:
  • 72 ballistic missiles fired at Israel
  • 53 missiles reach Israel and require interception (74%) - the rest fall short / fail
  • 5 impacts: 2 missiles impacted, 3 missiles only partially intercepted (91% total interception rate)
 
Yemen in 2025:
  • 72 ballistic missiles fired at Israel
  • 53 missiles reach Israel and require interception (74%) - the rest fall short / fail
  • 5 impacts: 2 missiles impacted, 3 missiles only partially intercepted (91% total interception rate)

If it weren’t for the cost and long delays in producing interceptors, then Israeli air defense shield is the best in the world.

But also it’s important to note that Yemen always fires 1 (maybe 2) BM which is easier to intercept than 25-50 that Iran would fire.
 
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Iran should support Hamas to establish itself in the West Bank and inside Israel proper and among the beduin tribes in the Israeli desert. This will shift the concentration of the IDF from Gaza to a much bigger area and Hamas will be able to survive.
 
Iran’s diplomacy should overcome rigidity with softness through three supple moves:
1. Stall for time: having missed the best moment to arm itself, Tehran should trade “simultaneous inspections for simultaneous sanctions relief,” retreat to rebuild strength, and sprint to nuclear capability once U.S.–China tensions ignite in East Asia.
2. Disarm hostility: ease rhetoric toward Israel while rallying Sunni states into a united front against it.
3. Deal resources: swap oil and gas for investment, establish tax-free processing zones,



Only by stepping back can one gather strength to deliver the fatal blow.
 
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Iran’s diplomacy should overcome rigidity with softness through three supple moves:
1. Stall for time: having missed the best moment to arm itself, Tehran should trade “simultaneous inspections for simultaneous sanctions relief,” retreat to rebuild strength, and sprint to nuclear capability once U.S.–China tensions ignite in East Asia.
2. Disarm hostility: ease rhetoric toward Israel while rallying Sunni states into a united front against it.
3. Deal resources: swap oil and gas for investment, establish tax-free processing zones,



Only by stepping back can one gather strength to deliver the fatal blow.
Good suggestions. I would add to keep the axis of resistance active against Israel to exhaust it.
 
Iran’s diplomacy should overcome rigidity with softness through three supple moves:
1. Stall for time: having missed the best moment to arm itself, Tehran should trade “simultaneous inspections for simultaneous sanctions relief,” retreat to rebuild strength, and sprint to nuclear capability once U.S.–China tensions ignite in East Asia.
2. Disarm hostility: ease rhetoric toward Israel while rallying Sunni states into a united front against it.
3. Deal resources: swap oil and gas for investment, establish tax-free processing zones,



Only by stepping back can one gather strength to deliver the fatal blow.
I agree with point number 3 — I think Iran and China might eventually sign a major deal where they swap oil and gas at favorable prices to boost Iran’s economy. Relying too much on oil is a curse, in my opinion. Iran has a young, educated population that could thrive if given the right conditions.

But I disagree with the rest. Iran wants to be a big global player in a future world with two superpowers, a few more big players, and a bunch of semi-colonial states. It’s shocking how quickly Assad’s forces and Hezbollah were destroyed in Lebanon and Syria — it’s strange how the Axis of Resistance lasted so long against Israel. Part of that was because of the legendary General Qasem Soleimani, who knew how to get the most out of limited resources. And his persona was protective aura for eventual betraying ideas...

In the coming period, there probably be a debate in Iran about whether nationalism or Shiism should be the main guiding force. These two ideas don’t have to be enemies. Nationalism is rising in Iran, and for many, keeping the Tehran-Beirut corridor, expensive one btw, is a waste of money and resources. Opinion that makes sense now.

In the long run, I’m not sure. With Israel’s next Litani project in Lebanon and their surest harsh actions in Syria for any minor mistake, both countries are likely to become very pro-Iranian. In a few years period... Religion has that unique advantage — it’s conservative and can survive almost any situation, making it a reliable way to rebuild influence in the right moment. Iran will probably have a semi-colony in Africa, and other countries like Turkey, China, and Russia will do the same. France just doesn’t have the power to control such a big region anymore.

Setting up a network of religious institutions is always the cheapest and most reliable way to spread own influence. But IF religion stays influential in the future, that’s something to think about, seriously and studiously — it could shape the debate between nationalism and Shiism in Iran.


(I am not religious person so regrets if I was unintended offensive with anything, that is not my intention...)
 
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